AC Milan vs Lecce: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
AC Milan vs Lecce: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
AC Milan plays Lecce in Serie A (Italy). The game is scheduled for September 20, 2026. Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
Recent form
AC Milan has 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Lecce has 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.50 points per game.
Scoring records
AC Milan scores 1.75 goals per game and allows 1.00. Lecce scores 1.25 and allows 1.75. Games in this league average 3.03 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 75% of AC Milan's games and 25% of Lecce's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 50%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
AC Milan has the higher season xG average, 1.48 to 1.05 per game. AC Milan takes 13.5 shots per game, while Lecce takes 9.0.
First-half and second-half trends
AC Milan leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 1.75 goals per game after halftime. Lecce leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
AC Milan's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). For Lecce, it is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 3.03 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| AC Milan | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
AC Milan is 33% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - AC Milan · 1.5 pts / game - Lecce
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AC Milan is 40% better for: goals scored per game.
1.75 goals / game - AC Milan · 1.25 goals / game - Lecce
AC Milan is 75% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - AC Milan · 1.75 goals / game - Lecce
AC Milan scores in 100% of games (4 of 4 games), while Lecce keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 games).
Lecce scores in 50% of games (2 of 4 games), while AC Milan keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AC Milan
Over / Under - Lecce
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lecce is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.75 pts / game - AC Milan · 1 pts / game - Lecce
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AC Milan - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Lecce - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.75 | 2.50 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals per game | 0.5 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 25% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 50% |
| No goal | 75% | 75% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
AC Milan
Lecce
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| AC Milan | Liga | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.75 | 3.03 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 60% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 20% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 25% | 63% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 88% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from AC Milan's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Lecce. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
When do AC Milan and Lecce play?
AC Milan face Lecce on September 20, 2026 in Serie A at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between AC Milan and Lecce?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches AC Milan won 2, Lecce won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before AC Milan vs Lecce?
AC Milan score 1.75 goals per game on average and Lecce 1.25. The Serie A average is 3.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 75% of AC Milan's matches and 25% of Lecce's.
What form are AC Milan and Lecce in?
Over the last 5 games AC Milan have a 2-2-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Lecce 2-0-2 (1.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AC Milan vs Lecce?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for AC Milan vs Lecce: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.