Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor: match statistics
Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Bandırmaspor played against Sivasspor in 1. Lig (Türkiye). The game was played on May 2, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Bandırmaspor has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Sivasspor has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Bandırmaspor scores 1.24 goals per game and allows 0.92. Sivasspor scores 1.27 and allows 1.14. Games in this league average 2.94 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 41% of Bandırmaspor's games and 54% of Sivasspor's. The Over 2.5 rates are 35% and 43%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Sivasspor has the higher season xG average, 1.32 to 1.20 per game. Bandırmaspor takes 10.7 shots per game, while Sivasspor takes 11.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Bandırmaspor leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.73 goals per game after halftime. Sivasspor leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.62 after halftime.
When the teams score
Bandırmaspor's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). For Sivasspor, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1. Lig games average 2.94 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bandırmaspor has a clear home advantage: they have won 56% of their matches at home and recorded 61% clean sheets, conceding just 0.72 goals per game on average. Sivasspor are weaker away from home — 33% wins on the road, only 28% clean sheets and 1.22 goals conceded per away match on average. Season offensive numbers are similar (Bandırmaspor 46 goals vs Sivasspor 47), but the hosts average 1.44 goals at home with xG 1.33 and 4.33 shots on target, compared to 1.06 goals, xG 1.18 and 3.39 shots on target for the visitors; conversion 12% versus 10%. In the last 5 matches Bandırmaspor scored 4 and conceded 1, averaging 1.8 points per game, while Sivasspor scored 7 and conceded 11, averaging 1.2 points per game. Considering the hosts' defensive edge, superior quality of chances and recent trends, I forecast a Bandırmaspor win; I estimate probabilities of 60% for the home side, 22% for a draw and 18% for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS indicators favor the "both teams to score" scenario — Bandırmaspor BTTS 53%, Sivasspor 56%, league average 50%. In the last 5 matches there is divergence: the home side has only 20% BTTS, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded (4 scored and 1 conceded in 5), while the away side has 100% BTTS, averaging 1.4 scored and 2.2 conceded (7 scored and 11 conceded). xG projects about 1.38 for the home team (xG_for 1.44 vs xG_against_away 1.31) and about 1.12 for the away team (xG_for 1.18 vs xG_against_home 1.06), which suggests both sides have realistic scoring chances. Additionally, the hosts average 4.32 shots on target versus 3.39 for the visitors and have a conversion rate of ~11% compared to 10% for the opponent, so given Sivasspor's weaker defense in the last 5 matches (11 conceded) the BTTS scenario is stronger — therefore selection: BTTS - Yes with an estimated probability of 65%/35%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Total expected xG is about 2.50, split as home 1.38 (attack xG 1.44 vs away defense xG 1.31) and away 1.12 (attack xG 1.18 vs home defense xG 1.06). Using a Poisson model with λ=2.50, the probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) is ~71%, Over 2.5 ~46%, and Over 3.5 only ~24%. These estimates align with seasonal rates: Over 2.5 occurs in 37% of home matches and 50% of away matches (avg ~44%), while Over 3.5 is 32% at home and 11% away, supporting a low chance of >3.5 goals. In the last 5 matches Bandırmaspor scored 4 and conceded 1 (avg 0.8 scored and 0.2 conceded), and Sivasspor scored 7 and conceded 11 (avg 1.4 and 2.2), which together do not materially shift the expected 2.5 threshold upward. Based on the above figures the strongest probabilistic signal is an Under 3.5 bet (≈76% chance).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a Bandırmaspor victory after 90 minutes (X/1). A draw at the break is supported by the statistics: the visitors were level at the interval in 59% of matches, the hosts in 37%, and average first-half goals are low — 0.68 for the home team and 0.47 for the away side — indicating a low-scoring first half. After the break Bandırmaspor are stronger: the home side averages 1.63 points in the second half and win the second half 42% of the time, with 31 points, compared to Sivasspor’s 0.82 points and an 18% second-half win rate (14 points). Additionally, the hosts have superior xG (1.44 vs 1.18) and more on-target shots (4.32 vs 3.39), and their home goal differential is 1.47 scored to 1.05 conceded, giving them the edge in the matchup. Therefore the strongest signal from the data is X/1 — draw at half-time, home turnaround to win the match.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Bandırmaspor | Sivasspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Bandırmaspor is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Bandırmaspor · 1.2 pts / game - Sivasspor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bandırmaspor is 24% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.92 goals / game - Bandırmaspor · 1.14 goals / game - Sivasspor
Bandırmaspor scores in 70% of games (26 of 37 meczów), while Sivasspor keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 37 meczów).
Sivasspor scores in 76% of games (28 of 37 meczów), while Bandırmaspor keeps a clean sheet in 43% (16 of 37 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bandırmaspor
Over / Under - Sivasspor
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bandırmaspor - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Sivasspor - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Bandırmaspor
Sivasspor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Lig).
Teams vs league
| Bandırmaspor | Liga | Sivasspor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.16 | 2.94 | ▼ 2.41 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 51% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 55% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 28% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 71% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 80% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Bandırmaspor's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Sivasspor. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor?
The 1. Lig match finished Bandırmaspor 1:0 Sivasspor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor?
Bandırmaspor score 1.24 goals per game on average and Sivasspor 1.27. The 1. Lig average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Bandırmaspor's matches and 54% of Sivasspor's.
What form are Bandırmaspor and Sivasspor in?
Over the last 5 games Bandırmaspor have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Sivasspor 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.