AC Milan vs Parma: match statistics
AC Milan displays significantly higher form and quality of play compared to Parma. The hosts occupy 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 15 wins and just 1 defeat, while Parma sits in 12th position with a negative goal difference. In home matches, Milan wins 58% of the time, maintaining an average of 1.5 goals scored per game and just 0.83 goals conceded, which indicates a solid defense. Parma performs poorly away from home – they win only 33% of matches, fail to score in half of their games (FTS% 50%), and average just 0.67 goals per game. Milan's advantage in possession (54% vs 44%), shot accuracy, and xG statistics (1.77 vs 1.14) further confirm their dominance. The recent form of both teams (Milan: W D W W D vs Parma: D L L W W) also favors the hosts, who are the clear favorites for this match.
AC Milan vs Parma: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
AC Milan played against Parma in Serie A (Italy). The game was played on February 22, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
AC Milan has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Parma has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
AC Milan scores 1.64 goals per game and allows 0.76. Parma scores 0.72 and allows 1.24. Games in this league average 2.43 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of AC Milan's games and 40% of Parma's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 36%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
AC Milan has the higher season xG average, 1.48 to 1.23 per game. AC Milan takes 13.0 shots per game, while Parma takes 11.6.
First-half and second-half trends
AC Milan leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Parma leads at halftime in 12% and scores 0.44 after halftime.
When the teams score
AC Milan's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (10 goals). For Parma, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.43 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AC Milan displays significantly higher form and quality of play compared to Parma. The hosts occupy 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 15 wins and just 1 defeat, while Parma sits in 12th position with a negative goal difference. In home matches, Milan wins 58% of the time, maintaining an average of 1.5 goals scored per game and just 0.83 goals conceded, which indicates a solid defense. Parma performs poorly away from home – they win only 33% of matches, fail to score in half of their games (FTS% 50%), and average just 0.67 goals per game. Milan's advantage in possession (54% vs 44%), shot accuracy, and xG statistics (1.77 vs 1.14) further confirm their dominance. The recent form of both teams (Milan: W D W W D vs Parma: D L L W W) also favors the hosts, who are the clear favorites for this match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| AC Milan | Parma | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
AC Milan is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - AC Milan · 1.4 pts / game - Parma
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AC Milan is 128% better for: goals scored per game.
1.64 goals / game - AC Milan · 0.72 goals / game - Parma
AC Milan is 63% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.76 goals / game - AC Milan · 1.24 goals / game - Parma
AC Milan scores in 96% of games (24 of 25 meczów), while Parma keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 meczów).
Parma scores in 52% of games (13 of 25 meczów), while AC Milan keeps a clean sheet in 44% (11 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AC Milan
Over / Under - Parma
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AC Milan is 65% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / game - AC Milan · 0.92 pts / game - Parma
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AC Milan - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Parma - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 12% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
AC Milan
Parma
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| AC Milan | Liga | Parma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.40 | 2.43 | ▼ 1.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 46% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 46% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 32% | • 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 65% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 77% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from AC Milan's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Parma. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of AC Milan vs Parma?
The Serie A match finished AC Milan 0:1 Parma. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AC Milan vs Parma?
AC Milan score 1.64 goals per game on average and Parma 0.72. The Serie A average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 56% of AC Milan's matches and 40% of Parma's.
What form are AC Milan and Parma in?
Over the last 5 games AC Milan have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Parma 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AC Milan vs Parma?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.