Hungary - NB IIUpdated ang data noong September 06, 2026

Videoton vs Budafoki MTE: mga stats ng match

Videoton crest
Videoton
1 : 3half-time 1:1
Budafoki MTE crest
Budafoki MTE

Videoton vs Budafoki MTE: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Naglaro ang Videoton laban sa Budafoki MTE sa NB II (Hungary). Nilaro ang match noong 17 May 2026. Final score: 1:3.

Current na form

Videoton: 1-1-3 sa last five matches at 0.80 points per match. Budafoki MTE: 1-1-3 at 0.80 points per match.

Stats ng goals

Videoton ay may 1.24 goals na na-score at 1.03 na na-concede bawat match. Ang Budafoki MTE naman ay may 1.03 na na-score at 1.66 na na-concede. Average ng liga: 2.51 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Videoton 45%, Budafoki MTE 45%. Over 2.5: Videoton 34%, Budafoki MTE 45%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots at style ng laro

Videoton ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.38 vs 1.34. May average na 9.9 shots bawat match ang Videoton, habang 10.4 naman ang Budafoki MTE.

First at second half

Nangunguna ang Videoton sa half-time sa 41% ng matches at nakaka-score ng 0.59 goals pagkatapos ng break. Para sa Budafoki MTE, 24% at 0.69 ang mga value.

Goals ayon sa minuto

Videoton: 46-60 (12 goals). Budafoki MTE: 76-90+ (8 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

Context ng liga

NB II: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 48% at Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head record

Bago ang match na ito, may 1 previous head-to-head matches sa database. Ang record ay 0-1-0, average goals 4.00, at BTTS 100%.

Archived na pre-match analysis

Ginawa ang analysis na ito bago ang kick-off. Ang conclusions ay base lang sa data na available bago ang match at hindi kasama ang final result o post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Videoton (7th place) has a clear edge over Budafoki (15th place) despite similar short-term point returns — pareho silang ~0.8 points per match sa last 5 games, pero hosts scored 5 goals sa five matches kumpara sa 6 ng visitors. Biggest advantage ng Videoton is defense: hosts concede only 0.71 goals per match at home, habang Budafoki concedes 2.07 goals away, at mean xG against is 1.07 vs 1.63 — nagpapakita ng significantly more clear chances against the visitors. Offensively xG values are comparable (Videoton home xG 1.35 vs Budafoki away xG 1.39) at mean goals 1.14 for Videoton at home kontra 1.00 for Budafoki away, with similar shot numbers (10.92 vs 10.29) and shots on target (4.08 vs 3.86). Plus, hosts have 50% clean sheets at home and won 43% of home matches, samantalang Budafoki away won only 21% and lost 79% of those games, kaya mas probable ang home win kaysa draw o away success.

Tingnan ang statistical overview

Ayon sa half

1 : 1
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Stats ng match

47Possession (%)53
VideotonBudafoki MTE
10Shots7
VideotonBudafoki MTE
3Shots on target4
VideotonBudafoki MTE
1.28xG1.1
VideotonBudafoki MTE
8Corners5
VideotonBudafoki MTE
59Dangerous attacks51
VideotonBudafoki MTE
19Fouls13
VideotonBudafoki MTE
0Cards2
VideotonBudafoki MTE

Pre-match na profile— ano ang sinasabi ng season numbers?

Team profile ito batay sa season data at form. Lalabas lang ang match-flow statistics kapag tapos na ang fixture.

1.34Points bawat matchPPG - points per match.0.9
VideotonBudafoki MTE
1.24Goals na na-score / match1.03
VideotonBudafoki MTE
1.03Goals na na-concede / match1.66
VideotonBudafoki MTE
1.38xG forxG - expected goals o quality ng scoring chances.1.34
VideotonBudafoki MTE
45%Average na possession47%
VideotonBudafoki MTE
3.41Shots on target bawat match3.66
VideotonBudafoki MTE
34%Clean sheetsClean sheet - match na walang conceded goal.21%
VideotonBudafoki MTE
45%Parehong teams naka-scoreBTTS - percentage ng matches kung saan naka-score ang parehong teams.45%
VideotonBudafoki MTE

Stats ng teams— alin ang mas efficient na team?

