Toluca vs Tigres UANL: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Toluca vs Tigres UANL sa Liga MX (Mexico). Naka-schedule ang match sa 15 December 2025 at 02:00. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Toluca: 1-0-4 sa last five matches at 0.60 points per match. Tigres UANL: 2-2-1 at 1.60 points per match.

Goal statistics

Toluca scores 1.86 at concedes 1.02 goals per match. Tigres UANL scores 1.79 at concedes 1.05. League average: 2.91 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Toluca 55%, Tigres UANL 57%. Over 2.5: Toluca 50%, Tigres UANL 50%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots at playing style

Toluca ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.82 vs 1.64. Toluca averages 17.5 shots per match, habang Tigres UANL ay 15.0.

First at second half

Toluca leads at half-time sa 38% ng matches at scores 1.07 goals after the break. Tigres UANL: 29% at 1.12.

Goals by minute

Toluca: 46-60 (19 goals). Tigres UANL: 46-60 (17 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Liga MX: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 59% at Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

Sa 3 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-1-2. Average goals: 2.67, BTTS: 33%.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

67Possession (%)33
TolucaTigres UANL
31Shots7
TolucaTigres UANL
12Shots on target2
TolucaTigres UANL
3.2xG0.87
TolucaTigres UANL
11Corners5
TolucaTigres UANL
56Dangerous attacks39
TolucaTigres UANL
17Fouls16
TolucaTigres UANL
4Cards3
TolucaTigres UANL

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.86Goals scored / match1.79
TolucaTigres UANL
1.02Goals conceded / match1.05
TolucaTigres UANL
57%Average possession54%
TolucaTigres UANL
5.76Shots on target / match5.48
TolucaTigres UANL

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

17.52Shots per match15
TolucaTigres UANL
5.76Shots on target5.48
TolucaTigres UANL
10.6%Shot conversion11.9%
TolucaTigres UANL
57%Possession54%
TolucaTigres UANL
1.82xG for1.64
TolucaTigres UANL
1.15xG against1.31
TolucaTigres UANL

Shooting quality

Toluca: DominantTigres UANL: Attacking
TolucaTigres UANL
Accuracy (shots on target)33%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tigres UANL is 167% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Toluca · 1.6 pts / match - Tigres UANL

Toluca
LLWLL
Season result split
52% W26% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
22-11-9
1.83 pts / match · goal difference +35
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
13-6-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WDDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Tigres UANL
DDWWL
Season result split
48% W29% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
20-12-10
1.71 pts / match · goal difference +31
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-7-7
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LLDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.75Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Scoring profile ng Toluca: malakas

Toluca scores in 74% of matches (31 of 42 matches), while Tigres UANL keeps a clean sheet in 33% (14 of 42 matches).

Scoring profile ng Tigres UANL: napakalakas

Tigres UANL scores in 79% of matches (33 of 42 matches), while Toluca keeps a clean sheet in 31% (13 of 42 matches).

78Goals scored (season)75
TolucaTigres UANL
43Goals conceded (season)44
TolucaTigres UANL
2.88Average goals in match2.83
TolucaTigres UANL
8Goals scored (last 5)9
TolucaTigres UANL
10Goals conceded (last 5)5
TolucaTigres UANL

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal79%
TolucaTigres UANL
55%2 goals40%
TolucaTigres UANL
40%3 goals24%
TolucaTigres UANL
12%4 goals19%
TolucaTigres UANL

How often they concede at least...

69%1 goal67%
TolucaTigres UANL
24%2 goals26%
TolucaTigres UANL
5%3 goals12%
TolucaTigres UANL
5%4 goals0%
TolucaTigres UANL

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time24%
TolucaTigres UANL
7%BTTS in both halves7%
TolucaTigres UANL
40%Scored in both halves31%
TolucaTigres UANL

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
TolucaTigres UANL
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
TolucaTigres UANL
60%BTTS - last 560%
TolucaTigres UANL

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time57%
TolucaTigres UANL
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
TolucaTigres UANL
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
TolucaTigres UANL

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
TolucaTigres UANL
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
TolucaTigres UANL
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time26%
TolucaTigres UANL

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Toluca is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.55 pts / match - Toluca · 1.43 pts / match - Tigres UANL

Toluca - half-time state
38% leading40% draw21% trailing
Tigres UANL - half-time state
29% leading57% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.55Points per match (1st half)1.43
TolucaTigres UANL
0.79Goals scored (1st half)0.67
TolucaTigres UANL
0.48Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
TolucaTigres UANL
1.26Average goals (1st half)1.07
TolucaTigres UANL
62%Clean sheet before half-time62%
TolucaTigres UANL
48%No goal before half-time57%
TolucaTigres UANL

After half-time (2nd half)

1.74Points per match (2nd half)1.76
TolucaTigres UANL
1.07Goals scored (2nd half)1.12
TolucaTigres UANL
0.55Goals conceded (2nd half)0.64
TolucaTigres UANL
1.62Average goals (2nd half)1.76
TolucaTigres UANL
55%Clean sheet after half-time52%
TolucaTigres UANL
38%No goal after half-time33%
TolucaTigres UANL

Toluca - second-half results

48% W31% R21% P
65
Half-time points
33
Half-time goals
+13
Goal difference (1st half)
73
Second-half points
+22
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.55
PPG before half-time
Lead holding137%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tigres UANL - second-half results

50% W26% R24% P
60
Half-time points
28
Half-time goals
+11
Goal difference (1st half)
74
Second-half points
+20
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding166%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Toluca - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.22.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Tigres UANL - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.00
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match0.82.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Toluca
ScoredConceded
6
7
0-15
13
5
16-30
14
8
31-45
19
7
46-60
10
8
61-75
16
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (19 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

Tigres UANL
ScoredConceded
8
3
0-15
8
7
16-30
12
7
31-45
17
8
46-60
16
6
61-75
14
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.86
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-6%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Toluca

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.67
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-19.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Tigres UANL

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-21.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
148%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
62%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).

Teams vs league

TolucaLigaTigres UANL
Average goals in match 2.882.91 2.83
Both teams scored 55%59% 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%55% 50%
Clean sheets 31%24% 33%
Goal before half-time 69%72% 57%
Goal after half-time 79%76% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.91
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.69
Home goals / match
1.21
Away goals / match
+40%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Toluca 0 - 1 - 2 Tigres UANL. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 33% mga match.

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Toluca vs Tigres UANL?

Natapos ang Liga MX match sa score na Toluca 2:1 Tigres UANL. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang head-to-head record ng Toluca at Tigres UANL?

Sa huling 3 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Toluca ng 0, ang Tigres UANL ng 2, at 1 ang draws. Average goals: 2.67; BTTS: 33%.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Toluca vs Tigres UANL?

Toluca scores 1.86 goals per match at Tigres UANL 1.79. Ang Liga MX average ay 2.91 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 55% ng matches. BTTS: Toluca 55%, Tigres UANL 57%.

Ano ang current form ng Toluca at Tigres UANL?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Toluca ay 1-0-4 (0.60 points per match), habang ang Tigres UANL ay 2-2-1 (1.60 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Toluca vs Tigres UANL?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.