Aris has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. AEK Larnaca has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Aris scores 1.20 goals per game and allows 1.40. AEK Larnaca scores 2.00 and allows 0.80. Games in this league average 3.00 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 60% of Aris's games and 60% of AEK Larnaca's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 60%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 69% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

AEK Larnaca has the higher season xG average, 1.68 to 1.60 per game. Aris takes 11.8 shots per game, while AEK Larnaca takes 13.2.

First-half and second-half trends

Aris leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. AEK Larnaca leads at halftime in 40% and scores 1.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Aris's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). For AEK Larnaca, it is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

First Division games average 3.00 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 69% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 3.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.95)

(3.42)

(2.23)

-Double chance 1X

-Double chance X2

-BTTS Yes odds

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.6Points per game2.4

ArisAEK Larnaca

1.2Goals scored / game2

ArisAEK Larnaca

1.4Goals allowed / game0.8

ArisAEK Larnaca

1.6xG for1.68

ArisAEK Larnaca

49%Average possession55%

ArisAEK Larnaca

5.6Shots on target / game6

ArisAEK Larnaca

40%Clean sheets20%

ArisAEK Larnaca

60%Both teams scored60%

ArisAEK Larnaca

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.8Shots per game13.2

ArisAEK Larnaca

5.6Shots on target6

ArisAEK Larnaca

10.2%Shot conversion15.2%

ArisAEK Larnaca

49%Possession55%

ArisAEK Larnaca

1.6xG for1.68

ArisAEK Larnaca

1.21xG against1.49

ArisAEK Larnaca

Shooting quality

Aris: BalancedAEK Larnaca: Efficient finishing

	Aris	AEK Larnaca
Accuracy (shots on target)	47%	45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)	0.14	0.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)	0.21	0.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

AEK Larnaca is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Aris · 2.4 pts / game - AEK Larnaca

Aris

DLWDW

Season result split

40% W40% D20% L

Season (W-D-L)

2-2-1

1.60 pts / game · goal difference -1

Last 5 (W-D-L)

2-2-1

1.60 pts / game

Record at home (W-D-L)

0-2-1

Last 5 at home

0-2-1

DLD

Last 5 games - averages

Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.21BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

AEK Larnaca

WWLWW

Season result split

80% W0% D20% L

Season (W-D-L)

4-0-1

2.40 pts / game · goal difference +6

Last 5 (W-D-L)

4-0-1

2.40 pts / game

Record away (W-D-L)

2-0-0

Last 5 away

2-0-0

Last 5 games - averages

Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.68Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

AEK Larnaca is 67% better for: goals scored per game.

1.2 goals / game - Aris · 2 goals / game - AEK Larnaca

AEK Larnaca is 75% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.4 goals / game - Aris · 0.8 goals / game - AEK Larnaca

Aris scoring profile: very strong

Aris scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 games), while AEK Larnaca keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 games).

AEK Larnaca scoring profile: strong

AEK Larnaca scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 games), while Aris keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 games).

6Goals scored (season)10

ArisAEK Larnaca

7Goals conceded (season)4

ArisAEK Larnaca

2.6Average goals per game2.8

ArisAEK Larnaca

6Goals scored (last 5)10

ArisAEK Larnaca

7Goals conceded (last 5)4

ArisAEK Larnaca

Aris

40%

Clean sheets2 of 5 games

20%

No goal1 of 5 games

AEK Larnaca

20%

Clean sheets1 of 5 games

20%

No goal1 of 5 games

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal80%

ArisAEK Larnaca

40%2 goals60%

ArisAEK Larnaca

0%3 goals40%

ArisAEK Larnaca

0%4 goals20%

ArisAEK Larnaca

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal80%

ArisAEK Larnaca

40%2 goals0%

ArisAEK Larnaca

20%3 goals0%

ArisAEK Larnaca

20%4 goals0%

ArisAEK Larnaca

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

60%

Aris - BTTS3 of 5 games

60%

AEK Larnaca - BTTS3 of 5 games

60%

League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time20%

ArisAEK Larnaca

20%BTTS in both halves0%

ArisAEK Larnaca

40%Scored in both halves60%

ArisAEK Larnaca

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%

ArisAEK Larnaca

0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%

ArisAEK Larnaca

60%BTTS - last 560%

ArisAEK Larnaca

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

80%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)100%

ArisAEK Larnaca

60%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)60%

ArisAEK Larnaca

60%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)60%

ArisAEK Larnaca

40%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)40%

ArisAEK Larnaca

20%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)20%

ArisAEK Larnaca

Over / Under - Aris

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 80%Under 20%

Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 60%Under 40%

Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 60%Under 40%

Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 40%Under 60%

Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 20%Under 80%

Over / Under - AEK Larnaca

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 100%Under 0%

Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 60%Under 40%

Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 60%Under 40%

Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 40%Under 60%

Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 20%Under 80%

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%

ArisAEK Larnaca

20%Min. 2 goals before half-time60%

ArisAEK Larnaca

0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%

ArisAEK Larnaca

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%

ArisAEK Larnaca

60%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%

ArisAEK Larnaca

20%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%

ArisAEK Larnaca

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

AEK Larnaca is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.2 pts / game - Aris · 1.8 pts / game - AEK Larnaca

