Toluca vs Guadalajara: match stats
Impresibo ang home form ng Toluca with 67% wins at home at 7% losses lang, making them a very tough opponent sa sariling stadium. Ang hosts ay naga-average ng 2.47 goals per home match with xG 2.01, showing effective offense na above expectations. Ang Guadalajara, despite good recent form (4 wins sa last 5 matches), ay may much weaker away record with only 54% wins at 38% losses, averaging only 1.46 goals scored away. Key factor ang difference sa effectiveness: Toluca has a conversion rate of 13% sa home games vs 10% ng Guadalajara away, plus advantage sa possession (58% vs 55%). Ang solid defense ng hosts (only 1 goal conceded sa last 5 matches) at goal difference na +20 sa home vs +3 lang ng Guadalajara away ay pabor sa panalo ng Toluca, though dahil sa form ng guests, hindi impossible ang draw or upset.
Toluca vs Guadalajara: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Toluca vs Guadalajara sa Liga MX (Mexico). Naka-schedule ang match sa 1 March 2026 at 00:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Toluca: 1-0-4 sa last five matches at 0.60 points per match. Guadalajara: 1-2-2 at 1.00 points per match.
Goal statistics
Toluca scores 1.86 at concedes 1.02 goals per match. Guadalajara scores 1.75 at concedes 1.23. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Toluca 55%, Guadalajara 53%. Over 2.5: Toluca 50%, Guadalajara 63%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots at playing style
Toluca ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.82 vs 1.70. Toluca averages 17.5 shots per match, habang Guadalajara ay 16.1.
First at second half
Toluca leads at half-time sa 38% ng matches at scores 1.07 goals after the break. Guadalajara: 40% at 0.88.
Goals by minute
Toluca: 46-60 (19 goals). Guadalajara: 76-90+ (19 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 59% at Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Sa 2 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 2-0-0. Average goals: 2.50, BTTS: 0%.
Match description
Impresibo ang home form ng Toluca with 67% wins at home at 7% losses lang, making them a very tough opponent sa sariling stadium. Ang hosts ay naga-average ng 2.47 goals per home match with xG 2.01, showing effective offense na above expectations. Ang Guadalajara, despite good recent form (4 wins sa last 5 matches), ay may much weaker away record with only 54% wins at 38% losses, averaging only 1.46 goals scored away. Key factor ang difference sa effectiveness: Toluca has a conversion rate of 13% sa home games vs 10% ng Guadalajara away, plus advantage sa possession (58% vs 55%). Ang solid defense ng hosts (only 1 goal conceded sa last 5 matches) at goal difference na +20 sa home vs +3 lang ng Guadalajara away ay pabor sa panalo ng Toluca, though dahil sa form ng guests, hindi impossible ang draw or upset.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Toluca | Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Guadalajara is 67% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Toluca · 1 pts / match - Guadalajara
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toluca is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.86 goals / match - Toluca · 1.75 goals / match - Guadalajara
Toluca is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.02 goals / match - Toluca · 1.23 goals / match - Guadalajara
Toluca scores in 74% of matches (31 of 42 matches), while Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 35% (14 of 40 matches).
Guadalajara scores in 78% of matches (31 of 40 matches), while Toluca keeps a clean sheet in 31% (13 of 42 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Toluca
Over / Under — Guadalajara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Toluca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (19 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Toluca
Guadalajara
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Toluca | Liga | Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.88 | 2.91 | • 2.98 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 59% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 24% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 72% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 76% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Toluca 2 - 0 - 0 Guadalajara. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 0% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Toluca vs Guadalajara?
Natapos ang Liga MX match sa score na Toluca 2:0 Guadalajara. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang head-to-head record ng Toluca at Guadalajara?
Sa huling 2 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Toluca ng 2, ang Guadalajara ng 0, at 0 ang draws. Average goals: 2.50; BTTS: 0%.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Toluca vs Guadalajara?
Toluca scores 1.86 goals per match at Guadalajara 1.75. Ang Liga MX average ay 2.91 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 55% ng matches. BTTS: Toluca 55%, Guadalajara 53%.
Ano ang current form ng Toluca at Guadalajara?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Toluca ay 1-0-4 (0.60 points per match), habang ang Guadalajara ay 1-2-2 (1.00 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Toluca vs Guadalajara?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.