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Botafogo vs Grêmio: match statistics
Botafogo vs Grêmio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Botafogo play Grêmio in Serie A (Brazil). The match time may change. Statistics remain available as match context. Venue: Estádio Nilton Santos.
Current form
Botafogo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Grêmio: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Botafogo scores 1.70 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Grêmio scores 1.10 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Botafogo 75%, Grêmio 60%. Over 2.5: Botafogo 75%, Grêmio 40%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Botafogo has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.24. Botafogo: 12.7 shots per match, Grêmio: 11.3.
Match halves
Botafogo: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.95. Grêmio: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Botafogo: 76-90+ (10 goals). Grêmio: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Botafogo | Grêmio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Botafogo is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Botafogo · 1 pts / match - Grêmio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Botafogo is 55% better for: goals scored per match.
1.7 goals / match - Botafogo · 1.1 goals / match - Grêmio
Grêmio is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Botafogo · 1.3 goals / match - Grêmio
Botafogo scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
Grêmio scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Botafogo keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Botafogo
Over / Under — Grêmio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Botafogo is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Botafogo · 1.05 pts / match - Grêmio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Botafogo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Grêmio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Botafogo
Grêmio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Botafogo | Liga | Grêmio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.30 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 58% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 49% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 23% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 76% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 77% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Botafogo 1 - 1 - 1 Grêmio. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.