Casa Pia vs Sporting Braga: match statistics
Casa Pia vs Sporting Braga: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Casa Pia play Sporting Braga in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match date is 23 April 2026 at 20:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Casa Pia: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Sporting Braga: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Casa Pia scores 0.91 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Sporting Braga scores 1.88 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Casa Pia 47%, Sporting Braga 56%. Over 2.5: Casa Pia 44%, Sporting Braga 68%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Sporting Braga has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.00. Casa Pia: 8.8 shots per match, Sporting Braga: 11.7.
Match halves
Casa Pia: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.44. Sporting Braga: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Casa Pia: 31-45+ (8 goals). Sporting Braga: 16-30 (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Sporting Braga are favorites based on clear numerical evidence: the visitors sit 4th with 57 goals scored this season, while Casa Pia are 16th with 28. In their last 5 matches Braga have scored 9 goals (3-2-0) and average 2.2 points per game, whereas Casa Pia have just 2 goals in their last 5, are winless (0-3-2) and average 0.6 points per game. Offensively on the road Braga average 1.86 goals with an xG of 1.69, 5.71 shots on target and 64% possession; Casa Pia at home average 1.21 goals, xG 0.92, 2.64 shots on target and 41% possession. Defensively the hosts concede 1.64 goals at home (52 conceded this season) and have only 14% clean sheets at home, while Braga concede 1.00 goal away and keep 36% clean sheets; Casa Pia have conceded 8 goals in their last 5 matches. Considering Braga’s advantage in xG (1.69 vs 0.92), in shots on target (5.71 vs 2.64) and the fact that Casa Pia failed to score in 36% of their home games versus Braga’s 7% blanks away, I predict an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Casa Pia | Sporting Braga | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sporting Braga is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Casa Pia · 1.2 pts / match - Sporting Braga
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sporting Braga is 107% better for: goals scored per match.
0.91 goals / match - Casa Pia · 1.88 goals / match - Sporting Braga
Sporting Braga is 58% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.68 goals / match - Casa Pia · 1.06 goals / match - Sporting Braga
Casa Pia scores in 56% of matches (19 of 34 matches), while Sporting Braga keeps a clean sheet in 35% (12 of 34 matches).
Sporting Braga scores in 91% of matches (31 of 34 matches), while Casa Pia keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Casa Pia
Over / Under — Sporting Braga
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sporting Braga is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Casa Pia · 1.76 pts / match - Sporting Braga
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Casa Pia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sporting Braga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 47%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (15 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Casa Pia
Sporting Braga
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Casa Pia | Liga | Sporting Braga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.59 | 2.68 | ▲ 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | • 47% | 48% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 54% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 29% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 69% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 80% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Casa Pia 0 - 0 - 1 Sporting Braga. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Casa Pia vs Sporting Braga?
The Liga NOS match finished Casa Pia 0:1 Sporting Braga. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Casa Pia vs Sporting Braga?
Casa Pia score 0.91 goals per game on average and Sporting Braga 1.88. The Liga NOS average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Casa Pia's matches and 56% of Sporting Braga's.
What form are Casa Pia and Sporting Braga in?
Over the last 5 games Casa Pia have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Sporting Braga 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Casa Pia vs Sporting Braga?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.