Toluca vs Atlético San Luis: match stats
Toluca vs Atlético San Luis: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Toluca vs Atlético San Luis sa Liga MX (Mexico). Naka-schedule ang match sa 13 April 2026 at 03:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Toluca: 1-0-4 sa last five matches at 0.60 points per match. Atlético San Luis: 2-1-2 at 1.40 points per match.
Goal statistics
Toluca scores 1.86 at concedes 1.02 goals per match. Atlético San Luis scores 1.44 at concedes 1.65. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Toluca 55%, Atlético San Luis 65%. Over 2.5: Toluca 50%, Atlético San Luis 59%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots at playing style
Toluca ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.82 vs 1.24. Toluca averages 17.5 shots per match, habang Atlético San Luis ay 11.2.
First at second half
Toluca leads at half-time sa 38% ng matches at scores 1.07 goals after the break. Atlético San Luis: 24% at 0.97.
Goals by minute
Toluca: 46-60 (19 goals). Atlético San Luis: 76-90+ (12 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 59% at Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-0-0. Average goals: 4.00, BTTS: 100%.
Match description
Inestimate ko ang win ng Toluca (1) — stats clearly favor the home side. Toluca sa home averages 2.39 goals per match with 6.39 shots on target and 19.44 attempts, habang Atlético San Luis away records 1.6 goals with 4.6 shots on target and 12.07 attempts, so clear advantage sa chance creation. xG values confirm the gap: Toluca has 1.99 xG at home vs 1.35 xG for San Luis away, at the back Toluca concedes 1.06 goals at home while San Luis concedes 1.8 goals away. Season-wise Toluca has 21 wins and 69 goals scored with only 5 losses, habang San Luis has 9 wins, 18 losses and 45 goals scored, further reinforcing home advantage. In the last 5 matches Toluca scored 10 goals and averages 1.6 points vs San Luis’ 8 goals and 1.4 points; given possession (58% vs 46%) I assess probabilities as 68% win for Toluca, 18% draw and 14% away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Toluca | Atlético San Luis | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético San Luis is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Toluca · 1.4 pts / match - Atlético San Luis
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toluca is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.86 goals / match - Toluca · 1.44 goals / match - Atlético San Luis
Toluca is 62% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.02 goals / match - Toluca · 1.65 goals / match - Atlético San Luis
Toluca scores in 74% of matches (31 of 42 matches), while Atlético San Luis keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
Atlético San Luis scores in 85% of matches (29 of 34 matches), while Toluca keeps a clean sheet in 31% (13 of 42 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Toluca
Over / Under — Atlético San Luis
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Toluca is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / match - Toluca · 1.15 pts / match - Atlético San Luis
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Toluca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlético San Luis - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (19 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Toluca
Atlético San Luis
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Toluca | Liga | Atlético San Luis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.88 | 2.91 | ▲ 3.09 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 59% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 24% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 72% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 76% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Toluca 1 - 0 - 0 Atlético San Luis. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Toluca vs Atlético San Luis?
Natapos ang Liga MX match sa score na Toluca 1:1 Atlético San Luis. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Toluca vs Atlético San Luis?
Toluca scores 1.86 goals per match at Atlético San Luis 1.44. Ang Liga MX average ay 2.91 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 55% ng matches. BTTS: Toluca 55%, Atlético San Luis 65%.
Ano ang current form ng Toluca at Atlético San Luis?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Toluca ay 1-0-4 (0.60 points per match), habang ang Atlético San Luis ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Toluca vs Atlético San Luis?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.