Valenciennes vs Caen: match stats
Ang statistical analysis ay nagtuturo sa draw bilang most likely result. Nagpapakita ng weak home form ang Valenciennes with 55% losses, bagaman naga-average sila ng 1.27 goals per match vs 1.74 xG, suggesting untapped potential. Ang Caen naman ay may very high draw rate sa away games (60%) at walang clean sheets, pero consistent na nakaka-score (0% FTS). Similar ang form ng both teams sa last 5 matches (0.8 vs 1.0 PPG) at magkalapit ang xG indicators. Ang high average shots on target ng Valenciennes (5.91) ay pwedeng ma-cancel out ng conversion efficiency ng Caen (15%). Dahil sa tendency ng Caen na mag-draw sa away at instability ng hosts, inaasahan ko ang paghahati ng points.
Valenciennes vs Caen: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Valenciennes vs Caen sa National (France). Naka-schedule ang match sa 28 February 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Valenciennes: 0-2-3 sa last five matches at 0.40 points per match. Caen: 3-1-1 at 2.00 points per match.
Goal statistics
Valenciennes scores 1.09 at concedes 1.31 goals per match. Caen scores 1.22 at concedes 1.06. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Valenciennes 56%, Caen 56%. Over 2.5: Valenciennes 47%, Caen 41%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots at playing style
Valenciennes ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.44 vs 1.37. Valenciennes averages 11.8 shots per match, habang Caen ay 11.2.
First at second half
Valenciennes leads at half-time sa 19% ng matches at scores 0.75 goals after the break. Caen: 38% at 0.69.
Goals by minute
Valenciennes: 76-90+ (14 goals). Caen: 46-60 (9 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
National: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 53% at Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-1-0. Average goals: 0.00, BTTS: 0%.
Match description
Ang statistical analysis ay nagtuturo sa draw bilang most likely result. Nagpapakita ng weak home form ang Valenciennes with 55% losses, bagaman naga-average sila ng 1.27 goals per match vs 1.74 xG, suggesting untapped potential. Ang Caen naman ay may very high draw rate sa away games (60%) at walang clean sheets, pero consistent na nakaka-score (0% FTS). Similar ang form ng both teams sa last 5 matches (0.8 vs 1.0 PPG) at magkalapit ang xG indicators. Ang high average shots on target ng Valenciennes (5.91) ay pwedeng ma-cancel out ng conversion efficiency ng Caen (15%). Dahil sa tendency ng Caen na mag-draw sa away at instability ng hosts, inaasahan ko ang paghahati ng points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Valenciennes | Caen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Caen is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Valenciennes · 2 pts / match - Caen
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Caen is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.09 goals / match - Valenciennes · 1.22 goals / match - Caen
Caen is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.31 goals / match - Valenciennes · 1.06 goals / match - Caen
Valenciennes scores in 69% of matches (22 of 32 matches), while Caen keeps a clean sheet in 38% (12 of 32 matches).
Caen scores in 78% of matches (25 of 32 matches), while Valenciennes keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Valenciennes
Over / Under — Caen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Caen is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Valenciennes · 1.5 pts / match - Caen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Valenciennes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Caen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Valenciennes
Caen
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| Valenciennes | Liga | Caen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.41 | 2.42 | ▼ 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 53% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 49% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 29% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 66% | 69% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 73% | • 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Valenciennes 0 - 1 - 0 Caen. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Valenciennes vs Caen?
Natapos ang National match sa score na Valenciennes 2:1 Caen. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Valenciennes vs Caen?
Valenciennes scores 1.09 goals per match at Caen 1.22. Ang National average ay 2.42 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 49% ng matches. BTTS: Valenciennes 56%, Caen 56%.
Ano ang current form ng Valenciennes at Caen?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Valenciennes ay 0-2-3 (0.40 points per match), habang ang Caen ay 3-1-1 (2.00 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Valenciennes vs Caen?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.