Athletic Carpi vs Forlì: match statistics
Athletic Carpi vs Forlì: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Athletic Carpi play Forlì in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match date is 18 April 2026 at 20:30. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Athletic Carpi: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Forlì: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Athletic Carpi scores 0.97 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Forlì scores 1.14 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Athletic Carpi 47%, Forlì 53%. Over 2.5: Athletic Carpi 36%, Forlì 44%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Forlì has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.43. Athletic Carpi: 12.1 shots per match, Forlì: 11.8.
Match halves
Athletic Carpi: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.53. Forlì: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Athletic Carpi: 76-90+ (10 goals). Forlì: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a home win (Athletic Carpi). Carpi defends better at home — conceding 1.06 goals per home match, recording 24% clean sheets and a home goal difference of 0, while Forlì concedes 1.82 on the road and has a negative GD of -14. In attack Carpi have scored 6 goals in the last 5 fixtures versus Forlì’s 3, attempt more shots (12.29 vs 10.76) with a similar average xG (1.42 vs 1.41), indicating a higher volume of created chances. Forlì enjoy higher possession (53% vs 48%) and slightly more shots on target (3.59 vs 3.24), but a high rate of away matches without scoring (41% vs Carpi’s 24%) limits their effectiveness. Considering Carpi’s 1.0 point average over the last 5 matches versus Forlì’s 0.4 and Forlì’s 65% away loss rate, I assess the probabilities as: Home win 45%, Draw 35%, Forlì win 20%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Athletic Carpi | Forlì | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Athletic Carpi is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Athletic Carpi · 1 pts / match - Forlì
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forlì is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Athletic Carpi · 1.14 goals / match - Forlì
Athletic Carpi is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Athletic Carpi · 1.44 goals / match - Forlì
Athletic Carpi scores in 67% of matches (24 of 36 matches), while Forlì keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 36 matches).
Forlì scores in 69% of matches (25 of 36 matches), while Athletic Carpi keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Athletic Carpi
Over / Under — Forlì
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forlì is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Athletic Carpi · 1.22 pts / match - Forlì
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Athletic Carpi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Forlì - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Athletic Carpi
Forlì
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Athletic Carpi | Liga | Forlì | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.31 | 2.26 | ▲ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 49% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 39% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 31% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 63% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | • 72% | 72% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Athletic Carpi 0 - 0 - 1 Forlì. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Athletic Carpi vs Forlì?
The Serie C Group B match finished Athletic Carpi 0:1 Forlì. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Athletic Carpi vs Forlì?
Athletic Carpi score 0.97 goals per game on average and Forlì 1.14. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Athletic Carpi's matches and 53% of Forlì's.
What form are Athletic Carpi and Forlì in?
Over the last 5 games Athletic Carpi have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Forlì 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Athletic Carpi vs Forlì?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.