Portugal - LigaProData current as of 23 July 2026

União de Leiria vs Paços de Ferreira: match statistics

Reasoning:

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União de Leiria vs Paços de Ferreira: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

União de Leiria play Paços de Ferreira in LigaPro (Portugal). The match date is 29 March 2026 at 16:30.

Current form

União de Leiria: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Paços de Ferreira: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

União de Leiria scores 1.53 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Paços de Ferreira scores 1.00 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.44 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: União de Leiria 62%, Paços de Ferreira 47%. Over 2.5: União de Leiria 59%, Paços de Ferreira 50%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 45%.

xG, shots and style

União de Leiria has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.44. União de Leiria: 12.4 shots per match, Paços de Ferreira: 12.8.

Match halves

União de Leiria: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.82. Paços de Ferreira: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.62.

Goals by minute

União de Leiria: 76-90+ (11 goals). Paços de Ferreira: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

LigaPro: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 45%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.72)
(3.30)
(4.20)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
1.53Goals scored / match1
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
1.35Goals conceded / match1.41
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
50%Average possession48%
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
4.76Shots on target / match3.94
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.44Shots per match12.85
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
4.76Shots on target3.94
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
12.3%Shot conversion7.8%
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
50%Possession48%
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
1.49xG for1.44
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
1.39xG against1.68
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira

Shooting quality

União de Leiria: BalancedPaços de Ferreira: Balanced
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
Accuracy (shots on target)38%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Paços de Ferreira is 75% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - União de Leiria · 1.4 pts / match - Paços de Ferreira

União de Leiria
WLLLD
Season result split
38% W32% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-11-10
1.47 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-6-4
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WDWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 1.08BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Paços de Ferreira
WLLDW
Season result split
26% W35% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-12-13
1.15 pts / match · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-5-9
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LLDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.78Opponent xG: 1.85BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

União de Leiria is 53% better for: goals scored per match.

1.53 goals / match - União de Leiria · 1 goals / match - Paços de Ferreira

União de Leiria scoring profile: very strong

União de Leiria scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Paços de Ferreira keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).

Paços de Ferreira scoring profile: strong

Paços de Ferreira scores in 53% of matches (18 of 34 matches), while União de Leiria keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).

52Goals scored (season)34
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
46Goals conceded (season)48
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
2.88Average goals in match2.41
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
7Goals scored (last 5)8
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
10Goals conceded (last 5)9
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal53%
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
50%2 goals29%
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
18%3 goals12%
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
9%4 goals6%
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal71%
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
47%2 goals47%
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
12%3 goals18%
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
0%4 goals3%
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

62%
União de Leiria - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.21 of 34 matches
47%
Paços de Ferreira - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.16 of 34 matches
46%
League average

Goal patterns

32%BTTS at half-time18%
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
12%BTTS in both halves0%
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
38%Scored in both halves12%
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira

BTTS and goal count

56%Min. 3 goals and BTTS41%
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
60%BTTS - last 580%
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time59%
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
26%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

União de Leiria is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.41 pts / match - União de Leiria · 0.91 pts / match - Paços de Ferreira

União de Leiria - half-time state
32% leading44% draw24% trailing
Paços de Ferreira - half-time state
15% leading47% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.41Points per match (1st half)0.91
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.38
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.79
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
1.26Average goals (1st half)1.18
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
47%Clean sheet before half-time50%
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
44%No goal before half-time74%
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira

After half-time (2nd half)

1.38Points per match (2nd half)1.44
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)0.62
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
0.79Goals conceded (2nd half)0.62
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
1.62Average goals (2nd half)1.24
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
50%Clean sheet after half-time56%
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira
41%No goal after half-time62%
União de LeiriaPaços de Ferreira

União de Leiria - second-half results

35% W32% R32% P
48
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
47
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.41
PPG before half-time
Lead holding119%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Paços de Ferreira - second-half results

35% W38% R26% P
31
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-14
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.91
PPG before half-time
Lead holding173%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

União de Leiria - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.80
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.61.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Paços de Ferreira - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.60
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match1.20.6
Average goals in match2.01.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

União de Leiria
ScoredConceded
8
6
0-15
7
4
16-30
9
9
31-45
9
10
46-60
8
6
61-75
11
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Paços de Ferreira
ScoredConceded
1
7
0-15
7
12
16-30
5
8
31-45
5
10
46-60
5
5
61-75
11
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.65
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

União de Leiria

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.67
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Paços de Ferreira

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).

Teams vs league

União de LeiriaLigaPaços de Ferreira
Average goals in match 2.882.44 2.41
Both teams scored 62%46% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 59%45% 50%
Clean sheets 24%32% 29%
Goal before half-time 76%64% 59%
Goal after half-time 76%75% 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.44
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.28
Home goals / match
1.16
Away goals / match
+10%
Home attack advantage
+9%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: União de Leiria 0 - 1 - 0 Paços de Ferreira. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FC Paços de Ferreira
0 : 0
UD Leiria

FAQ

When do União de Leiria and Paços de Ferreira play?

União de Leiria face Paços de Ferreira on 29 March 2026 in LigaPro. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before União de Leiria vs Paços de Ferreira?

União de Leiria score 1.53 goals per game on average and Paços de Ferreira 1.00. The LigaPro average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 62% of União de Leiria's matches and 47% of Paços de Ferreira's.

What form are União de Leiria and Paços de Ferreira in?

Over the last 5 games União de Leiria have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Paços de Ferreira 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for União de Leiria vs Paços de Ferreira?

The statistical background for União de Leiria vs Paços de Ferreira — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.