Comparison ng attack at defence ng dalawang teams sa current season.

9.93Shots bawat match10.41
VideotonBudafoki MTE
3.41Shots on target3.66
VideotonBudafoki MTE
12.5%Shot conversion9.9%
VideotonBudafoki MTE
45%Possession47%
VideotonBudafoki MTE
1.38xG for1.34
VideotonBudafoki MTE
1.44xG against1.51
VideotonBudafoki MTE

Quality ng shooting

Videoton: Counter-attacking ang styleBudafoki MTE: Balanced ang style
VideotonBudafoki MTE
Accuracy ng shots on target34%35%
Quality ng chances (xG bawat shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals bawat shot on target)0.360.28

Kapag nasa 0.08 ang xG per shot, kadalasan long-range attempts iyon; ang 0.15+ ay karaniwang chances sa box. Galing sa possession, shot volume at conversion ang style label.

* Ipinapakita ng xG (expected goals) kung ilang goals ang inaasahang makuha ng team mula sa chances nito. Kapag mas mataas ang actual goals kaysa xG, above average ang finishing; kapag mas mababa, may missed chances.

Form ng teams— alin ang mas maganda ang current form?

Last five matches at season record, overall at may home-away split.

Videoton
DWLLL
Result split ngayong season
34% W31% R34% P
Season record (W-D-L)
10-9-10
1.34 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record ng team sa home (W-D-L)
6-5-3
Last 5 sa home
2-2-1
WWDDL
Averages sa last 5 matches
Goals na na-score: 1.0Goals na na-concede: 1.2xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Budafoki MTE
LLWLD
Result split ngayong season
21% W28% R52% P
Season record (W-D-L)
6-8-15
0.90 pts / match · goal difference -18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record ng team sa away (W-D-L)
3-0-11
Last 5 sa away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Averages sa last 5 matches
Goals na na-score: 1.2Goals na na-concede: 1.6xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

Ilang goals ang sini-score at kino-concede ng dalawang teams, pati kung gaano kadalas silang mag-clean sheet o hindi maka-score.

Videoton ang 20% better sa: goals scored per match.

1.24 goals / match - Videoton · 1.03 goals / match - Budafoki MTE

Videoton ang 61% better sa: goals conceded per match.

1.03 goals / match - Videoton · 1.66 goals / match - Budafoki MTE

Scoring profile ng Videoton: napakalakas

Nakaka-score ang Videoton sa 72% ng matches (21 sa 29 matches), habang may clean sheet ang Budafoki MTE sa 21% (6 sa 29 matches).

Scoring profile ng Budafoki MTE: malakas

Nakaka-score ang Budafoki MTE sa 62% ng matches (18 sa 29 matches), habang may clean sheet ang Videoton sa 34% (10 sa 29 matches).

36Goals na na-score (season)30
VideotonBudafoki MTE
30Goals na na-concede (season)48
VideotonBudafoki MTE
2.28Average ng goals sa match2.69
VideotonBudafoki MTE
5Goals na na-score (last 5)6
VideotonBudafoki MTE
6Goals na na-concede (last 5)8
VideotonBudafoki MTE
Videoton
34%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - match na walang conceded goal.10 sa 29 matches
28%
No goalFailed to score - match kung saan hindi naka-score ang team.8 sa 29 matches
Budafoki MTE
21%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - match na walang conceded goal.6 sa 29 matches
38%
No goalFailed to score - match kung saan hindi naka-score ang team.11 sa 29 matches

Gaano kadalas silang maka-score ng hindi bababa sa...

72%1 goal62%
VideotonBudafoki MTE
28%2 goals38%
VideotonBudafoki MTE
10%3 goals3%
VideotonBudafoki MTE
7%4 goals0%
VideotonBudafoki MTE

Gaano kadalas silang mag-concede ng hindi bababa sa...

