Celje vs Aluminij: match statistics
Celje vs Aluminij: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Celje played against Aluminij in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Venue: Stadion Z'dežele. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Celje has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Aluminij has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Celje scores 1.22 goals per game and allows 1.22. Aluminij scores 1.60 and allows 1.10. Games in this league average 2.70 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Celje's games and 50% of Aluminij's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 40%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Celje has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.29 per game. Celje takes 12.6 shots per game, while Aluminij takes 9.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Celje leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.78 goals per game after halftime. Aluminij leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.80 after halftime.
When the teams score
Celje's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Aluminij, it is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
PrvaLiga games average 2.70 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 4 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aluminij have more arguments in their favor: they have won 2 of their last 5 matches and collected 8 points, while Celje have won once and picked up 4 points. Away from home, the visitors score an average of 2.75 goals and have won 50% of their matches, while the hosts average 1 goal at home and have won 25% of their games. Although Celje tend to dominate possession, averaging 60%, Aluminij have more shots on target away than their opponents record at home: 5.25 compared with 3.25 per match. However, the visitors’ advantage is not a certainty, as their away xG stands at 1.4, while they concede 2.12 xG, and Celje generate 1.6 xG at home. This gives the hosts a chance to score, but Aluminij’s attacking efficiency and recent results tip the prediction in the visitors’ favor.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Aluminij average 2.75 goals away from home and have averaged 3.6 goals in their last 5 matches, so they are likely to score despite Celje conceding only 1.0 goal per home game. The home side’s scoring prospects are less certain: Celje average 0.83 goals at home and have failed to score in 67% of such matches. However, the visitors have yet to keep a clean sheet away from home, while opponents average 2.12 xG against them, increasing the chances of Celje finding the net. BTTS has landed in 75% of Aluminij’s away matches, compared with 33% of Celje’s home matches, so BTTS - Yes has a moderate rather than decisive edge.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Aluminij average 2.75 goals, rising to 3.6 across their last five matches, which supports the expectation that the visitors will score at least once. Celje score just 0.83 goals per game, but their opponents concede an average of 1.25 goals and have yet to keep a clean sheet. Goal potential is also reflected in the xG figures: Aluminij record 1.40, while opponents create chances worth an average of 2.12 xG when facing them. However, only 17% of Celje’s matches have gone Over 2.5 goals, compared with 75% of Aluminij’s, making the higher line a less clear-cut option. With a projected total of 2.85 goals, Over 1.5 is the safest pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time looks most likely: Celje were level at the break in 67% of their matches and conceded an average of just 0.33 goals before half-time. Aluminij did lead at the break in 50% of their matches, scoring an average of 1.5 goals in the first half, so the 2/2 option remains almost equally strong. The visitors could secure the win in the second half, when they score an average of 1.25 goals compared with Celje’s 0.5. The gap was even greater across their last five matches: Aluminij averaged 1.8 goals after half-time, while Celje scored none. The visitors also average 2.75 goals per match overall, compared with 0.83 for the hosts, which supports an away win despite a cautious start.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Celje | Aluminij | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Aluminij is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Celje · 1 pts / game - Aluminij
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aluminij is 31% better for: goals scored per game.
1.22 goals / game - Celje · 1.6 goals / game - Aluminij
Aluminij is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.22 goals / game - Celje · 1.1 goals / game - Aluminij
Celje scores in 78% of games (7 of 9 games), while Aluminij keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 games).
Aluminij scores in 50% of games (5 of 10 games), while Celje keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Celje
Over / Under - Aluminij
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aluminij is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / game - Celje · 1.4 pts / game - Aluminij
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Celje - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Aluminij - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Celje
Aluminij
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).
Teams vs league
| Celje | Liga | Aluminij | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.44 | 2.70 | • 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 50% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 28% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 72% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 82% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Celje's perspective: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Aluminij. Games average 3.60 goals, and both teams scored in 60% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Celje vs Aluminij?
The PrvaLiga match finished Celje 1:0 Aluminij. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Celje and Aluminij?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Celje won 4, Aluminij won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Celje vs Aluminij?
Celje score 1.22 goals per game on average and Aluminij 1.60. The PrvaLiga average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Celje's matches and 50% of Aluminij's.
What form are Celje and Aluminij in?
Over the last 5 games Celje have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Aluminij 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Celje vs Aluminij?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.