Northern Ireland - NIFL PremiershipBelfast Loughshore Hotel ArenaData current as of October 15, 2026

Carrick Rangers vs Linfield: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Carrick Rangers vs Linfield: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Carrick Rangers plays Linfield in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena.

Recent form

Carrick Rangers has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Linfield has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Carrick Rangers scores 1.73 goals per game and allows 1.55. Linfield scores 1.40 and allows 0.60. Games in this league average 2.71 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 45% of Carrick Rangers's games and 30% of Linfield's. The Over 2.5 rates are 55% and 30%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Carrick Rangers has the higher season xG average, 1.52 to 1.43 per game. Carrick Rangers takes 11.9 shots per game, while Linfield takes 11.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Carrick Rangers leads at halftime in 36% of its games and scores 0.82 goals per game after halftime. Linfield leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.90 after halftime.

When the teams score

Carrick Rangers's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Linfield, it is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

NIFL Premiership games average 2.71 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(3.65)
(3.54)
(1.82)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Carrick RangersLinfield
1.73Goals scored / game1.4
Carrick RangersLinfield
1.55Goals allowed / game0.6
Carrick RangersLinfield
43%Average possession54%
Carrick RangersLinfield
4.73Shots on target / game4
Carrick RangersLinfield

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.91Shots per game11.1
Carrick RangersLinfield
4.73Shots on target4
Carrick RangersLinfield
14.5%Shot conversion12.6%
Carrick RangersLinfield
43%Possession54%
Carrick RangersLinfield
1.52xG for1.43
Carrick RangersLinfield
1.53xG against0.81
Carrick RangersLinfield

Shooting quality

Carrick Rangers: Counter-attackingLinfield: Balanced
Carrick RangersLinfield
Accuracy (shots on target)40%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Linfield is 86% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Carrick Rangers · 2.6 pts / game - Linfield

Carrick Rangers
DLLWW
Season result split
45% W9% D45% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-5
1.45 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-3
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
WLLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Linfield
WDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
80% W10% D10% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-1-1
2.50 pts / game · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Last 5 away
3-1-0
WWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.00Opponent xG: 0.69BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Carrick Rangers is 24% better for: goals scored per game.

1.73 goals / game - Carrick Rangers · 1.4 goals / game - Linfield

Linfield is 158% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.55 goals / game - Carrick Rangers · 0.6 goals / game - Linfield

Carrick Rangers scoring profile: mixed

Carrick Rangers scores in 73% of games (8 of 11 games), while Linfield keeps a clean sheet in 60% (6 of 10 games).

Linfield scoring profile: very strong

Linfield scores in 90% of games (9 of 10 games), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 games).

19Goals scored (season)14
Carrick RangersLinfield
17Goals conceded (season)6
Carrick RangersLinfield
3.27Average goals per game2
Carrick RangersLinfield
11Goals scored (last 5)8
Carrick RangersLinfield
10Goals conceded (last 5)2
Carrick RangersLinfield

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal90%
Carrick RangersLinfield
45%2 goals40%
Carrick RangersLinfield
27%3 goals10%
Carrick RangersLinfield
27%4 goals0%
Carrick RangersLinfield

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal40%
Carrick RangersLinfield
45%2 goals10%
Carrick RangersLinfield
18%3 goals10%
Carrick RangersLinfield
9%4 goals0%
Carrick RangersLinfield

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time0%
Carrick RangersLinfield
9%BTTS in both halves0%
Carrick RangersLinfield
27%Scored in both halves30%
Carrick RangersLinfield

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
Carrick RangersLinfield
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
Carrick RangersLinfield
60%BTTS - last 540%
Carrick RangersLinfield

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Carrick RangersLinfield
45%Min. 2 goals before half-time10%
Carrick RangersLinfield
27%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Carrick RangersLinfield

2nd half

91%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Carrick RangersLinfield
55%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
Carrick RangersLinfield
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Carrick RangersLinfield

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Linfield is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.45 pts / game - Carrick Rangers · 1.7 pts / game - Linfield

Carrick Rangers - half-time state
36% leading36% draw27% trailing
Linfield - half-time state
40% leading50% draw10% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.45Points per game (1st half)1.7
Carrick RangersLinfield
0.91Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Carrick RangersLinfield
0.73Goals conceded (1st half)0.1
Carrick RangersLinfield
1.64Average goals (1st half)0.6
Carrick RangersLinfield
64%Clean sheet before half-time90%
Carrick RangersLinfield
45%No goal before half-time60%
Carrick RangersLinfield

After half-time (2nd half)

1.09Points per game (2nd half)2
Carrick RangersLinfield
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)0.9
Carrick RangersLinfield
0.82Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
Carrick RangersLinfield
1.64Average goals (2nd half)1.4
Carrick RangersLinfield
36%Clean sheet after half-time60%
Carrick RangersLinfield
55%No goal after half-time20%
Carrick RangersLinfield

Carrick Rangers - second-half results

27% W27% D45% L
16
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.45
PPG before half-time
Lead holding125%

Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Linfield - second-half results

60% W20% D20% L
17
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.70
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 80%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Carrick Rangers - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.20
Goals scored / game1.21.0
Goals allowed / game1.20.8
Average goals per game2.41.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6
Linfield - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.802.00
Goals scored / game0.61.0
Goals allowed / game0.00.4
Average goals per game0.61.4
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+3+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Carrick Rangers
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
1
3
16-30
5
2
31-45
2
4
46-60
5
1
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Linfield
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
3
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
5
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.64
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
38%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-34%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
66%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Carrick Rangers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
129%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

Linfield

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.62
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
45%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).

Teams vs league

Carrick RangersLigaLinfield
Average goals per game▲ 3.272.71▼ 2.00
Both teams scored▼ 45%47%▼ 30%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 55%52%▼ 30%
Clean sheets• 27%28%▲ 60%
Goal before half-time▼ 64%69%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time▲ 91%84%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.71
Average goals per game
47%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.34
Home goals / game
1.37
Away goals / game
+-2%
Home attack advantage
+-2%
Home defensive advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Carrick Rangers's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses against Linfield. Games average 1.75 goals, and both teams scored in 25% of them.

FAQ

When do Carrick Rangers and Linfield play?

Carrick Rangers face Linfield on October 17, 2026 in NIFL Premiership at Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Carrick Rangers and Linfield?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Carrick Rangers won 1, Linfield won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Carrick Rangers vs Linfield?

Carrick Rangers score 1.73 goals per game on average and Linfield 1.40. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Carrick Rangers's matches and 30% of Linfield's.

What form are Carrick Rangers and Linfield in?

Over the last 5 games Carrick Rangers have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Linfield 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carrick Rangers vs Linfield?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.