66%1 goal79%
VideotonBudafoki MTE
28%2 goals52%
VideotonBudafoki MTE
10%3 goals24%
VideotonBudafoki MTE
0%4 goals7%
VideotonBudafoki MTE

* Kasama sa statistics ang home at away matches ng dalawang teams sa current season.

Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

Gaano kadalas may goals ang magkabilang panig sa matches ng teams, kumpara sa league average.

45%
Videoton - BTTSBTTS - percentage ng matches kung saan naka-score ang parehong teams.13 sa 29 matches
45%
Budafoki MTE - BTTSBTTS - percentage ng matches kung saan naka-score ang parehong teams.13 sa 29 matches
48%
Average ng liga

Mga pattern ng goal

14%BTTS sa half-time7%
VideotonBudafoki MTE
0%BTTS sa parehong halves3%
VideotonBudafoki MTE
24%Naka-score sa parehong halves17%
VideotonBudafoki MTE

BTTS at goal count

24%Min. 3 goals at BTTS31%
VideotonBudafoki MTE
10%Min. 3 goals na walang BTTS14%
VideotonBudafoki MTE
40%BTTS - last 560%
VideotonBudafoki MTE

Mga goal line (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

Gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal thresholds ang matches ng teams, sa full match at bawat half.

Buong match - comparison ng teams (Over)

93%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)Over 0.5 - may hindi bababa sa isang goal sa match.97%
VideotonBudafoki MTE
72%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)Over 1.5 - may hindi bababa sa dalawang goals sa match.83%
VideotonBudafoki MTE
34%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)Over 2.5 - may hindi bababa sa tatlong goals sa match.45%
VideotonBudafoki MTE
17%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)Over 3.5 - may hindi bababa sa apat na goals sa match.24%
VideotonBudafoki MTE
7%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)Over 4.5 - may hindi bababa sa limang goals sa match.10%
VideotonBudafoki MTE

Over / Under - Videoton

Linya 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - may hindi bababa sa isang goal sa match.
Over 93%Under 7%
Linya 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - may hindi bababa sa dalawang goals sa match.
Over 72%Under 28%
Linya 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - may hindi bababa sa tatlong goals sa match.
Over 34%Under 66%
Linya 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - may hindi bababa sa apat na goals sa match.
Over 17%Under 83%
Linya 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - may hindi bababa sa limang goals sa match.
Over 7%Under 93%

Over / Under - Budafoki MTE

Linya 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - may hindi bababa sa isang goal sa match.
Over 97%Under 3%
Linya 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - may hindi bababa sa dalawang goals sa match.
Over 83%Under 17%
Linya 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - may hindi bababa sa tatlong goals sa match.
Over 45%Under 55%
Linya 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - may hindi bababa sa apat na goals sa match.
Over 24%Under 76%
Linya 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - may hindi bababa sa limang goals sa match.
Over 10%Under 90%

1st half

72%Min. 1 goal bago ang half-time79%
VideotonBudafoki MTE
28%Min. 2 goals bago ang half-time28%
VideotonBudafoki MTE
3%Min. 3 goals bago ang half-time10%
VideotonBudafoki MTE

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal pagkatapos ng half-time86%
VideotonBudafoki MTE
31%Min. 2 goals pagkatapos ng half-time38%
VideotonBudafoki MTE
10%Min. 3 goals pagkatapos ng half-time17%
VideotonBudafoki MTE

Mga half ng match— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

Paano nahahati sa first at second half ang performance: goals, points, clean sheets at state sa half-time.

Videoton ang 67% better sa: form sa first half (half-time points).

