Ayr United vs Partick Thistle: match statistics
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Ayr United vs Partick Thistle: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ayr United plays Partick Thistle in Championship (Scotland). The game is scheduled for October 16, 2026. Venue: Somerset Park.
Recent form
Ayr United has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Partick Thistle has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Ayr United scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.10. Partick Thistle scores 1.11 and allows 0.33. Games in this league average 2.08 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Ayr United's games and 22% of Partick Thistle's. The Over 2.5 rates are 20% and 22%, compared with league averages of 40% for BTTS and 31% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Partick Thistle has the higher season xG average, 1.60 to 0.98 per game. Ayr United takes 7.0 shots per game, while Partick Thistle takes 12.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Ayr United leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.30 goals per game after halftime. Partick Thistle leads at halftime in 44% and scores 0.33 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ayr United's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Partick Thistle, it is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.08 goals. Both teams score in 40% of games, and 31% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ayr United | Partick Thistle | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Partick Thistle is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Ayr United · 2 pts / game - Partick Thistle
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Partick Thistle is 11% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Ayr United · 1.11 goals / game - Partick Thistle
Partick Thistle is 233% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.1 goals / game - Ayr United · 0.33 goals / game - Partick Thistle
Ayr United scores in 70% of games (7 of 10 games), while Partick Thistle keeps a clean sheet in 67% (6 of 9 games).
Partick Thistle scores in 67% of games (6 of 9 games), while Ayr United keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ayr United
Over / Under - Partick Thistle
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Partick Thistle is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / game - Ayr United · 1.89 pts / game - Partick Thistle
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ayr United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 30%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Partick Thistle - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ayr United
Partick Thistle
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Ayr United | Liga | Partick Thistle | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.10 | 2.08 | ▼ 1.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 40% | ▼ 22% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 31% | ▼ 22% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 34% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 69% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 67% | ▼ 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Ayr United's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses against Partick Thistle. Games average 1.80 goals, and both teams scored in 60% of them.
FAQ
When do Ayr United and Partick Thistle play?
Ayr United face Partick Thistle on October 16, 2026 in Championship at Somerset Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ayr United and Partick Thistle?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Ayr United won 0, Partick Thistle won 3 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ayr United vs Partick Thistle?
Ayr United score 1.00 goals per game on average and Partick Thistle 1.11. The Championship average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Ayr United's matches and 22% of Partick Thistle's.
What form are Ayr United and Partick Thistle in?
Over the last 5 games Ayr United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Partick Thistle 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ayr United vs Partick Thistle?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.