Toluca vs Cruz Azul: match stats
Toluca ay nagpapakita ng impressive home form na may 69% win rate sa kanilang home games at only 8% losses, averaging 2.69 goals scored per game at only 1.23 conceded. Ang home team ay nasa excellent condition, nakakakuha ng 2.2 points per match sa last five games nila na walang talo. Si Cruz Azul, kahit may solid overall record, ay mas mahina ang away stats – only 42% wins and as much as 42% draws, with an average of only 1.58 goals scored away. Ang difference sa expected goals (xG) ay pabor din kay Toluca: 2.1 xG For sa home vs 1.61 xG For ni Cruz Azul sa away games. Dagdag pa, ang home team ay may advantage sa possession (58% vs 53%) at significantly better shooting accuracy. Isinasaalang-alang ang lahat ng factors na ito, si Toluca ay may clear edge sa matchup na ito.
Toluca vs Cruz Azul: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Toluca vs Cruz Azul sa Liga MX (Mexico). Naka-schedule ang match sa 8 February 2026 at 00:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Toluca: 1-0-4 sa last five matches at 0.60 points per match. Cruz Azul: 3-2-0 at 2.20 points per match.
Goal statistics
Toluca scores 1.86 at concedes 1.02 goals per match. Cruz Azul scores 1.77 at concedes 1.09. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Toluca 55%, Cruz Azul 70%. Over 2.5: Toluca 50%, Cruz Azul 55%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots at playing style
Cruz Azul ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.84 vs 1.82. Toluca averages 17.5 shots per match, habang Cruz Azul ay 17.1.
First at second half
Toluca leads at half-time sa 38% ng matches at scores 1.07 goals after the break. Cruz Azul: 34% at 1.02.
Goals by minute
Toluca: 46-60 (19 goals). Cruz Azul: 76-90+ (22 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 59% at Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-0-1. Average goals: 1.00, BTTS: 0%.
Match description
Toluca ay nagpapakita ng impressive home form na may 69% win rate sa kanilang home games at only 8% losses, averaging 2.69 goals scored per game at only 1.23 conceded. Ang home team ay nasa excellent condition, nakakakuha ng 2.2 points per match sa last five games nila na walang talo. Si Cruz Azul, kahit may solid overall record, ay mas mahina ang away stats – only 42% wins and as much as 42% draws, with an average of only 1.58 goals scored away. Ang difference sa expected goals (xG) ay pabor din kay Toluca: 2.1 xG For sa home vs 1.61 xG For ni Cruz Azul sa away games. Dagdag pa, ang home team ay may advantage sa possession (58% vs 53%) at significantly better shooting accuracy. Isinasaalang-alang ang lahat ng factors na ito, si Toluca ay may clear edge sa matchup na ito.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Toluca | Cruz Azul | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cruz Azul is 267% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Toluca · 2.2 pts / match - Cruz Azul
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toluca is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.86 goals / match - Toluca · 1.77 goals / match - Cruz Azul
Toluca is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.02 goals / match - Toluca · 1.09 goals / match - Cruz Azul
Toluca scores in 74% of matches (31 of 42 matches), while Cruz Azul keeps a clean sheet in 27% (12 of 44 matches).
Cruz Azul scores in 91% of matches (40 of 44 matches), while Toluca keeps a clean sheet in 31% (13 of 42 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Toluca
Over / Under — Cruz Azul
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Toluca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cruz Azul - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (19 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (22 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Toluca
Cruz Azul
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Toluca | Liga | Cruz Azul | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.88 | 2.91 | • 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 59% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 55% | • 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 24% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 72% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 76% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Toluca 0 - 0 - 1 Cruz Azul. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Toluca vs Cruz Azul?
Natapos ang Liga MX match sa score na Toluca 1:1 Cruz Azul. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Toluca vs Cruz Azul?
Toluca scores 1.86 goals per match at Cruz Azul 1.77. Ang Liga MX average ay 2.91 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 55% ng matches. BTTS: Toluca 55%, Cruz Azul 70%.
Ano ang current form ng Toluca at Cruz Azul?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Toluca ay 1-0-4 (0.60 points per match), habang ang Cruz Azul ay 3-2-0 (2.20 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Toluca vs Cruz Azul?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.