Cancún vs Tapatío: match statistics
Cancún vs Tapatío: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cancún play Tapatío in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 27 April 2026 at 03:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Cancún: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Tapatío: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cancún scores 1.62 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Tapatío scores 1.63 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cancún 59%, Tapatío 67%. Over 2.5: Cancún 50%, Tapatío 67%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Tapatío has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.39. Cancún: 11.3 shots per match, Tapatío: 12.3.
Match halves
Cancún: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 0.74. Tapatío: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Cancún: 31-45+ (13 goals). Tapatío: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Cancún has a clear home advantage — at home they average 2.00 goals scored and only 0.73 goals conceded, with an average xG of 1.64 and 5.33 shots on target per match; consequently they have a positive home goal difference of +19 and 40% clean sheets. Tapatío, on the other hand, on the road score 1.29 goals and concede 1.71 per match, register only 3.71 shots on target and just 7% clean sheets, indicating evident defensive issues away from home. In the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 10 goals and recorded 3 wins and 2 draws (points per match 2.2), while the visitors have scored 7 goals with only 1 win and 3 defeats (points per match 0.8), which favors Cancún's form. The difference in average goals conceded is 0.98 (0.73 vs 1.71), and the difference in average shots on target is 1.62 (5.33 vs 3.71), reflecting the hosts' superiority in both quality and quantity of chances. Considering Cancún's 53% home win rate and Tapatío's 57% away loss rate, I tip a home victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cancún | Tapatío | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cancún is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Cancún · 0.8 pts / match - Tapatío
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cancún is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.94 goals / match - Cancún · 1.47 goals / match - Tapatío
Cancún scores in 85% of matches (29 of 34 matches), while Tapatío keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).
Tapatío scores in 80% of matches (24 of 30 matches), while Cancún keeps a clean sheet in 32% (11 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Cancún
Over / Under — Tapatío
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cancún is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Cancún · 1.4 pts / match - Tapatío
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cancún - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 50%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tapatío - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cancún
Tapatío
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Cancún | Liga | Tapatío | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.56 | 2.85 | ▲ 3.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 25% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 74% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Cancún 2 - 1 - 0 Tapatío. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cancún vs Tapatío?
The Ascenso MX match finished Cancún 1:0 Tapatío. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cancún and Tapatío?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Cancún won 2, Tapatío won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cancún vs Tapatío?
Cancún score 1.62 goals per game on average and Tapatío 1.63. The Ascenso MX average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Cancún's matches and 67% of Tapatío's.
What form are Cancún and Tapatío in?
Over the last 5 games Cancún have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Tapatío 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cancún vs Tapatío?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cancún vs Tapatío: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.