Arsenal vs Aston Villa: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Arsenal played against Aston Villa in Premier League (England). The game was played on December 30, 2025. Final score: 4:1.

Recent form

Arsenal has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Aston Villa has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Arsenal scores 1.83 goals per game and allows 0.61. Aston Villa scores 1.61 and allows 1.06. Games in this league average 2.81 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 44% of Arsenal's games and 56% of Aston Villa's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 61%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Arsenal has the higher season xG average, 1.74 to 1.34 per game. Arsenal takes 15.0 shots per game, while Aston Villa takes 11.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Arsenal leads at halftime in 56% of its games and scores 1.11 goals per game after halftime. Aston Villa leads at halftime in 22% and scores 1.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Arsenal's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (9 goals). For Aston Villa, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Premier League games average 2.81 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
4 : 1
Second half

Game stats

46Possession (%)54
ArsenalAston Villa
22Shots11
ArsenalAston Villa
7Shots on target3
ArsenalAston Villa
2.28xG1.22
ArsenalAston Villa
3Corners3
ArsenalAston Villa
58Dangerous attacks43
ArsenalAston Villa
18Fouls9
ArsenalAston Villa
2Cards3
ArsenalAston Villa

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

ArsenalAston Villa
1.83Goals scored / game1.61
ArsenalAston Villa
0.61Goals allowed / game1.06
ArsenalAston Villa
59%Average possession52%
ArsenalAston Villa
5Shots on target / game4.44
ArsenalAston Villa

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

15Shots per game11.56
ArsenalAston Villa
5Shots on target4.44
ArsenalAston Villa
12.2%Shot conversion13.9%
ArsenalAston Villa
59%Possession52%
ArsenalAston Villa
1.74xG for1.34
ArsenalAston Villa
0.85xG against1.45
ArsenalAston Villa

Shooting quality

Arsenal: DominantAston Villa: Efficient finishing
ArsenalAston Villa
Accuracy (shots on target)33%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Aston Villa is 25% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / game - Arsenal · 3 pts / game - Aston Villa

Arsenal
WLWWW
Season result split
72% W17% R11% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-3-2
2.33 pts / game · goal difference +22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-1-0
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.87Opponent xG: 0.87BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Aston Villa
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
67% W17% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-3-3
2.17 pts / game · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-2-2
Last 5 away
4-0-1
LWWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Arsenal is 14% better for: goals scored per game.

1.83 goals / game - Arsenal · 1.61 goals / game - Aston Villa

Arsenal is 74% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.61 goals / game - Arsenal · 1.06 goals / game - Aston Villa

Arsenal scoring profile: very strong

Arsenal scores in 94% of games (17 of 18 meczów), while Aston Villa keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 meczów).

Aston Villa scoring profile: mixed

Aston Villa scores in 72% of games (13 of 18 meczów), while Arsenal keeps a clean sheet in 50% (9 of 18 meczów).

33Goals scored (season)29
ArsenalAston Villa
11Goals conceded (season)19
ArsenalAston Villa
2.44Average goals per game2.67
ArsenalAston Villa
8Goals scored (last 5)13
ArsenalAston Villa
4Goals conceded (last 5)8
ArsenalAston Villa

How often they score at least...

94%1 goal72%
ArsenalAston Villa
56%2 goals56%
ArsenalAston Villa
17%3 goals22%
ArsenalAston Villa
11%4 goals11%
ArsenalAston Villa

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal72%
ArsenalAston Villa
11%2 goals22%
ArsenalAston Villa
0%3 goals11%
ArsenalAston Villa
0%4 goals0%
ArsenalAston Villa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time28%
ArsenalAston Villa
0%BTTS in both halves6%
ArsenalAston Villa
33%Scored in both halves44%
ArsenalAston Villa

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
ArsenalAston Villa
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
ArsenalAston Villa
60%BTTS - last 5100%
ArsenalAston Villa

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
ArsenalAston Villa
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
ArsenalAston Villa
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
ArsenalAston Villa

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
ArsenalAston Villa
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
ArsenalAston Villa
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
ArsenalAston Villa

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Arsenal is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.89 pts / game - Arsenal · 1.11 pts / game - Aston Villa

Arsenal - half-time state
56% leading22% draw22% trailing
Aston Villa - half-time state
22% leading44% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.89Points per game (1st half)1.11
ArsenalAston Villa
0.72Goals scored (1st half)0.61
ArsenalAston Villa
0.22Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
ArsenalAston Villa
0.94Average goals (1st half)1.28
ArsenalAston Villa
78%Clean sheet before half-time44%
ArsenalAston Villa
44%No goal before half-time50%
ArsenalAston Villa

After half-time (2nd half)

2.06Points per game (2nd half)1.89
ArsenalAston Villa
1.11Goals scored (2nd half)1
ArsenalAston Villa
0.39Goals conceded (2nd half)0.39
ArsenalAston Villa
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.39
ArsenalAston Villa
61%Clean sheet after half-time67%
ArsenalAston Villa
28%No goal after half-time33%
ArsenalAston Villa

Arsenal - second-half results

56% W39% R6% P
34
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at halftime in 56% of games and wins 72%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Aston Villa - second-half results

50% W39% R11% P
20
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.11
PPG before half-time
Lead holding305%

Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Arsenal - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.80
Goals scored / game0.61.0
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game0.81.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Aston Villa - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.002.60
Goals scored / game1.01.6
Goals allowed / game1.20.4
Average goals per game2.22.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference-1+6
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Arsenal
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
8
3
31-45
9
2
46-60
3
1
61-75
8
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Aston Villa
ScoredConceded
1
6
0-15
3
3
16-30
7
3
31-45
6
2
46-60
5
2
61-75
7
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.56
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
68%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Arsenal

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.89
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
50%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Aston Villa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.66
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
131%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
67%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.83
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).

Teams vs league

ArsenalLigaAston Villa
Average goals per game 2.442.81 2.67
Both teams scored 44%54% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 44%57% 61%
Clean sheets 50%26% 28%
Goal before half-time 78%72% 78%
Goal after half-time 78%81% 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.81
Average goals per game
54%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.58
Home goals / game
1.23
Away goals / game
+28%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defensive advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. ArsenalYellow cardMikel Merino Zazón
  2. Aston VillaYellow cardMorgan Rogers
  3. Aston VillaSubstitutionOn: John McGinnOff: Amadou Ba Zeund Georges Mvom Onana
  4. ArsenalYellow cardGabriel Fernando de Jesus
  5. Aston VillaYellow cardLamare Trenton Chansey Bogarde
  6. Aston VillaYellow cardOliver George Arthur Watkins

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Darren EnglandMatches officiated: 23
4.57Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 243%Home wins26%Draws30%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Arsenal's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Aston Villa. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Arsenal vs Aston Villa?

The Premier League match finished Arsenal 4:1 Aston Villa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Arsenal vs Aston Villa?

Arsenal score 1.83 goals per game on average and Aston Villa 1.61. The Premier League average is 2.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Arsenal's matches and 56% of Aston Villa's.

What form are Arsenal and Aston Villa in?

Over the last 5 games Arsenal have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Aston Villa 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arsenal vs Aston Villa?

The statistical background for Arsenal vs Aston Villa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.