APEA vs Ethnikos Latsion: match statistics
APEA vs Ethnikos Latsion: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
APEA played against Ethnikos Latsion in Second Division (Cyprus). The game was played on April 25, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
APEA has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Ethnikos Latsion has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
APEA scores 1.29 goals per game and allows 1.32. Ethnikos Latsion scores 0.96 and allows 1.57. Games in this league average 2.72 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 46% of APEA's games and 46% of Ethnikos Latsion's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 39%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
APEA has the higher season xG average, 1.31 to 1.22 per game. APEA takes 7.2 shots per game, while Ethnikos Latsion takes 7.1.
First-half and second-half trends
APEA leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Ethnikos Latsion leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.46 after halftime.
When the teams score
APEA's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Ethnikos Latsion, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Second Division games average 2.72 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
APEA holds a clear advantage on paper: the hosts have scored 36 goals this season and average 1.5 goals at home, while Ethnikos Latsion averages just 1.0 goal away and has 27 goals overall. Defensively APEA also performs better — they concede 1.43 goals on average in home matches, with an average xG against of 1.07, whereas the visitors concede 1.64 goals away and have xG against of 1.59, suggesting Ethnikos allows more high-quality chances. The quality of created chances is similar (attacking xG 1.33 for APEA vs 1.34 for Ethnikos), but the hosts are slightly more efficient in front of goal (conversion rate 12% vs 11%) and have a higher clean sheet percentage at home (36% vs 21%). The last 5 matches show comparable short-term form — both teams average 2 points per game and have 3 wins in five fixtures — however the season goal tally (36 vs 27) and APEA’s home goal difference (+1) give the hosts a stronger basis for victory. Considering the hosts’ superior defense and higher effectiveness in the opponent’s box, I forecast an APEA win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS rates are 50% for APEA and 43% for Ethnikos Latsion, while the league BTTS level is 49%, yielding an overall near 50:50 scenario. Both sides concede frequently this season — APEA 1.50 and Ethnikos 1.64 per match — with xG against of 1.66 (APEA) vs 1.59 (Ethnikos), meaning both teams regularly allow opponent chances. Ethnikos is noticeably more attacking (10.17 shots and 4.75 on target with xG 1.34) than APEA (7.55 shots, 2.82 on target and xG 1.08), while APEA have scored 9 goals in the last 5 matches (1.8 per match) and Ethnikos 7 (1.4), so both teams can find the net. The counterargument is the low recent BTTS frequency — 40% in the last 5 matches for both teams — and seasonal goals-per-game of 0.93 and 1.00 indicating moderate scoring efficiency. Considering the low clean sheet rates (14% APEA, 21% Ethnikos), higher away xG and shot volume, and seasonal BTTS near 49–50%, I recommend BTTS - Yes with a moderate lean.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate APEA will score about 1.34 goals and Ethnikos Latsion about 1.50 goals, giving a total of ~2.84 goals. The calculation is based on xG: home side 1.08 xG, away 1.34 xG, while average xG against is 1.66 for APEA and 1.59 for Ethnikos — the averages of those pairs produce the stated 1.34 and 1.50. Season-long stats show Over 1.5 goals occurs in 79% of matches for both teams (79% average), while Over 2.5 occurs only in 43% (APEA) and 36% (Ethnikos), i.e. roughly 40% combined. Ethnikos averages 4.75 shots on target versus APEA’s 2.82, and in the last 5 matches APEA scored 9 goals (1.8 per game) and conceded 4, Ethnikos scored 7 (1.4) and conceded 3 — these figures support a moderately higher probability of at least 2 goals. Therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (recommended), with Over 2.5 estimated at ~42% and Over 3.5 at ~21%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Ethnikos Latsion has the edge in chance creation: xG 1.34 versus APEA's 1.08, averaging 10.17 shots and 4.75 shots on target compared to the hosts' 7.55 and 2.82, which increases the visitors' chances of winning after 90 minutes. Few goals are scored by half-time — APEA averages 0.43 goals in the first half, the visitors 0.57, and the first-half goals average is around 1.36–1.43, so a draw at the break is a realistic scenario. HT statistics are mixed: the hosts were behind at the break in 57% of matches, but in the last 5 games APEA led at the break in 60% of cases, therefore the model assigns ~36% probability to a half-time draw. The visitors' higher xG and SOT and their activity after the break (79% of the visitors' matches with >0.5 goals in the second half) lead me to select the Half-Time/Full-Time scenario draw at the break and visitors to win (X/2), to which I assign the largest single weight of 26%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| APEA | Ethnikos Latsion | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
APEA is 34% better for: goals scored per game.
1.29 goals / game - APEA · 0.96 goals / game - Ethnikos Latsion
APEA is 19% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.32 goals / game - APEA · 1.57 goals / game - Ethnikos Latsion
APEA scores in 71% of games (20 of 28 meczów), while Ethnikos Latsion keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 meczów).
Ethnikos Latsion scores in 61% of games (17 of 28 meczów), while APEA keeps a clean sheet in 29% (8 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - APEA
Over / Under - Ethnikos Latsion
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
APEA is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / game - APEA · 1.04 pts / game - Ethnikos Latsion
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
APEA - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Ethnikos Latsion - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
APEA
Ethnikos Latsion
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second Division).
Teams vs league
| APEA | Liga | Ethnikos Latsion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.61 | 2.72 | ▼ 2.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 49% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 49% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 30% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 72% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- APEAGoalAjack Aling Deng
- APEAGoalConstantinos Louvaris
Head-to-head
Record from APEA's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Ethnikos Latsion. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of APEA vs Ethnikos Latsion?
The Second Division match finished APEA 2:1 Ethnikos Latsion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between APEA and Ethnikos Latsion?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches APEA won 2, Ethnikos Latsion won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before APEA vs Ethnikos Latsion?
APEA score 1.29 goals per game on average and Ethnikos Latsion 0.96. The Second Division average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 46% of APEA's matches and 46% of Ethnikos Latsion's.
What form are APEA and Ethnikos Latsion in?
Over the last 5 games APEA have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Ethnikos Latsion 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for APEA vs Ethnikos Latsion?
The statistical background for APEA vs Ethnikos Latsion — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.