Uruguay - Primera DivisiónEstadio Monumental Luis TróccoliData current as of 19 July 2026

Cerro vs Racing: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Cerro vs Racing: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Cerro play Racing in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 19 July 2026 at 18:00. Venue: Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli.

Current form

Cerro: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Racing: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Cerro scores 0.60 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Racing scores 1.30 and concedes 0.80. League average: 2.40 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cerro 40%, Racing 55%. Over 2.5: Cerro 35%, Racing 30%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 45%.

xG, shots and style

Racing has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.32. Cerro: 11.4 shots per match, Racing: 13.2.

Match halves

Cerro: half-time lead 5%, second-half goals 0.30. Racing: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.65.

Goals by minute

Cerro: 76-90+ (5 goals). Racing: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.40 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 45%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 1-0-2. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(4.60)
(3.05)
(1.74)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.6Goals scored / match1.3
CerroRacing
1.6Goals conceded / match0.8
CerroRacing
43%Average possession48%
CerroRacing
3.45Shots on target / match4.2
CerroRacing

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.45Shots per match13.15
CerroRacing
3.45Shots on target4.2
CerroRacing
5.2%Shot conversion9.9%
CerroRacing
43%Possession48%
CerroRacing
1.32xG for1.61
CerroRacing
1.47xG against1.08
CerroRacing

Shooting quality

Cerro: BalancedRacing: Balanced
CerroRacing
Accuracy (shots on target)30%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.170.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Racing is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Cerro · 1.4 pts / match - Racing

Cerro
LWLLW
Season result split
20% W20% R60% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-12
0.80 pts / match · goal difference -20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-3-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WDLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Racing
WDDDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W40% R10% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-8-2
1.90 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-4-0
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-3-1
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WWLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 0.88BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Racing is 117% better for: goals scored per match.

0.6 goals / match - Cerro · 1.3 goals / match - Racing

Racing is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.6 goals / match - Cerro · 0.8 goals / match - Racing

Cerro scoring profile: mixed

Cerro scores in 55% of matches (11 of 20 matches), while Racing keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).

Racing scoring profile: very strong

Racing scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Cerro keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).

12Goals scored (season)26
CerroRacing
32Goals conceded (season)16
CerroRacing
2.2Average goals in match2.1
CerroRacing
4Goals scored (last 5)3
CerroRacing
8Goals conceded (last 5)2
CerroRacing

How often they score at least...

55%1 goal85%
CerroRacing
5%2 goals30%
CerroRacing
0%3 goals10%
CerroRacing
0%4 goals5%
CerroRacing

How often they concede at least...

85%1 goal60%
CerroRacing
35%2 goals10%
CerroRacing
30%3 goals5%
CerroRacing
10%4 goals5%
CerroRacing

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time25%
CerroRacing
0%BTTS in both halves5%
CerroRacing
5%Scored in both halves20%
CerroRacing

BTTS and goal count

20%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
CerroRacing
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
CerroRacing
40%BTTS - last 540%
CerroRacing

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
CerroRacing
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
CerroRacing
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
CerroRacing

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
CerroRacing
35%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
CerroRacing
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
CerroRacing

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Racing is 127% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.75 pts / match - Cerro · 1.7 pts / match - Racing

Cerro - half-time state
5% leading60% draw35% trailing
Racing - half-time state
40% leading50% draw10% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.75Points per match (1st half)1.7
CerroRacing
0.3Goals scored (1st half)0.65
CerroRacing
0.65Goals conceded (1st half)0.35
CerroRacing
0.95Average goals (1st half)1
CerroRacing
55%Clean sheet before half-time70%
CerroRacing
70%No goal before half-time40%
CerroRacing

After half-time (2nd half)

0.8Points per match (2nd half)1.35
CerroRacing
0.3Goals scored (2nd half)0.65
CerroRacing
0.95Goals conceded (2nd half)0.45
CerroRacing
1.25Average goals (2nd half)1.1
CerroRacing
30%Clean sheet after half-time65%
CerroRacing
70%No goal after half-time55%
CerroRacing

Cerro - second-half results

20% W20% R60% P
15
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
-13
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding400%

Leads at half-time in 5% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Racing - second-half results

30% W45% R25% P
34
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.70
PPG before half-time
Lead holding125%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Cerro - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.80
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference0-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Racing - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.80
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.00.4
Average goals in match0.40.6
1 goal40%40%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cerro
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
2
4
16-30
3
7
31-45
0
2
46-60
1
4
61-75
5
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

Racing
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
5
3
16-30
5
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
6
3
61-75
6
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.15
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.7 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-22%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
47%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cerro

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.85
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+8.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.72
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
45%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
147%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
42% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
42%

Racing

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
119%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
61%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.50
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

CerroLigaRacing
Average goals in match 2.202.40 2.10
Both teams scored 40%53% 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 35%45% 30%
Clean sheets 15%27% 40%
Goal before half-time 50%69% 65%
Goal after half-time 90%73% 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.40
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.32
Home goals / match
1.09
Away goals / match
+21%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Cerro 1 - 0 - 2 Racing. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.

Racing Club de Montevideo
1 : 0
Club Atlético Cerro
Club Atlético Cerro
1 : 2
Racing Club de Montevideo
Racing Club de Montevideo
0 : 1
Club Atlético Cerro

FAQ

When do Cerro and Racing play?

Cerro face Racing on 19 July 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Cerro and Racing?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Cerro won 1, Racing won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Cerro vs Racing?

Cerro score 0.60 goals per game on average and Racing 1.30. The Primera División average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Cerro's matches and 55% of Racing's.

What form are Cerro and Racing in?

Over the last 5 games Cerro have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Racing 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro vs Racing?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.