Aris - half-time state

20% leading60% draw20% trailing

AEK Larnaca - half-time state

40% leading60% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.2Points per game (1st half)1.8

ArisAEK Larnaca

0.4Goals scored (1st half)1

ArisAEK Larnaca

0.4Goals conceded (1st half)0.2

ArisAEK Larnaca

0.8Average goals (1st half)1.2

ArisAEK Larnaca

60%Clean sheet before half-time80%

ArisAEK Larnaca

60%No goal before half-time40%

ArisAEK Larnaca

After half-time (2nd half)

1.2Points per game (2nd half)2

ArisAEK Larnaca

0.8Goals scored (2nd half)1

ArisAEK Larnaca

1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6

ArisAEK Larnaca

1.8Average goals (2nd half)1.6

ArisAEK Larnaca

40%Clean sheet after half-time40%

ArisAEK Larnaca

20%No goal after half-time20%

ArisAEK Larnaca

Aris - second-half results

20% W60% D20% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

Goal difference (1st half)

Second-half points

-1

Goal difference (2nd half)

1.20

PPG before half-time

Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.6

Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

AEK Larnaca - second-half results

60% W20% D20% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

Goal difference (1st half)

Second-half points

Goal difference (2nd half)

1.80

PPG before half-time

Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 80%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Aris - last 5 games by half
	1st half	2nd half
Points per game	1.20	1.20
Goals scored / game	0.4	0.8
Goals allowed / game	0.4	1.0
Average goals per game	0.8	1.8
1 goal	60%	80%
2 goals	20%	60%
3 goals	0%	20%
Clean sheet	60%	40%
No goal	60%	20%
Goal difference	0	-1

Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing

2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost

BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

AEK Larnaca - last 5 games by half
	1st half	2nd half
Points per game	1.80	2.00
Goals scored / game	1.0	1.0
Goals allowed / game	0.2	0.6
Average goals per game	1.2	1.6
1 goal	60%	100%
2 goals	60%	40%
3 goals	0%	20%
Clean sheet	80%	40%
No goal	40%	20%
Goal difference	+4	+2

Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing

2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost

BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Aris

ScoredConceded

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

AEK Larnaca

ScoredConceded

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.70

Estimated goals

attack vs. opponent defense

1.0 : 1.7

Estimated goal split

home : away

90%

Pace vs league

100% = league average

60%

Both teams scored (BTTS)

average from both teams' seasons

+39%

Derby effect

H2H goals vs typical matches

64%

BTTS estimate

from both teams' scoring frequency

0:0 risk

about 1 in 25 matches

0-1

Most common goal range

attack vs. defense for both teams

Aris

Net xG balance

Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.

+0.39

Results compared with xG

Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.

-0.59

Points compared with goal balance

Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.

+1.6 pts

Finishing efficiency

Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.

-0.40

Defensive efficiency

Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.

-0.19

Attack vs league

How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.

81%

Defense vs. league

Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.

93%

Form trend

Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.

0.00

Stronger second half?

How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.

+0.4

Late goals

33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.

33%

AEK Larnaca

Net xG balance

Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.

+0.19

Results compared with xG

Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.

+1.01

Points compared with goal balance

Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.

-0.9 pts

Finishing efficiency

Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.

+0.32

Defensive efficiency

Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.

+0.69

Attack vs league

How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.

132%

Defense vs. league

Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.

54%

Form trend

Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.

0.00

Stronger second half?

How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.

0.0

Late goals

30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.

30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).

Teams vs league

	Aris	Liga	AEK Larnaca
Average goals per game	▼ 2.60	3.00	▼ 2.80
Both teams scored	• 60%	60%	• 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)	▼ 60%	69%	▼ 60%
Clean sheets	▲ 40%	26%	▼ 20%
Goal before half-time	▼ 60%	71%	▼ 60%
Goal after half-time	▼ 80%	89%	▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.00

Average goals per game

60%

Both teams scored

69%

Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)

26%

Clean sheets

1.49

Home goals / game

1.51

Away goals / game

+-1%

Home attack advantage

+-1%

Home defensive advantage

+0%

Total home advantage

Goals in 1st half (whole league)

71%

1 goal

34%

2 goals

3 goals

4 goals

Goals in 2nd half (whole league)

89%

1 goal

66%

2 goals

26%

3 goals

4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Aris's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 3 losses against AEK Larnaca. Games average 3.75 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

3 : 209/22/2025

Aris

FAQ

When do Aris and AEK Larnaca play?

Aris face AEK Larnaca on October 18, 2026 in First Division at Stadio Stelios Kyriakides. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Aris and AEK Larnaca?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Aris won 1, AEK Larnaca won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Aris vs AEK Larnaca?

Aris score 1.20 goals per game on average and AEK Larnaca 2.00. The First Division average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 69% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Aris's matches and 60% of AEK Larnaca's.

What form are Aris and AEK Larnaca in?

Over the last 5 games Aris have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and AEK Larnaca 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aris vs AEK Larnaca?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Aris vs AEK Larnaca: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.