Triestina vs Novara: match stats
Ang Triestina ay nagpapakita ng impresibong home form na may 50% win rate at average na 1.92 goals per match, kaya sila ang favorite sa laban na ito. Ang home team ay may mas magandang shooting efficiency (15% conversion) at advantage sa expected goals (xG 1.69 vs 1.30), na nagpapakita ng mas mataas na quality ng chances na nagagawa nila. Ang Novara naman ay characterized ng defensive tactics na may hanggang 75% draws sa away games, pero ang kanilang offense ay mahina – only 0.92 goals average per away match at 33% ng games na walang na-score na goal. Ang goal difference ng home team sa home matches (+10) ay mas mataas kumpara sa away goal difference ng Novara (-1), at ang form ng both teams sa last five matches ay identical (1.2 points per match), na nag-suggest ng balanced overall performance. Considering the home advantage ng Triestina, ang kanilang better offensive efficiency, at ang tendency ng Novara na mag-draw, ang most probable scenario ay panalo ng home team, pero ang draw ay isang realistic alternative.
Triestina vs Novara: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Triestina vs Novara sa Serie C Group A (Italy). Naka-schedule ang match sa 15 February 2026 at 12:30. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Triestina: 2-1-2 sa last five matches at 1.40 points per match. Novara: 1-0-4 at 0.60 points per match.
Goal statistics
Triestina scores 1.18 at concedes 1.55 goals per match. Novara scores 1.05 at concedes 1.03. League average: 2.34 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Triestina 53%, Novara 53%. Over 2.5: Triestina 50%, Novara 32%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots at playing style
Novara ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.45 vs 1.44. Triestina averages 10.9 shots per match, habang Novara ay 11.6.
First at second half
Triestina leads at half-time sa 18% ng matches at scores 0.87 goals after the break. Novara: 24% at 0.50.
Goals by minute
Triestina: 61-75 (15 goals). Novara: 61-75 (9 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 50% at Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-1-0. Average goals: 0.00, BTTS: 0%.
Match description
Ang Triestina ay nagpapakita ng impresibong home form na may 50% win rate at average na 1.92 goals per match, kaya sila ang favorite sa laban na ito. Ang home team ay may mas magandang shooting efficiency (15% conversion) at advantage sa expected goals (xG 1.69 vs 1.30), na nagpapakita ng mas mataas na quality ng chances na nagagawa nila. Ang Novara naman ay characterized ng defensive tactics na may hanggang 75% draws sa away games, pero ang kanilang offense ay mahina – only 0.92 goals average per away match at 33% ng games na walang na-score na goal. Ang goal difference ng home team sa home matches (+10) ay mas mataas kumpara sa away goal difference ng Novara (-1), at ang form ng both teams sa last five matches ay identical (1.2 points per match), na nag-suggest ng balanced overall performance. Considering the home advantage ng Triestina, ang kanilang better offensive efficiency, at ang tendency ng Novara na mag-draw, ang most probable scenario ay panalo ng home team, pero ang draw ay isang realistic alternative.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Triestina | Novara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Triestina is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Triestina · 0.6 pts / match - Novara
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Triestina is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Triestina · 1.05 goals / match - Novara
Novara is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.55 goals / match - Triestina · 1.03 goals / match - Novara
Triestina scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).
Novara scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Triestina keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Triestina
Over / Under — Novara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Novara is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Triestina · 1.21 pts / match - Novara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Triestina - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Novara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Triestina
Novara
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Triestina | Liga | Novara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.74 | 2.34 | ▼ 2.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 50% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 30% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 66% | • 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 73% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Triestina 0 - 1 - 0 Novara. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Triestina vs Novara?
Natapos ang Serie C Group A match sa score na Triestina 0:1 Novara. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Triestina vs Novara?
Triestina scores 1.18 goals per match at Novara 1.05. Ang Serie C Group A average ay 2.34 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 43% ng matches. BTTS: Triestina 53%, Novara 53%.
Ano ang current form ng Triestina at Novara?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Triestina ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match), habang ang Novara ay 1-0-4 (0.60 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Triestina vs Novara?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.