Tukums vs Super Nova: match stats
Tukums vs Super Nova: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Tukums vs Super Nova sa Virsliga (Latvia). Naka-schedule ang match sa 1 July 2026 at 17:00. Venue: Tukuma pilsētas stadions. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Tukums: 0-0-5 sa last five matches at 0.00 points per match. Super Nova: 2-0-3 at 1.20 points per match.
Goal statistics
Tukums scores 1.65 at concedes 2.04 goals per match. Super Nova scores 1.09 at concedes 1.52. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tukums 91%, Super Nova 61%. Over 2.5: Tukums 78%, Super Nova 57%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots at playing style
Tukums ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.42 vs 1.19. Tukums averages 11.9 shots per match, habang Super Nova ay 9.0.
First at second half
Tukums leads at half-time sa 26% ng matches at scores 0.83 goals after the break. Super Nova: 17% at 0.52.
Goals by minute
Tukums: 76-90+ (12 goals). Super Nova: 76-90+ (7 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 56% at Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Sa 6 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-3-2. Average goals: 2.50, BTTS: 83%.
Match description
I predict win for the home side (Tukums), mainly due to clear home offensive edge: Tukums averages 11.4 shots per home game, of which 5.2 on target, has a conversion rate of 18% and scores 2.1 goals per home match, while Super Nova away averages only 8.82 shots, 3.45 on target and 0.91 goals per match with 10% conversion. In the last 5 games Tukums scored 6 and conceded 12, averaging 0.8 points per match, whereas Super Nova scored 3 and conceded 11, yielding only 0.2 points per match in that period. Regarding quality of chances, average xG for the hosts in home matches is 1.39 versus 1.2 xG for the visitors away, and at the same time Tukums has 0% matches without scoring at home, while Super Nova failed to score in 36% of their away games — this further favors the hosts. Defenses of both teams are prone to mistakes though: Tukums concedes on average 1.4 goals per home match, and Super Nova 1.09 away, so I expect an open game with home advantage. Considering shot advantage, better efficiency (18% vs 10%) and no goalless home games for the hosts, I assess probabilities as 55% for Tukums, 25% draw and 20% for Super Nova.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tukums | Super Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tukums is 51% better for: goals scored per match.
1.65 goals / match - Tukums · 1.09 goals / match - Super Nova
Super Nova is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.04 goals / match - Tukums · 1.52 goals / match - Super Nova
Tukums scores in 96% of matches (22 of 23 matches), while Super Nova keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
Super Nova scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Tukums keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Tukums
Over / Under — Super Nova
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tukums is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - Tukums · 1.04 pts / match - Super Nova
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tukums - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Super Nova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Tukums
Super Nova
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Tukums | Liga | Super Nova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.70 | 2.98 | ▼ 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 91% | 56% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 78% | 55% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 4% | 24% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 75% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 84% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Tukums 1 - 3 - 2 Super Nova. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 83% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Tukums vs Super Nova?
Natapos ang Virsliga match sa score na Tukums 1:2 Super Nova. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang head-to-head record ng Tukums at Super Nova?
Sa huling 6 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Tukums ng 1, ang Super Nova ng 2, at 3 ang draws. Average goals: 2.50; BTTS: 83%.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Tukums vs Super Nova?
Tukums scores 1.65 goals per match at Super Nova 1.09. Ang Virsliga average ay 2.98 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 55% ng matches. BTTS: Tukums 91%, Super Nova 61%.
Ano ang current form ng Tukums at Super Nova?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Tukums ay 0-0-5 (0.00 points per match), habang ang Super Nova ay 2-0-3 (1.20 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Tukums vs Super Nova?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.