AC Milan vs Inter Milan: match statistics
AC Milan vs Inter Milan: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
AC Milan played against Inter Milan in Serie A (Italy). The game was played on October 31, 2026. Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
AC Milan has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Inter Milan has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
AC Milan scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 1.22. Inter Milan scores 2.78 and allows 1.11. Games in this league average 3.20 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of AC Milan's games and 67% of Inter Milan's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 78%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Inter Milan has the higher season xG average, 2.37 to 1.44 per game. AC Milan takes 12.6 shots per game, while Inter Milan takes 22.3.
First-half and second-half trends
AC Milan leads at halftime in 44% of its games and scores 1.33 goals per game after halftime. Inter Milan leads at halftime in 22% and scores 1.89 after halftime.
When the teams score
AC Milan's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (10 goals). For Inter Milan, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 3.20 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Inter lead the table and have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while fourth-placed AC Milan have recorded 3 wins over the same period. Away from home, Inter create more chances, averaging 21.33 shots and an xG of 2.18, compared with Milan’s 12.33 shots and xG of 1.43 at home. The hosts do, however, have a strong case: they have won all 3 of their home matches so far, scoring an average of 2.67 goals and conceding 0.67. Their shot conversion rate at home is 22%, compared with Inter’s 9% away, although the visitors’ edge in the quality of chances created suggests they could breach Milan’s defense. I’m backing a narrow Inter win, but the hosts’ home record means a draw or a Milan victory remain realistic outcomes.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has occurred in 80% of Milan’s home matches and 67% of Inter’s away matches, well above the league average of 56%. Both teams scored in every match under these conditions, and their average goal tallies are 3.4 and 2.0 respectively. Their attacking potential is reflected in xG figures of 2.61 for Milan and 2.18 for Inter, while they concede an average of 1.4 and 1.0 goals. The last five matches warrant some caution, with BTTS landing in 40% of Milan’s games and 60% of Inter’s, although both teams still averaged 2.0 and 2.4 goals respectively. Therefore, each team scoring is more likely than the BTTS - No scenario, in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Milan’s home matches have averaged 4.8 goals, while Inter’s away matches have averaged 3.0, although both teams’ last five appearances point to a slightly more measured pace. Over that period, Milan averaged 2.0 goals scored and Inter 2.4, with each side conceding 1.2 goals per match. Their attacking potential is reflected in average xG figures of 2.61 for Milan at home and 2.18 for Inter away, leading me to estimate 3.6 goals in total. Over 1.5 goals has the strongest backing: it landed in 100% of Milan’s home matches and 67% of Inter’s away matches, while the higher Over 2.5 goals line carries greater risk.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
AC Milan have won all five included home matches, but were level at half-time in four of them, pointing to a closely contested first half. A draw at the break is also supported by the fact that Inter went into half-time level in four of their last five matches overall. After the interval, the home side’s advantage may become more apparent: Milan have averaged 2.2 goals in the second half at home, compared with Inter’s 1.33 away. Milan also have a higher average xG, 2.61 to Inter’s 2.18, meaning they have created more high-quality chances. However, the X/1 HT/FT pick is not certain, as Inter have won four of their last five matches and have yet to concede a second-half goal in their away fixtures so far.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| AC Milan | Inter Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Inter Milan is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - AC Milan · 2.6 pts / game - Inter Milan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter Milan is 39% better for: goals scored per game.
2 goals / game - AC Milan · 2.78 goals / game - Inter Milan
Inter Milan is 10% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.22 goals / game - AC Milan · 1.11 goals / game - Inter Milan
AC Milan scores in 100% of games (9 of 9 games), while Inter Milan keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 games).
Inter Milan scores in 100% of games (9 of 9 games), while AC Milan keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AC Milan
Over / Under - Inter Milan
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AC Milan is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.78 pts / game - AC Milan · 1.33 pts / game - Inter Milan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AC Milan - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Inter Milan - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 89%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +7 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
AC Milan
Inter Milan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| AC Milan | Liga | Inter Milan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.22 | 3.20 | ▲ 3.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 61% | ▲ 78% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 22% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 70% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 86% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from AC Milan's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Inter Milan. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of AC Milan vs Inter Milan?
The Serie A match finished AC Milan 3:1 Inter Milan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between AC Milan and Inter Milan?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches AC Milan won 2, Inter Milan won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before AC Milan vs Inter Milan?
AC Milan score 2.00 goals per game on average and Inter Milan 2.78. The Serie A average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 67% of AC Milan's matches and 67% of Inter Milan's.
What form are AC Milan and Inter Milan in?
Over the last 5 games AC Milan have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Inter Milan 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AC Milan vs Inter Milan?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for AC Milan vs Inter Milan: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.