Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: match statistics
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Aston Villa played against Nottingham Forest in Premier League (England). The game was played on September 12, 2026. Venue: Villa Park. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Aston Villa has 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.33 points per game. Nottingham Forest has 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 0.67 points per game.
Scoring records
Aston Villa scores 0.00 goals per game and allows 1.67. Nottingham Forest scores 0.67 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.83 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 0% of Aston Villa's games and 33% of Nottingham Forest's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 33%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Nottingham Forest has the higher season xG average, 1.22 to 0.85 per game. Aston Villa takes 8.7 shots per game, while Nottingham Forest takes 12.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Aston Villa leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.00 goals per game after halftime. Nottingham Forest leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.33 after halftime.
When the teams score
Aston Villa's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (0 goals). For Nottingham Forest, it is minutes 16-30 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premier League games average 2.83 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aston Villa remain winless after three league matches, having scored just 2 goals and suffered 4 defeats in their last five games. The hosts are yet to score at home, creating an average of only 0.69 xG and registering 0 shots on target per match, which significantly limits their attacking potential. Nottingham Forest are also yet to win away from home, but both of their away fixtures ended in draws, with the team averaging 2 goals, 3 shots on target and 1.17 xG in those matches. The visitors are also in better form across their last five games, averaging 1 point per match compared with Aston Villa’s 0.2. Forest’s defense does, however, allow opponents an average of 1.68 xG and concedes 2 goals away from home, so a draw remains a realistic alternative, although a narrow away win is the more likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Aston Villa’s poor finishing: the hosts have yet to score, and they have averaged just 0.4 goals across their last 5 matches. Villa have failed to score in 100% of their matches this season, while Nottingham Forest have kept a clean sheet in 0% of games; however, the visitors’ recent attacking form is also limited to 0.8 goals per match. The last 5 matches involving both teams produced BTTS in only 40% of cases, well below the league average of 53%. Forest have a reasonable chance of scoring, as the hosts have conceded an average of 1.8 goals recently, but Villa’s xG of 1.00 and the visitors’ 1.25 xG conceded do not outweigh the risk of another scoreless home performance. A scenario in which at least one team fails to score is therefore more likely than goals at both ends.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Aston Villa’s last five matches produced an average of just 0.4 goals scored, although the team conceded 1.8 goals per game, which limits confidence in a high-scoring output from the hosts. Over the same period, Nottingham Forest scored 0.8 goals and conceded 1.2, while their average xG stands at 1.21 compared with 1.25 xG allowed by their opponents. After comparing the quality of chances created by both sides, the projection is 1.08 goals for Villa and 1.27 for Forest, giving a combined total of 2.35 goals. In the last five matches, Over 2.5 goals landed in 60% and 40% of the respective games, so there is not enough evidence to expect four goals. The strongest option is Under 3.5, as the projected total is clearly below this line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Nottingham Forest win after the match, as Aston Villa have drawn at the break in 60% of their last five matches, while Forest have done so even more frequently, in 80% of games. During this period, the hosts scored just 0.2 goals before half-time while conceding 1.4, whereas the visitors posted a considerably stronger record of 0.4 goals scored and 0.2 conceded. After the break, Forest have greater potential to decide the match: in the season data, they average 1.0 goal, while Villa have failed to score in this period and have conceded an average of 0.5. The visitors are also backed by their current form, with Aston Villa losing four of their last five matches, compared with Nottingham Forest suffering defeat in only two of their five games.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Aston Villa | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 4% | 19% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Nottingham Forest is 103% better for: last-5 form.
0.33 pts / game - Aston Villa · 0.67 pts / game - Nottingham Forest
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nottingham Forest is 67% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.67 goals / game - Aston Villa · 1 goals / game - Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa scores in 0% of games (0 of 3 meczów), while Nottingham Forest keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 meczów).
Nottingham Forest scores in 33% of games (1 of 3 meczów), while Aston Villa keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aston Villa
Over / Under - Nottingham Forest
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nottingham Forest is 149% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.67 pts / game - Aston Villa · 1.67 pts / game - Nottingham Forest
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aston Villa - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Nottingham Forest - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Average goals per game | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 33% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 67% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.67 | 0.33 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 33% |
| No goal | 67% | 67% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Aston Villa | Liga | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.67 | 2.83 | ▼ 1.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 53% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 50% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 70% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 33% | 80% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Aston Villa's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Nottingham Forest. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
The Premier League match finished Aston Villa 1:2 Nottingham Forest. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Aston Villa won 1, Nottingham Forest won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
Aston Villa score 0.00 goals per game on average and Nottingham Forest 0.67. The Premier League average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Aston Villa's matches and 33% of Nottingham Forest's.
What form are Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest in?
Over the last 5 games Aston Villa have a 0-1-2 record (0.33 points per game) and Nottingham Forest 0-2-1 (0.67 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.