1.62 pts / match - Videoton · 0.97 pts / match - Budafoki MTE

Videoton - state sa half-time
41% nangunguna38% tabla21% nahuhuli
Budafoki MTE - state sa half-time
24% nangunguna24% tabla52% nahuhuli

Bago ang half-time (1st half)

1.62Points bawat match (1st half)0.97
VideotonBudafoki MTE
0.66Goals na na-score (1st half)0.34
VideotonBudafoki MTE
0.41Goals na na-concede (1st half)0.83
VideotonBudafoki MTE
1.07Average ng goals (1st half)1.17
VideotonBudafoki MTE
66%Clean sheet bago ang half-time45%
VideotonBudafoki MTE
48%Walang goal bago ang half-time69%
VideotonBudafoki MTE

Pagkatapos ng half-time (2nd half)

1.24Points bawat match (2nd half)1.24
VideotonBudafoki MTE
0.59Goals na na-score (2nd half)0.69
VideotonBudafoki MTE
0.62Goals na na-concede (2nd half)0.83
VideotonBudafoki MTE
1.21Average ng goals (2nd half)1.52
VideotonBudafoki MTE
55%Clean sheet pagkatapos ng half-time38%
VideotonBudafoki MTE
55%Walang goal pagkatapos ng half-time52%
VideotonBudafoki MTE

Videoton - mga result sa second half

31% W31% R38% P
47
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference sa 1st half
36
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference sa 2nd half
1.62
PPG bago ang half-time
Lead holding83%

Leading sa half-time sa 41% ng matches at nananalo sa 34%. Karaniwang napoprotektahan ang lead hanggang full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Nagko-concede ng 0.2 more goals per match pagkatapos ng half-time - bumababa ang defensive level sa second half.

Budafoki MTE - mga result sa second half

34% W21% R45% P
28
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-14
Goal difference sa 1st half
36
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference sa 2nd half
0.97
PPG bago ang half-time
Lead holding88%

Leading sa half-time sa 24% ng matches at nananalo sa 21%. Karaniwang napoprotektahan ang lead hanggang full-time.

Defence after half-time0.0

Stable ang defence sa buong match.

Videoton - last 5 matches per half
1st half2nd half
Points bawat match2.000.80
Goals na na-score / match0.80.2
Goals na na-concede / match0.21.0
Average ng goals sa match1.01.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+3-4
Half-time: 60% nangunguna - 20% tabla - 20% nahuhuli
2nd half: 20% panalo - 20% tabla - 60% talo
BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 0% - Total goals sa half-time: 4
Budafoki MTE - last 5 matches per half
1st half2nd half
Points bawat match1.001.20
Goals na na-score / match0.40.8
Goals na na-concede / match0.80.8
Average ng goals sa match1.21.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 20% nangunguna - 40% tabla - 40% nahuhuli
2nd half: 40% panalo - 0% tabla - 60% talo
BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 20% - Total goals sa half-time: 2

* Ipinapakita ng colors sa tables ang event frequency: green ay common, yellow ay moderate, red ay rare. Frequency ito, hindi team rating.

Goals ayon sa minuto— kailan dumarating ang goals?

Mga phase ng match kung kailan pinakamadalas maka-score at mag-concede ang dalawang teams.

Videoton
Na-scoreNa-concede
3
4
0-15
6
5
16-30
10
3
31-45
12
5
46-60
5
3
61-75
0
10
76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 76-90 (10). Balance ng late goals (76-90): -10 - mahina sa late phases.

Budafoki MTE
Na-scoreNa-concede
1
6
0-15
3
11
16-30
6
7
31-45
5
4
46-60
7
7
61-75
8
13
76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 76-90 (13). Balance ng late goals (76-90): -5 - mahina sa late phases.

* Kasama sa buckets na 31-45 at 76-90 ang added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa completed matches ngayong season.

Profile ng match

2.48
Estimated na goals
attack laban sa opponent defence
1.4 : 1.0
Estimated na hati ng goals
home : away
99%
Pace kumpara sa liga
100% = average ng liga
45%
Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)
average mula sa seasons ng dalawang teams
+61%
Derby effect
H2H goals kumpara sa typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
mula sa scoring frequency ng dalawang teams
11%
0:0 risk
mga 1 sa bawat 9 matches
2-3
Pinakakaraniwang goal range
attack vs defence sa magkabilang panig

