Atlético Nacional vs Junior: match statistics
Atlético Nacional vs Junior: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Nacional play Junior in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 9 June 2026 at 00:00. Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Atlético Nacional: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Junior: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Nacional scores 1.96 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. Junior scores 1.52 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Nacional 40%, Junior 48%. Over 2.5: Atlético Nacional 64%, Junior 52%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Nacional has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.37. Atlético Nacional: 16.8 shots per match, Junior: 12.6.
Match halves
Atlético Nacional: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 1.36. Junior: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Atlético Nacional: 76-90+ (12 goals). Junior: 31-45+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
6 H2H matches: 1-1-4. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.
Match description
The hosts are clear favorites: Atlético Nacional have a 91% home win rate and score an average of 2.91 goals per match at home, while Junior averages only 1.45 goals on the road. Atlético have scored 13 goals in their last 5 matches and won 4 of them (averaging 2.4 points per match over that period), whereas Junior have 8 goals in their last 5 and average 1.6 points per match (2 wins and 2 draws in five fixtures). In chance creation the hosts are markedly superior: 19.82 shots and 8.0 on target per match with an xG of 2.07 at home, versus 10.45 shots and 4.0 on target and an xG of 1.16 for Junior away. Defensively Atlético also look stronger — conceding only 0.45 goals per home match and keeping 55% clean sheets, while Junior concede 1.0 goal per away match and have 36% clean sheets; the difference in xG against (1.12 vs 1.61) confirms greater defensive exposure for the visitors. Based on this I assess the probability of a home win at approximately 75%, a draw 15% and an away win 10%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Nacional | Junior | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Nacional is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.2 pts / match - Junior
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Nacional is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.96 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.52 goals / match - Junior
Atlético Nacional is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.84 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.12 goals / match - Junior
Atlético Nacional scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Junior keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).
Junior scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Atlético Nacional
Over / Under — Junior
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Junior is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.72 pts / match - Junior
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Junior - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Nacional
Junior
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Nacional | Liga | Junior | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.80 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 53% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 48% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 27% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 70% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 78% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Atlético Nacional 1 - 1 - 4 Junior. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Nacional vs Junior?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Atlético Nacional 1:0 Junior. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Nacional and Junior?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 1, Junior won 4 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Nacional vs Junior?
Atlético Nacional score 1.96 goals per game on average and Junior 1.52. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Atlético Nacional's matches and 48% of Junior's.
What form are Atlético Nacional and Junior in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Nacional have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Junior 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Nacional vs Junior?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.