Arsenal vs Aston Villa: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Arsenal play Aston Villa in Premier League (England). The match date is 30 December 2025 at 21:15. Final score: 4:1.

Current form

Arsenal: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Aston Villa: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Arsenal scores 1.87 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. Aston Villa scores 1.47 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.75 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Arsenal 47%, Aston Villa 58%. Over 2.5: Arsenal 53%, Aston Villa 53%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

Arsenal has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.47. Arsenal: 14.6 shots per match, Aston Villa: 12.7.

Match halves

Arsenal: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.08. Aston Villa: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.92.

Goals by minute

Arsenal: 31-45+ (16 goals). Aston Villa: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premier League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
4 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

46Possession (%)54
ArsenalAston Villa
22Shots11
ArsenalAston Villa
7Shots on target3
ArsenalAston Villa
2.28xG1.22
ArsenalAston Villa
3Corners3
ArsenalAston Villa
58Dangerous attacks43
ArsenalAston Villa
18Fouls9
ArsenalAston Villa
2Cards3
ArsenalAston Villa

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

ArsenalAston Villa
1.87Goals scored / match1.47
ArsenalAston Villa
0.71Goals conceded / match1.29
ArsenalAston Villa
56%Average possession54%
ArsenalAston Villa
4.92Shots on target / match4.47
ArsenalAston Villa

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.55Shots per match12.71
ArsenalAston Villa
4.92Shots on target4.47
ArsenalAston Villa
12.8%Shot conversion11.6%
ArsenalAston Villa
56%Possession54%
ArsenalAston Villa
1.7xG for1.47
ArsenalAston Villa
0.95xG against1.46
ArsenalAston Villa

Shooting quality

Arsenal: DominantAston Villa: Balanced
ArsenalAston Villa
Accuracy (shots on target)34%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Arsenal is 114% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / match - Arsenal · 1.4 pts / match - Aston Villa

Arsenal
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
68% W18% R13% P
Season (W-D-L)
26-7-5
2.24 pts / match · goal difference +44
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
15-2-2
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.70Opponent xG: 0.96BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Aston Villa
LLDWW
Season result split
50% W21% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
19-8-11
1.71 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-6-6
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LDLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Arsenal is 27% better for: goals scored per match.

1.87 goals / match - Arsenal · 1.47 goals / match - Aston Villa

Arsenal is 82% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.71 goals / match - Arsenal · 1.29 goals / match - Aston Villa

Arsenal scoring profile: very strong

Arsenal scores in 92% of matches (35 of 38 matches), while Aston Villa keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).

Aston Villa scoring profile: mixed

Aston Villa scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while Arsenal keeps a clean sheet in 50% (19 of 38 matches).

71Goals scored (season)56
ArsenalAston Villa
27Goals conceded (season)49
ArsenalAston Villa
2.58Average goals in match2.76
ArsenalAston Villa
8Goals scored (last 5)9
ArsenalAston Villa
1Goals conceded (last 5)8
ArsenalAston Villa

How often they score at least...

92%1 goal74%
ArsenalAston Villa
55%2 goals45%
ArsenalAston Villa
24%3 goals18%
ArsenalAston Villa
13%4 goals11%
ArsenalAston Villa

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal76%
ArsenalAston Villa
18%2 goals32%
ArsenalAston Villa
3%3 goals16%
ArsenalAston Villa
0%4 goals5%
ArsenalAston Villa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

56%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time24%
ArsenalAston Villa
5%BTTS in both halves8%
ArsenalAston Villa
37%Scored in both halves37%
ArsenalAston Villa

BTTS and goal count

39%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
ArsenalAston Villa
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
ArsenalAston Villa
20%BTTS - last 580%
ArsenalAston Villa

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
ArsenalAston Villa
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
ArsenalAston Villa
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
ArsenalAston Villa

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
ArsenalAston Villa
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
ArsenalAston Villa
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time16%
ArsenalAston Villa

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Arsenal is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.84 pts / match - Arsenal · 1.21 pts / match - Aston Villa

Arsenal - half-time state
47% leading42% draw11% trailing
Aston Villa - half-time state
26% leading42% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.84Points per match (1st half)1.21
ArsenalAston Villa
0.79Goals scored (1st half)0.55
ArsenalAston Villa
0.26Goals conceded (1st half)0.61
ArsenalAston Villa
1.05Average goals (1st half)1.16
ArsenalAston Villa
74%Clean sheet before half-time50%
ArsenalAston Villa
37%No goal before half-time53%
ArsenalAston Villa

After half-time (2nd half)

1.82Points per match (2nd half)1.68
ArsenalAston Villa
1.08Goals scored (2nd half)0.92
ArsenalAston Villa
0.45Goals conceded (2nd half)0.68
ArsenalAston Villa
1.53Average goals (2nd half)1.61
ArsenalAston Villa
61%Clean sheet after half-time58%
ArsenalAston Villa
34%No goal after half-time37%
ArsenalAston Villa

Arsenal - second-half results

47% W39% R13% P
70
Half-time points
30
Half-time goals
+20
Goal difference (1st half)
69
Second-half points
+24
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.84
PPG before half-time
Lead holding145%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 68%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Aston Villa - second-half results

45% W34% R21% P
46
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
64
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding192%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Arsenal - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.40
Goals scored / match1.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.2
Average goals in match1.20.6
1 goal80%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+6+1
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6
Aston Villa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.20
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match1.00.6
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-3+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Arsenal
ScoredConceded
8
2
0-15
6
2
16-30
16
6
31-45
15
3
46-60
10
5
61-75
16
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

Aston Villa
ScoredConceded
4
9
0-15
6
5
16-30
11
9
31-45
11
10
46-60
10
7
61-75
14
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.67
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+12%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
68%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Arsenal

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.75
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-14.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
122%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
58%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.76
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Aston Villa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).

Teams vs league

ArsenalLigaAston Villa
Average goals in match 2.582.75 2.76
Both teams scored 47%56% 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 53%55% 53%
Clean sheets 50%26% 24%
Goal before half-time 74%72% 74%
Goal after half-time 74%79% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.75
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+13%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Arsenal 0 - 0 - 1 Aston Villa. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Arsenal vs Aston Villa?

The Premier League match finished Arsenal 4:1 Aston Villa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Arsenal vs Aston Villa?

Arsenal score 1.87 goals per game on average and Aston Villa 1.47. The Premier League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Arsenal's matches and 58% of Aston Villa's.

What form are Arsenal and Aston Villa in?

Over the last 5 games Arsenal have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Aston Villa 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arsenal vs Aston Villa?

The statistical background for Arsenal vs Aston Villa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.