Videoton

Net xG balance
Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.
-0.06
Results kumpara sa xG
Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.
+0.27
Points kumpara sa goal balance
Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.
-12.3 pts
Efficiency ng finishing
Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.
-0.14
Efficiency ng defence
Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.
+0.41
Attack vs league
Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.
93%
Defence vs league
Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.
88%
Trend ng form
Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.
-0.54
Mas malakas sa second half?
Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.
-0.1
Mga late goal
0% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 8% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.
0%

Budafoki MTE

Net xG balance
Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.
-0.17
Results kumpara sa xG
Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.
-0.46
Points kumpara sa goal balance
Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.
+1.6 pts
Efficiency ng finishing
Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.
-0.31
Efficiency ng defence
Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.
-0.15
Attack vs league
Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.
88%
Defence vs league
Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.
124%
Trend ng form
Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.
-0.10
Mas malakas sa second half?
Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.
+0.3
Mga late goal
27% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 3% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.
27%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick. Ang iba pang indicators ay naglalarawan ng completed matches sa season.

Context ng liga— mataas ba ang scoring sa league na ito?

Paano nagko-compare ang dalawang teams sa league-wide averages ng NB II.

Teams kumpara sa liga

VideotonLigaBudafoki MTE
Average ng goals sa match▼ 2.282.51▲ 2.69
Parehong teams naka-score▼ 45%48%▼ 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 34%44%• 45%
Clean sheets▲ 34%29%▼ 21%
Goal bago ang half-time▲ 72%70%▲ 79%
Goal pagkatapos ng half-time▼ 76%79%▲ 86%

^ green = mas mataas sa league average, ˇ red = mas mababa sa league average. Direction ng gap ang ipinapakita nito, hindi team rating.

2.51
Average goals bawat match
48%
Parehong teams naka-score
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.34
Home goals bawat match
1.17
Away goals bawat match
+15%
Advantage ng home attack
+13%
Advantage ng home defence
+14%
Kabuuang home advantage
Goals sa 1st half (buong liga)
70%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals sa 2nd half (buong liga)
79%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups at player events

Verified starters, substitutes at recorded events para sa match.

Home team

Away team

Timeline ng match

Mga goal, card at substitution ayon sa pagkakasunod ng oras.

  1. Budafoki MTEGoalMárió Németh
  2. VideotonGoalBence Bedi
  3. VideotonSubstitutionPumasok: Bálint GeigerLumabas: Krisztián Kovács
  4. Budafoki MTESubstitutionPumasok: Márk JagodicsLumabas: Dávid Kálnoki-Kis
  5. VideotonSubstitutionPumasok: Kende KöllőLumabas: Ákos Berekméri-Szigeti
  6. Budafoki MTEYellow cardDonát Horgosi
  7. VideotonSubstitutionPumasok: Patrik KovácsLumabas: Benedek Murka
  8. Budafoki MTEGoalZoltán Vasvári
  9. Budafoki MTEGoalZoltán Vasvári
  10. Budafoki MTEYellow cardBálint Selyem

Referee at coaches

Buksan ang season profiles para makita ang match record, goals at discipline trends.

RefereeTamas SiposHome coachTamas Peto

Konteksto ng referee

Season averages at hatian ng resulta sa mga match na hinawakan ng referee na ito.

Tamas SiposMatches officiated: 9
2.44Cards kada match
0Penalties kada match
1 / X / 233%Home wins22%Draws44%Away wins

Head-to-head

Nakaraang meeting: Videoton 0 - 1 - 0 Budafoki MTE. Average ng goals 4.00, both teams scored sa 100% matches.

Budafoki MTE
2 : 2
Videoton FC Fehérvár

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Videoton vs Budafoki MTE?

Natapos ang NB II match sa score na Videoton 1:3 Budafoki MTE. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Videoton vs Budafoki MTE?

Videoton scores 1.24 goals per match at Budafoki MTE 1.03. Ang NB II average ay 2.51 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 44% ng matches. BTTS: Videoton 45%, Budafoki MTE 45%.

Ano ang current form ng Videoton at Budafoki MTE?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Videoton ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match), habang ang Budafoki MTE ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Videoton vs Budafoki MTE?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.