Tobol vs Okzhetpes: match stats
Tobol vs Okzhetpes: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Tobol vs Okzhetpes sa Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). Naka-schedule ang match sa 12 July 2026 at 14:00. Venue: Astana Arena. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Tobol: 2-1-2 sa last five matches at 1.40 points per match. Okzhetpes: 2-0-3 at 1.20 points per match.
Goal statistics
Tobol scores 1.11 at concedes 1.44 goals per match. Okzhetpes scores 1.33 at concedes 1.33. League average: 2.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tobol 61%, Okzhetpes 67%. Over 2.5: Tobol 50%, Okzhetpes 56%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots at playing style
Okzhetpes ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.56 vs 1.55. Tobol averages 13.3 shots per match, habang Okzhetpes ay 13.3.
First at second half
Tobol leads at half-time sa 22% ng matches at scores 0.56 goals after the break. Okzhetpes: 22% at 0.94.
Goals by minute
Tobol: 0-15 (5 goals). Okzhetpes: 76-90+ (11 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 52% at Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
Sa 3 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 2-0-1. Average goals: 2.33, BTTS: 67%.
Match description
Base sa provided data, favorite sa match is Tobol dahil sa advantage nila sa chance creation: home they average 1.57 goals per game with xG 1.84 at 16.71 shots per game, habang Okzhetpes away lang may 1.29 goals, xG 1.35 at only 11.86 shots. Defensively Tobol ay mas stable sa home: 1.14 goals conceded per game at xG against 1.47, samantalang Okzhetpes away concedes 1.57 goals per game with xG against 1.69. Recent 5-game trend also favors Tobol — sa last 5 matches hosts scored 7 and conceded 5 (1.0 per game) with 1.4 points per game, habang Okzhetpes scored 7 but shipped 13 (2.6 per game) and has 1.0 PPG. Kahit na Okzhetpes is 3rd in the table vs Tobol 12th, guests have higher shot efficiency (11% vs 9%) at identical average shots on target 5.14, so with fewer attempts they can still be dangerous. Considering better xG for the hosts, lower average goals conceded by Tobol and 57% home win rate vs Okzhetpes 43% away win rate, my pick is Tobol to win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tobol | Okzhetpes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tobol is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Tobol · 1.2 pts / match - Okzhetpes
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Okzhetpes is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Tobol · 1.33 goals / match - Okzhetpes
Okzhetpes is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - Tobol · 1.33 goals / match - Okzhetpes
Tobol scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Okzhetpes keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Okzhetpes scores in 89% of matches (16 of 18 matches), while Tobol keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Tobol
Over / Under — Okzhetpes
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tobol is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / match - Tobol · 1.11 pts / match - Okzhetpes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tobol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Okzhetpes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Tobol
Okzhetpes
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Tobol | Liga | Okzhetpes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.56 | 2.31 | ▲ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 52% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 42% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 29% | • 28% |
| Goal before half-time | • 61% | 62% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 70% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Tobol 2 - 0 - 1 Okzhetpes. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Tobol vs Okzhetpes?
Natapos ang Kazakhstan Premier League match sa score na Tobol 3:1 Okzhetpes. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang head-to-head record ng Tobol at Okzhetpes?
Sa huling 3 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Tobol ng 2, ang Okzhetpes ng 1, at 0 ang draws. Average goals: 2.33; BTTS: 67%.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Tobol vs Okzhetpes?
Tobol scores 1.11 goals per match at Okzhetpes 1.33. Ang Kazakhstan Premier League average ay 2.31 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 42% ng matches. BTTS: Tobol 61%, Okzhetpes 67%.
Ano ang current form ng Tobol at Okzhetpes?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Tobol ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match), habang ang Okzhetpes ay 2-0-3 (1.20 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Tobol vs Okzhetpes?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.