Qatar - Stars LeagueThani Bin Jassim StadiumData current as of October 15, 2026

Al Rayyan vs Al Gharafa: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Al Rayyan vs Al Gharafa: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Al Rayyan plays Al Gharafa in Stars League (Qatar). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026. Venue: Thani Bin Jassim Stadium.

Recent form

Al Rayyan has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Al Gharafa has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Al Rayyan scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 0.40. Al Gharafa scores 1.20 and allows 2.20. Games in this league average 3.50 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 40% of Al Rayyan's games and 80% of Al Gharafa's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 80%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Al Gharafa has the higher season xG average, 2.06 to 1.60 per game. Al Rayyan takes 13.8 shots per game, while Al Gharafa takes 18.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Al Rayyan leads at halftime in 100% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. Al Gharafa leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.80 after halftime.

When the teams score

Al Rayyan's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). For Al Gharafa, it is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Stars League games average 3.50 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Al RayyanAl Gharafa
2Goals scored / game1.2
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
0.4Goals allowed / game2.2
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
46%Average possession54%
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
5.2Shots on target / game6.4
Al RayyanAl Gharafa

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.8Shots per game18.8
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
5.2Shots on target6.4
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
14.5%Shot conversion6.4%
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
46%Possession54%
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
1.6xG for2.06
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
1.32xG against1.53
Al RayyanAl Gharafa

Shooting quality

Al Rayyan: Counter-attackingAl Gharafa: Attacking
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
Accuracy (shots on target)38%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.19

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Al Rayyan is 225% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / game - Al Rayyan · 0.8 pts / game - Al Gharafa

Al Rayyan
WWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
80% W20% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
WDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Al Gharafa
WLLDL
Season result split
20% W20% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Last 5 away
0-0-2
LL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 2.06Opponent xG: 1.53BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Al Rayyan is 67% better for: goals scored per game.

2 goals / game - Al Rayyan · 1.2 goals / game - Al Gharafa

Al Rayyan is 450% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.4 goals / game - Al Rayyan · 2.2 goals / game - Al Gharafa

Al Rayyan scoring profile: very strong

Al Rayyan scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 games), while Al Gharafa keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 games).

Al Gharafa scoring profile: mixed

Al Gharafa scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 games), while Al Rayyan keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 games).

10Goals scored (season)6
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
2Goals conceded (season)11
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
2.4Average goals per game3.4
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
10Goals scored (last 5)6
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
2Goals conceded (last 5)11
Al RayyanAl Gharafa

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal80%
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
60%2 goals40%
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
40%3 goals0%
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
0%4 goals0%
Al RayyanAl Gharafa

How often they concede at least...

40%1 goal80%
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
0%2 goals60%
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
0%3 goals60%
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
0%4 goals20%
Al RayyanAl Gharafa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time40%
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
0%BTTS in both halves20%
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
60%Scored in both halves40%
Al RayyanAl Gharafa

BTTS and goal count

20%Min. 3 goals and BTTS80%
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
40%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
40%BTTS - last 580%
Al RayyanAl Gharafa

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time60%
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Al RayyanAl Gharafa

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
20%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time60%
Al RayyanAl Gharafa

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Al Rayyan is 275% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

3 pts / game - Al Rayyan · 0.8 pts / game - Al Gharafa

Al Rayyan - half-time state
100% leading0% draw0% trailing
Al Gharafa - half-time state
0% leading80% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

3Points per game (1st half)0.8
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
1.4Goals scored (1st half)0.4
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
0Goals conceded (1st half)0.8
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
1.4Average goals (1st half)1.2
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
100%Clean sheet before half-time40%
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
0%No goal before half-time60%
Al RayyanAl Gharafa

After half-time (2nd half)

1.6Points per game (2nd half)0.8
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
0.4Goals conceded (2nd half)1.4
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
1Average goals (2nd half)2.2
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
60%Clean sheet after half-time40%
Al RayyanAl Gharafa
40%No goal after half-time20%
Al RayyanAl Gharafa

Al Rayyan - second-half results

40% W40% D20% L
15
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
3.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding80%

Leads at halftime in 100% of games and wins 80%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Al Gharafa - second-half results

20% W20% D60% L
4
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.80
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime+0.6

Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Al Rayyan - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game3.001.60
Goals scored / game1.40.6
Goals allowed / game0.00.4
Average goals per game1.41.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+7+1
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 7
Al Gharafa - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.800.80
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.81.4
Average goals per game1.22.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Al Rayyan
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
3
0
16-30
3
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Al Gharafa
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
0
0
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.90
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.1 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
83%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+72%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
80%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Al Rayyan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.92
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
25%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.8
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

Al Gharafa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.86
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.67
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Stars League).

Teams vs league

Al RayyanLigaAl Gharafa
Average goals per game▼ 2.403.50▼ 3.40
Both teams scored▼ 40%60%▲ 80%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 60%63%▲ 80%
Clean sheets▲ 60%23%▼ 20%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%70%▼ 60%
Goal after half-time▼ 80%87%▼ 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.50
Average goals per game
60%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.87
Home goals / game
1.63
Away goals / game
+15%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defensive advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
33%
3 goals
17%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Al Rayyan's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Al Gharafa. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Al Gharafa SC
3 : 2
Al Rayyan SC
Al Rayyan SC
2 : 3
Al Gharafa SC

FAQ

When do Al Rayyan and Al Gharafa play?

Al Rayyan face Al Gharafa on October 18, 2026 in Stars League at Thani Bin Jassim Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Al Rayyan and Al Gharafa?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Al Rayyan won 0, Al Gharafa won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Al Rayyan vs Al Gharafa?

Al Rayyan score 2.00 goals per game on average and Al Gharafa 1.20. The Stars League average is 3.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Al Rayyan's matches and 80% of Al Gharafa's.

What form are Al Rayyan and Al Gharafa in?

Over the last 5 games Al Rayyan have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Al Gharafa 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Rayyan vs Al Gharafa?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Al Rayyan vs Al Gharafa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.