England - ChampionshipSt. Andrew's StadiumData current as of November 02, 2026

Birmingham City vs Millwall: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Birmingham City vs Millwall: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Birmingham City plays Millwall in Championship (England). The game is scheduled for November 3, 2026. Venue: St. Andrew's Stadium.

Recent form

Birmingham City has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Millwall has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Birmingham City scores 1.77 goals per game and allows 1.00. Millwall scores 1.77 and allows 1.62. Games in this league average 2.93 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 62% of Birmingham City's games and 54% of Millwall's. The Over 2.5 rates are 69% and 77%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Millwall has the higher season xG average, 1.57 to 1.55 per game. Birmingham City takes 13.5 shots per game, while Millwall takes 14.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Birmingham City leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.92 goals per game after halftime. Millwall leads at halftime in 46% and scores 0.85 after halftime.

When the teams score

Birmingham City's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Millwall, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Championship games average 2.93 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.95)
(3.75)
(3.50)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Birmingham CityMillwall
1.77Goals scored / game1.77
Birmingham CityMillwall
1Goals allowed / game1.62
Birmingham CityMillwall
50%Average possession49%
Birmingham CityMillwall
4.77Shots on target / game4.31
Birmingham CityMillwall

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.46Shots per game14.46
Birmingham CityMillwall
4.77Shots on target4.31
Birmingham CityMillwall
13.1%Shot conversion12.2%
Birmingham CityMillwall
50%Possession49%
Birmingham CityMillwall
1.55xG for1.57
Birmingham CityMillwall
1.35xG against1.37
Birmingham CityMillwall

Shooting quality

Birmingham City: Efficient finishingMillwall: Attacking
Birmingham CityMillwall
Accuracy (shots on target)35%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Birmingham City is 71% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / game - Birmingham City · 1.4 pts / game - Millwall

Birmingham City
WWWLW
Season result split
46% W38% D15% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-5-2
1.77 pts / game · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-4-0
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
DDDWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%
Millwall
WLDLW
Season result split
38% W23% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-5
1.38 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLDWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.10BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Birmingham City is 62% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Birmingham City · 1.62 goals / game - Millwall

Birmingham City scoring profile: very strong

Birmingham City scores in 85% of games (11 of 13 games), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 games).

Millwall scoring profile: very strong

Millwall scores in 85% of games (11 of 13 games), while Birmingham City keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 games).

23Goals scored (season)23
Birmingham CityMillwall
13Goals conceded (season)21
Birmingham CityMillwall
2.77Average goals per game3.38
Birmingham CityMillwall
11Goals scored (last 5)8
Birmingham CityMillwall
2Goals conceded (last 5)6
Birmingham CityMillwall

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal85%
Birmingham CityMillwall
62%2 goals54%
Birmingham CityMillwall
23%3 goals23%
Birmingham CityMillwall
8%4 goals15%
Birmingham CityMillwall

How often they concede at least...

69%1 goal69%
Birmingham CityMillwall
31%2 goals54%
Birmingham CityMillwall
0%3 goals23%
Birmingham CityMillwall
0%4 goals8%
Birmingham CityMillwall

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

62%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time15%
Birmingham CityMillwall
8%BTTS in both halves0%
Birmingham CityMillwall
46%Scored in both halves31%
Birmingham CityMillwall

BTTS and goal count

54%Min. 3 goals and BTTS54%
Birmingham CityMillwall
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS23%
Birmingham CityMillwall
20%BTTS - last 560%
Birmingham CityMillwall

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

92%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
Birmingham CityMillwall
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time46%
Birmingham CityMillwall
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time15%
Birmingham CityMillwall

2nd half

69%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Birmingham CityMillwall
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time69%
Birmingham CityMillwall
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
Birmingham CityMillwall

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Millwall is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.46 pts / game - Birmingham City · 1.62 pts / game - Millwall

Birmingham City - half-time state
38% leading31% draw31% trailing
Millwall - half-time state
46% leading23% draw31% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.46Points per game (1st half)1.62
Birmingham CityMillwall
0.85Goals scored (1st half)0.92
Birmingham CityMillwall
0.69Goals conceded (1st half)0.54
Birmingham CityMillwall
1.54Average goals (1st half)1.46
Birmingham CityMillwall
46%Clean sheet before half-time62%
Birmingham CityMillwall
38%No goal before half-time38%
Birmingham CityMillwall

After half-time (2nd half)

2.08Points per game (2nd half)1.23
Birmingham CityMillwall
0.92Goals scored (2nd half)0.85
Birmingham CityMillwall
0.31Goals conceded (2nd half)1.08
Birmingham CityMillwall
1.23Average goals (2nd half)1.92
Birmingham CityMillwall
69%Clean sheet after half-time38%
Birmingham CityMillwall
31%No goal after half-time46%
Birmingham CityMillwall

Birmingham City - second-half results

54% W46% D0% L
19
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.46
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.4

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Millwall - second-half results

38% W8% D54% L
21
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.62
PPG before half-time
Lead holding83%

Leads at halftime in 46% of games and wins 38%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Birmingham City - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.402.20
Goals scored / game1.21.0
Goals allowed / game0.20.2
Average goals per game1.41.2
1 goal100%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+5+4
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6
Millwall - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.40
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game1.41.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Birmingham City
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
3
1
16-30
7
7
31-45
5
1
46-60
4
1
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Millwall
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
3
3
16-30
4
3
31-45
3
4
46-60
1
4
61-75
7
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.08
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.7 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+14%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
72%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Birmingham City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.57
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
78%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.63
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

Millwall

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
138%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Birmingham CityLigaMillwall
Average goals per game▼ 2.772.93▲ 3.38
Both teams scored• 62%62%▼ 54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 69%62%▲ 77%
Clean sheets▲ 31%22%▲ 31%
Goal before half-time▲ 92%78%▲ 85%
Goal after half-time▼ 69%79%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.93
Average goals per game
62%
Both teams scored
62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.65
Home goals / game
1.28
Away goals / game
+29%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defensive advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Birmingham City's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Millwall. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Millwall FC
3 : 0
Birmingham City FC
Birmingham City FC
4 : 0
Millwall FC

FAQ

When do Birmingham City and Millwall play?

Birmingham City face Millwall on November 3, 2026 in Championship at St. Andrew's Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Birmingham City and Millwall?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Birmingham City won 1, Millwall won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Birmingham City vs Millwall?

Birmingham City score 1.77 goals per game on average and Millwall 1.77. The Championship average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Birmingham City's matches and 54% of Millwall's.

What form are Birmingham City and Millwall in?

Over the last 5 games Birmingham City have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Millwall 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Birmingham City vs Millwall?

The statistical background for Birmingham City vs Millwall — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.