Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF vs Varzim: match statistics
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF vs Varzim: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF play Varzim in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match date is 3 May 2026 at 20:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Varzim: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF scores 1.63 and concedes 0.97 goals per match. Varzim scores 1.22 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF 56%, Varzim 47%. Over 2.5: Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF 38%, Varzim 44%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.28. Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF: 10.0 shots per match, Varzim: 9.8.
Match halves
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.91. Varzim: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF: 46-60 (11 goals). Varzim: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.23 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Académica is the favorite: at home they have a 64% win rate, average 1.79 goals per match and a +15 home goal difference. Varzim win only 29% of away matches, concede 1.29 goals per away game on average and have a negative away goal difference of -4, while scoring 1.00 goal per away match. In terms of chance quality the hosts create more opportunities — home xG for Académica is 1.41 versus 1.08 for Varzim away, and the hosts average 10.14 shots and 3.93 on target per match compared to 7.64 and 2.79 for the visitors; conversion 18% vs 13% further favors the home side. The last 5 matches show defensive superiority for the hosts (Académica 1-3-1, 5 goals; Varzim 2-1-2, 4 goals), and the high share of away matches without an away goal (FTS 43% vs 14% for hosts) increases the likelihood of a home win. In light of these figures I estimate roughly a 64% chance of a home victory, 21% for a draw and 15% for an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF is 120% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF · 1 pts / match - Varzim
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF is 34% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF · 1.22 goals / match - Varzim
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.97 goals / match - Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF · 1.13 goals / match - Varzim
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF scores in 84% of matches (27 of 32 matches), while Varzim keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).
Varzim scores in 66% of matches (21 of 32 matches), while Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF keeps a clean sheet in 31% (10 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF
Over / Under — Varzim
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.41 pts / match - Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF · 1.25 pts / match - Varzim
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Varzim - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF
Varzim
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF | Liga | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.59 | 2.23 | ▲ 2.34 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 49% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 40% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | • 31% | 31% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 66% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 74% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF 1 - 0 - 0 Varzim. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF vs Varzim?
The Liga 3 match finished Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF 1:0 Varzim. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF vs Varzim?
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF score 1.63 goals per game on average and Varzim 1.22. The Liga 3 average is 2.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF's matches and 47% of Varzim's.
What form are Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF and Varzim in?
Over the last 5 games Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Varzim 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF vs Varzim?
The statistical background for Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF vs Varzim — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.