Canada - Canadian Premier LeagueData current as of October 15, 2026

Atlético Ottawa vs Forge FC: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Atlético Ottawa vs Forge FC: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Atlético Ottawa plays Forge FC in Canadian Premier League (Canada). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026.

Recent form

Atlético Ottawa has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Forge FC has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Atlético Ottawa scores 1.54 goals per game and allows 1.58. Forge FC scores 1.77 and allows 0.77. Games in this league average 3.13 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 62% of Atlético Ottawa's games and 46% of Forge FC's. The Over 2.5 rates are 65% and 46%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Forge FC has the higher season xG average, 1.68 to 1.32 per game. Atlético Ottawa takes 11.7 shots per game, while Forge FC takes 14.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Atlético Ottawa leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 1.15 goals per game after halftime. Forge FC leads at halftime in 35% and scores 1.19 after halftime.

When the teams score

Atlético Ottawa's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (16 goals). For Forge FC, it is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Canadian Premier League games average 3.13 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 8 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 2.63 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(3.94)
(3.70)
(1.71)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Atlético OttawaForge FC
1.54Goals scored / game1.77
Atlético OttawaForge FC
1.58Goals allowed / game0.77
Atlético OttawaForge FC
58%Average possession47%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
4.12Shots on target / game4.96
Atlético OttawaForge FC

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.73Shots per game14.65
Atlético OttawaForge FC
4.12Shots on target4.96
Atlético OttawaForge FC
13.1%Shot conversion12.1%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
58%Possession47%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
1.32xG for1.68
Atlético OttawaForge FC
1.57xG against1.02
Atlético OttawaForge FC

Shooting quality

Atlético Ottawa: Efficient finishingForge FC: Counter-attacking
Atlético OttawaForge FC
Accuracy (shots on target)35%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Atlético Ottawa
LLWWW
Season result split
50% W15% D35% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-4-9
1.65 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-3-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWDLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.86BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Forge FC
DDDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
62% W23% D15% L
Season (W-D-L)
16-6-4
2.08 pts / game · goal difference +26
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
6-3-3
Last 5 away
0-3-2
DLLDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.72Opponent xG: 1.00BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Forge FC is 15% better for: goals scored per game.

1.54 goals / game - Atlético Ottawa · 1.77 goals / game - Forge FC

Forge FC is 105% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.58 goals / game - Atlético Ottawa · 0.77 goals / game - Forge FC

Atlético Ottawa scoring profile: strong

Atlético Ottawa scores in 81% of games (21 of 26 games), while Forge FC keeps a clean sheet in 46% (12 of 26 games).

Forge FC scoring profile: very strong

Forge FC scores in 85% of games (22 of 26 games), while Atlético Ottawa keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 games).

40Goals scored (season)46
Atlético OttawaForge FC
41Goals conceded (season)20
Atlético OttawaForge FC
3.12Average goals per game2.54
Atlético OttawaForge FC
6Goals scored (last 5)13
Atlético OttawaForge FC
7Goals conceded (last 5)5
Atlético OttawaForge FC

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal85%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
42%2 goals46%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
19%3 goals35%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
8%4 goals8%
Atlético OttawaForge FC

How often they concede at least...

77%1 goal54%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
50%2 goals19%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
27%3 goals4%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
4%4 goals0%
Atlético OttawaForge FC

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

63%
League average

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time8%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
15%Scored in both halves35%
Atlético OttawaForge FC

BTTS and goal count

54%Min. 3 goals and BTTS35%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
20%BTTS - last 560%
Atlético OttawaForge FC

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time58%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time19%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
19%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Atlético OttawaForge FC

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
58%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
35%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
Atlético OttawaForge FC

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Forge FC is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.04 pts / game - Atlético Ottawa · 1.54 pts / game - Forge FC

Atlético Ottawa - half-time state
23% leading35% draw42% trailing
Forge FC - half-time state
35% leading50% draw15% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.04Points per game (1st half)1.54
Atlético OttawaForge FC
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.58
Atlético OttawaForge FC
0.77Goals conceded (1st half)0.31
Atlético OttawaForge FC
1.15Average goals (1st half)0.88
Atlético OttawaForge FC
58%Clean sheet before half-time77%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
69%No goal before half-time58%
Atlético OttawaForge FC

After half-time (2nd half)

1.69Points per game (2nd half)2.08
Atlético OttawaForge FC
1.15Goals scored (2nd half)1.19
Atlético OttawaForge FC
0.81Goals conceded (2nd half)0.46
Atlético OttawaForge FC
1.96Average goals (2nd half)1.65
Atlético OttawaForge FC
46%Clean sheet after half-time69%
Atlético OttawaForge FC
35%No goal after half-time23%
Atlético OttawaForge FC

Atlético Ottawa - second-half results

46% W31% D23% L
27
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
44
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.04
PPG before half-time
Lead holding217%

Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Forge FC - second-half results

62% W23% D15% L
40
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
54
Second-half points
+19
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.54
PPG before half-time
Lead holding177%

Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 62%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Atlético Ottawa - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.40
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.21.2
Average goals per game0.62.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Forge FC - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.601.40
Goals scored / game1.21.4
Goals allowed / game0.01.0
Average goals per game1.22.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+6+2
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Atlético Ottawa
ScoredConceded
4
9
0-15
3
5
16-30
3
6
31-45
5
8
46-60
9
9
61-75
16
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.

Forge FC
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
9
0
16-30
3
5
31-45
9
3
46-60
9
3
61-75
13
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.83
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-7%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Atlético Ottawa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

Forge FC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.66
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
129%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
44%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Canadian Premier League).

Teams vs league

Atlético OttawaLigaForge FC
Average goals per game• 3.123.13▼ 2.54
Both teams scored• 62%63%▼ 46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 65%58%▼ 46%
Clean sheets▲ 23%20%▲ 46%
Goal before half-time▼ 65%67%▼ 58%
Goal after half-time▲ 85%83%▲ 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.13
Average goals per game
63%
Both teams scored
58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.77
Home goals / game
1.37
Away goals / game
+29%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defensive advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
55%
2 goals
32%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Atlético Ottawa's perspective: 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses against Forge FC. Games average 2.63 goals, and both teams scored in 63% of them.

Forge FC
3 : 0
Atlético Ottawa
Atlético Ottawa
2 : 1
Forge FC
Forge FC
2 : 0
Atlético Ottawa
Forge FC
1 : 2
Atlético Ottawa
Atlético Ottawa
1 : 1
Forge FC
Forge FC
2 : 0
Atlético Ottawa
Atlético Ottawa
1 : 1
Forge FC
Forge FC
2 : 2
Atlético Ottawa

FAQ

When do Atlético Ottawa and Forge FC play?

Atlético Ottawa face Forge FC on October 17, 2026 in Canadian Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Ottawa and Forge FC?

In the last 8 head-to-head matches Atlético Ottawa won 2, Forge FC won 3 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.63 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Ottawa vs Forge FC?

Atlético Ottawa score 1.54 goals per game on average and Forge FC 1.77. The Canadian Premier League average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Atlético Ottawa's matches and 46% of Forge FC's.

What form are Atlético Ottawa and Forge FC in?

Over the last 5 games Atlético Ottawa have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Forge FC 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Ottawa vs Forge FC?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Atlético Ottawa vs Forge FC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.