Racing vs Cerro: match statistics
Racing displays significantly better form and home statistics than Cerro in away matches. The hosts have won 50% of their home games, scoring an average of 3 goals per match with an xG of 2.17, which indicates an efficient offense. Cerro, however, has not won a single away match this season (0% win rate), has failed to score on the road (FTS% 100%), and concedes an average of 3 goals per game. The quality difference is also evident in the goal difference: Racing +2 at home, Cerro -3 away. Overall form also favors the hosts, who are averaging 1.4 points per game in their last five matches, while Cerro only 0.6 points. All indicators point clearly to a confident victory for Racing in front of their home crowd.
Racing vs Cerro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Racing played Cerro in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Racing: 2-1-1, 1.75 points/match. Cerro: 0-2-2, 0.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Racing scores 2.50 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Cerro scores 0.50 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Racing 75%, Cerro 50%. Over 2.5: Racing 75%, Cerro 25%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Racing has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.28. Racing: 14.0 shots per match, Cerro: 11.8.
Match halves
Racing: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.50. Cerro: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
Racing: 61-75 (3 goals). Cerro: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Racing displays significantly better form and home statistics than Cerro in away matches. The hosts have won 50% of their home games, scoring an average of 3 goals per match with an xG of 2.17, which indicates an efficient offense. Cerro, however, has not won a single away match this season (0% win rate), has failed to score on the road (FTS% 100%), and concedes an average of 3 goals per game. The quality difference is also evident in the goal difference: Racing +2 at home, Cerro -3 away. Overall form also favors the hosts, who are averaging 1.4 points per game in their last five matches, while Cerro only 0.6 points. All indicators point clearly to a confident victory for Racing in front of their home crowd.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Racing | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 21% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Racing is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.75 pts / match - Racing · 0.5 pts / match - Cerro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Racing is 400% better for: goals scored per match.
2.5 goals / match - Racing · 0.5 goals / match - Cerro
Racing scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Cerro keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
Cerro scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Racing keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Racing
Over / Under - Cerro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Racing is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Racing · 0.75 pts / match - Cerro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Racing - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cerro - second-half results
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 75% |
| No goal | 0% | 25% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.75 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 25% |
| No goal | 75% | 75% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Racing
Cerro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Racing | Liga | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.00 | 2.43 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 51% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 49% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 27% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 69% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 74% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Racing 1 - 0 - 1 Cerro. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Racing vs Cerro?
The Primera División match finished Racing 1:0 Cerro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Racing and Cerro?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Racing won 1, Cerro won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Racing vs Cerro?
Racing score 2.50 goals per game on average and Cerro 0.50. The Primera División average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Racing's matches and 50% of Cerro's.
What form are Racing and Cerro in?
Over the last 5 games Racing have a 2-1-1 record (1.75 points per game) and Cerro 0-2-2 (0.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Racing vs Cerro?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Racing vs Cerro: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.