Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United: match statistics
Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Carrick Rangers play Ballymena United in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match date is 11 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Carrick Rangers: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Ballymena United: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Carrick Rangers scores 1.67 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Ballymena United scores 1.21 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Carrick Rangers 67%, Ballymena United 55%. Over 2.5: Carrick Rangers 62%, Ballymena United 47%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Carrick Rangers has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.17. Carrick Rangers: 9.7 shots per match, Ballymena United: 9.2.
Match halves
Carrick Rangers: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.69. Ballymena United: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Carrick Rangers: 31-45+ (23 goals). Ballymena United: 61-75 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-1-2. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Carrick Rangers have a clear attacking edge: across the season they scored 56 goals versus Ballymena United’s 40, and at home they average 1.67 goals per match compared to the visitors’ 1.06 goals per away match. The hosts create better chances — at home they average 10.35 shots per match, 4.18 on target, and have an average xG of 1.35 versus Ballymena’s 1.08, with a conversion rate of 16% vs 13%. The visitors weaken on the road: they lost 65% of away matches, have an away goal difference of -10 and failed to score in 35% of away games, which limits their offensive threat. Defensive differences are smaller but still favor the hosts — Carrick concede 1.56 goals per home match (xG against 1.38) versus Ballymena’s 1.65 conceded on the road (xG against 1.56), and the hosts record 22% clean sheets compared to the visitors’ 12%. Considering recent scoring form (Carrick 10 goals in the last 5 matches vs 6 for Ballymena), a better points average over the last 5 matches (1.4 vs 1.2) and the advantage in chance creation, I tip a home win; suggested probabilities are 60% home win, 20% draw and 20% away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Carrick Rangers | Ballymena United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Carrick Rangers is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Carrick Rangers · 1 pts / match - Ballymena United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carrick Rangers is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Carrick Rangers · 1.21 goals / match - Ballymena United
Carrick Rangers scores in 85% of matches (33 of 39 matches), while Ballymena United keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).
Ballymena United scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 39 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Carrick Rangers
Over / Under — Ballymena United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carrick Rangers is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - Carrick Rangers · 0.95 pts / match - Ballymena United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carrick Rangers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ballymena United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (23 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Carrick Rangers
Ballymena United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Carrick Rangers | Liga | Ballymena United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.23 | 2.94 | ▼ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 52% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 56% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 26% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 76% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 80% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Carrick Rangers 0 - 1 - 2 Ballymena United. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Carrick Rangers 2:3 Ballymena United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Carrick Rangers and Ballymena United?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Carrick Rangers won 0, Ballymena United won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United?
Carrick Rangers score 1.67 goals per game on average and Ballymena United 1.21. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Carrick Rangers's matches and 55% of Ballymena United's.
What form are Carrick Rangers and Ballymena United in?
Over the last 5 games Carrick Rangers have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Ballymena United 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.