CD Trofense vs Varzim: match statistics
CD Trofense vs Varzim: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CD Trofense play Varzim in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match date is 18 April 2026 at 20:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
CD Trofense: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Varzim: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
CD Trofense scores 0.94 and concedes 0.97 goals per match. Varzim scores 1.22 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CD Trofense 47%, Varzim 47%. Over 2.5: CD Trofense 31%, Varzim 44%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
Varzim has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.14. CD Trofense: 7.7 shots per match, Varzim: 9.8.
Match halves
CD Trofense: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.41. Varzim: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
CD Trofense: 16-30 (6 goals). Varzim: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.23 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.
Match description
I back the home win (1) because CD Trofense shows superior form and home metrics: over the last 5 matches they average 1.2 points (2 wins, 3 losses) while Varzim average 0.6 points (1 win, 4 losses). Offensively the hosts score 1.08 goals per home game with xG 1.23, whereas Varzim average 1.00 goals away with xG 1.04, indicating greater expected threat from Trofense. Defensively Trofense concedes 1.08 goals at home versus Varzim conceding 1.38 on the road; additionally the home goal difference is 0 compared to -5 for the visitors, which favors the hosts. Trofense also produce more shots (8.23 vs 7.46) and more shots on target (2.92 vs 2.54) and have higher possession (53% vs 47%), while the percentage of matches without scoring is lower for the hosts (38% vs 46%), increasing their likelihood to score. Based on this I estimate probabilities of 55% home win, 25% draw and 20% Varzim win, noting that both teams have a high loss rate (54% in home/away matches) so the result may be decided by a minimal margin.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CD Trofense | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Varzim is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - CD Trofense · 1 pts / match - Varzim
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Varzim is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - CD Trofense · 1.22 goals / match - Varzim
CD Trofense is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.97 goals / match - CD Trofense · 1.13 goals / match - Varzim
CD Trofense scores in 56% of matches (18 of 32 matches), while Varzim keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).
Varzim scores in 66% of matches (21 of 32 matches), while CD Trofense keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — CD Trofense
Over / Under — Varzim
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CD Trofense is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / match - CD Trofense · 1.25 pts / match - Varzim
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CD Trofense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Varzim - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CD Trofense
Varzim
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| CD Trofense | Liga | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.91 | 2.23 | ▲ 2.34 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 49% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 31% | 40% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 31% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | • 66% | 66% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 74% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): CD Trofense 2 - 0 - 1 Varzim. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CD Trofense vs Varzim?
The Liga 3 match finished CD Trofense 0:1 Varzim. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between CD Trofense and Varzim?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches CD Trofense won 2, Varzim won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before CD Trofense vs Varzim?
CD Trofense score 0.94 goals per game on average and Varzim 1.22. The Liga 3 average is 2.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 47% of CD Trofense's matches and 47% of Varzim's.
What form are CD Trofense and Varzim in?
Over the last 5 games CD Trofense have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Varzim 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD Trofense vs Varzim?
The statistical background for CD Trofense vs Varzim — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.