Uruguay - Primera DivisiónParque José NasazziData current as of September 18, 2026

Boston River vs Progreso: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Boston River vs Progreso: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Boston River plays Progreso in Primera División (Uruguay). The game is scheduled for September 19, 2026. Venue: Parque José Nasazzi.

Recent form

Boston River has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Progreso has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Boston River scores 0.96 goals per game and allows 1.36. Progreso scores 0.75 and allows 1.46. Games in this league average 2.36 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 46% of Boston River's games and 39% of Progreso's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 39%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Boston River has the higher season xG average, 1.30 to 1.17 per game. Boston River takes 10.3 shots per game, while Progreso takes 8.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Boston River leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.64 goals per game after halftime. Progreso leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.43 after halftime.

When the teams score

Boston River's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Progreso, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Primera División games average 2.36 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Boston RiverProgreso
0.96Goals scored / game0.75
Boston RiverProgreso
1.36Goals allowed / game1.46
Boston RiverProgreso
51%Average possession47%
Boston RiverProgreso
4.07Shots on target / game3.32
Boston RiverProgreso

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.25Shots per game8.68
Boston RiverProgreso
4.07Shots on target3.32
Boston RiverProgreso
9.4%Shot conversion8.6%
Boston RiverProgreso
51%Possession47%
Boston RiverProgreso
1.3xG for1.17
Boston RiverProgreso
1.58xG against1.48
Boston RiverProgreso

Shooting quality

Boston River: BalancedProgreso: Balanced
Boston RiverProgreso
Accuracy (shots on target)40%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.23

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Progreso is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Boston River · 1.2 pts / game - Progreso

Boston River
DWDLL
Season result split
29% W21% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-6-14
1.07 pts / game · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-4-5
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
WLDDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Progreso
LLWWL
Season result split
21% W14% D64% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-4-18
0.79 pts / game · goal difference -20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-9
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Boston River is 28% better for: goals scored per game.

0.96 goals / game - Boston River · 0.75 goals / game - Progreso

Boston River is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.36 goals / game - Boston River · 1.46 goals / game - Progreso

Boston River scoring profile: strong

Boston River scores in 54% of games (15 of 28 games), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 games).

Progreso scoring profile: strong

Progreso scores in 54% of games (15 of 28 games), while Boston River keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 games).

27Goals scored (season)21
Boston RiverProgreso
38Goals conceded (season)41
Boston RiverProgreso
2.32Average goals per game2.21
Boston RiverProgreso
6Goals scored (last 5)3
Boston RiverProgreso
7Goals conceded (last 5)6
Boston RiverProgreso

How often they score at least...

54%1 goal54%
Boston RiverProgreso
25%2 goals18%
Boston RiverProgreso
11%3 goals4%
Boston RiverProgreso
7%4 goals0%
Boston RiverProgreso

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal86%
Boston RiverProgreso
36%2 goals50%
Boston RiverProgreso
14%3 goals11%
Boston RiverProgreso
4%4 goals0%
Boston RiverProgreso

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time14%
Boston RiverProgreso
4%BTTS in both halves7%
Boston RiverProgreso
14%Scored in both halves14%
Boston RiverProgreso

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
Boston RiverProgreso
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
Boston RiverProgreso
60%BTTS - last 520%
Boston RiverProgreso

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

54%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
Boston RiverProgreso
21%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
Boston RiverProgreso
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
Boston RiverProgreso

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
Boston RiverProgreso
46%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
Boston RiverProgreso
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time4%
Boston RiverProgreso

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Boston River is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Boston River · 0.82 pts / game - Progreso

Boston River - half-time state
14% leading57% draw29% trailing
Progreso - half-time state
14% leading39% draw46% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)0.82
Boston RiverProgreso
0.32Goals scored (1st half)0.32
Boston RiverProgreso
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.82
Boston RiverProgreso
0.82Average goals (1st half)1.14
Boston RiverProgreso
54%Clean sheet before half-time43%
Boston RiverProgreso
75%No goal before half-time71%
Boston RiverProgreso

After half-time (2nd half)

1.07Points per game (2nd half)0.96
Boston RiverProgreso
0.64Goals scored (2nd half)0.43
Boston RiverProgreso
0.86Goals conceded (2nd half)0.64
Boston RiverProgreso
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.07
Boston RiverProgreso
39%Clean sheet after half-time43%
Boston RiverProgreso
57%No goal after half-time61%
Boston RiverProgreso

Boston River - second-half results

21% W43% D36% L
28
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding207%

Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Progreso - second-half results

18% W43% D39% L
23
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-14
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Boston River - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.200.80
Goals scored / game0.60.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.8
Average goals per game1.21.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Progreso - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.00
Goals scored / game0.20.4
Goals allowed / game0.40.8
Average goals per game0.61.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Boston River
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
1
5
16-30
5
4
31-45
6
5
46-60
4
9
61-75
8
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Progreso
ScoredConceded
4
8
0-15
2
8
16-30
3
7
31-45
2
5
46-60
2
6
61-75
8
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.27
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
43%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+10%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
29%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
21%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Boston River

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
131%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Progreso

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.40
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
72%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.41
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

Boston RiverLigaProgreso
Average goals per game 2.322.36 2.21
Both teams scored 46%50% 39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 43%44% 39%
Clean sheets 18%29% 14%
Goal before half-time 54%66% 71%
Goal after half-time 71%73% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.36
Average goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.31
Home goals / game
1.04
Away goals / game
+26%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defensive advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Boston River's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Progreso. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Progreso
0 : 1
Boston River
CA Boston River
2 : 1
Club Atlético Progreso
Club Atlético Progreso
2 : 0
CA Boston River
Club Atlético Progreso
2 : 2
CA Boston River

FAQ

When do Boston River and Progreso play?

Boston River face Progreso on September 19, 2026 in Primera División at Parque José Nasazzi. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Boston River and Progreso?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Boston River won 2, Progreso won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Boston River vs Progreso?

Boston River score 0.96 goals per game on average and Progreso 0.75. The Primera División average is 2.36 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Boston River's matches and 39% of Progreso's.

What form are Boston River and Progreso in?

Over the last 5 games Boston River have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Progreso 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Boston River vs Progreso?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Boston River vs Progreso: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.