Bangor vs Larne: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Bangor vs Larne: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Bangor plays Larne in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The game is scheduled for October 24, 2026.
Recent form
Bangor has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Larne has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Bangor scores 0.83 goals per game and allows 2.00. Larne scores 2.00 and allows 0.89. Games in this league average 2.71 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Bangor's games and 44% of Larne's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 56%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Larne has the higher season xG average, 1.62 to 0.99 per game. Bangor takes 6.8 shots per game, while Larne takes 11.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Bangor leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.58 goals per game after halftime. Larne leads at halftime in 67% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Bangor's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). For Larne, it is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NIFL Premiership games average 2.71 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Bangor | Larne | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 49% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Larne is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Bangor · 1.8 pts / game - Larne
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Larne is 141% better for: goals scored per game.
0.83 goals / game - Bangor · 2 goals / game - Larne
Larne is 125% better for: goals allowed per game.
2 goals / game - Bangor · 0.89 goals / game - Larne
Bangor scores in 50% of games (6 of 12 games), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 56% (5 of 9 games).
Larne scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 games), while Bangor keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 12 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bangor
Over / Under - Larne
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Larne is 211% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.75 pts / game - Bangor · 2.33 pts / game - Larne
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bangor - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 8%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Larne - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +6 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Bangor
Larne
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Bangor | Liga | Larne | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.83 | 2.71 | ▲ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 49% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 54% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 8% | 28% | ▲ 56% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 70% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 84% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Bangor's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses against Larne. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
When do Bangor and Larne play?
Bangor face Larne on October 24, 2026 in NIFL Premiership. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Bangor and Larne?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Bangor won 0, Larne won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Bangor vs Larne?
Bangor score 0.83 goals per game on average and Larne 2.00. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Bangor's matches and 44% of Larne's.
What form are Bangor and Larne in?
Over the last 5 games Bangor have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Larne 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bangor vs Larne?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bangor vs Larne: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.