Paraguay - Division ProfesionalEstadio General Pablo RojasData current as of September 07, 2026

Cerro Porteño vs Nacional Asunción: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Cerro Porteño vs Nacional Asunción: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Cerro Porteño plays Nacional Asunción in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The game is scheduled for September 7, 2026. Venue: Estadio General Pablo Rojas.

Recent form

Cerro Porteño has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Nacional Asunción has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Cerro Porteño scores 1.41 goals per game and allows 0.97. Nacional Asunción scores 1.50 and allows 0.90. Games in this league average 2.50 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 45% of Cerro Porteño's games and 60% of Nacional Asunción's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 43%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Cerro Porteño has the higher season xG average, 1.46 to 1.34 per game. Cerro Porteño takes 13.5 shots per game, while Nacional Asunción takes 12.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Cerro Porteño leads at halftime in 41% of its games and scores 0.62 goals per game after halftime. Nacional Asunción leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.90 after halftime.

When the teams score

Cerro Porteño's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (11 goals). For Nacional Asunción, it is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Division Profesional games average 2.50 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 6 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.17 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
1.41Goals scored / game1.5
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
0.97Goals allowed / game0.9
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
55%Average possession51%
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
4.93Shots on target / game4.23
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.48Shots per game12.43
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
4.93Shots on target4.23
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
10.5%Shot conversion12.1%
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
55%Possession51%
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
1.46xG for1.34
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
1.17xG against1.19
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción

Shooting quality

Cerro Porteño: BalancedNacional Asunción: Balanced
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
Accuracy (shots on target)37%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Nacional Asunción is 57% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Cerro Porteño · 2.2 pts / game - Nacional Asunción

Cerro Porteño
LWLDW
Season result split
48% W21% R31% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-6-9
1.66 pts / game · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-4-3
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WLWWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Nacional Asunción
DDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
47% W40% R13% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-12-4
1.80 pts / game · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-8-3
Last 5 away
1-3-1
DDLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.48BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nacional Asunción is 6% better for: goals scored per game.

1.41 goals / game - Cerro Porteño · 1.5 goals / game - Nacional Asunción

Nacional Asunción is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.97 goals / game - Cerro Porteño · 0.9 goals / game - Nacional Asunción

Cerro Porteño scoring profile: strong

Cerro Porteño scores in 76% of games (22 of 29 meczów), while Nacional Asunción keeps a clean sheet in 37% (11 of 30 meczów).

Nacional Asunción scoring profile: very strong

Nacional Asunción scores in 87% of games (26 of 30 meczów), while Cerro Porteño keeps a clean sheet in 41% (12 of 29 meczów).

41Goals scored (season)45
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
28Goals conceded (season)27
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
2.38Average goals per game2.4
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
6Goals scored (last 5)9
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
5Goals conceded (last 5)1
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal87%
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
41%2 goals43%
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
21%3 goals13%
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
3%4 goals3%
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción

How often they concede at least...

59%1 goal63%
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
34%2 goals20%
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
3%3 goals7%
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
0%4 goals0%
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

60%
Nacional Asunción - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.18 of 30 meczów
54%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time30%
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
3%BTTS in both halves3%
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
17%Scored in both halves30%
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción

BTTS and goal count

34%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
60%BTTS - last 520%
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción

2nd half

72%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cerro Porteño is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.66 pts / game - Cerro Porteño · 1.37 pts / game - Nacional Asunción

Cerro Porteño - half-time state
41% leading41% draw17% trailing
Nacional Asunción - half-time state
30% leading47% draw23% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.66Points per game (1st half)1.37
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
0.79Goals scored (1st half)0.6
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
0.34Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
1.14Average goals (1st half)1.13
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
69%Clean sheet before half-time53%
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
48%No goal before half-time47%
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción

After half-time (2nd half)

1.28Points per game (2nd half)1.8
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
0.62Goals scored (2nd half)0.9
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
0.62Goals conceded (2nd half)0.37
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
1.24Average goals (2nd half)1.27
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
55%Clean sheet after half-time73%
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción
59%No goal after half-time37%
Cerro PorteñoNacional Asunción

Cerro Porteño - second-half results

31% W34% R34% P
48
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
+13
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.66
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Nacional Asunción - second-half results

47% W40% R13% P
41
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
54
Second-half points
+16
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.37
PPG before half-time
Lead holding157%

Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Cerro Porteño - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.200.40
Goals scored / game1.20.0
Goals allowed / game0.20.8
Average goals per game1.40.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%100%
Goal difference+5-4
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6
Nacional Asunción - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.202.20
Goals scored / game0.81.0
Goals allowed / game0.20.0
Average goals per game1.01.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%100%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+3+5
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Cerro Porteño
ScoredConceded
11
2
0-15
4
3
16-30
8
5
31-45
4
7
46-60
5
7
61-75
9
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Nacional Asunción
ScoredConceded
4
7
0-15
7
3
16-30
7
6
31-45
8
3
46-60
5
5
61-75
14
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.39
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-9%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
66%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Cerro Porteño

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.26
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Nacional Asunción

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.45
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
138%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
64%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).

Teams vs league

Cerro PorteñoLigaNacional Asunción
Average goals per game 2.382.50 2.40
Both teams scored 45%54% 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 41%47% 43%
Clean sheets 41%27% 37%
Goal before half-time 69%66% 70%
Goal after half-time 72%81% 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.50
Average goals per game
54%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / game
1.09
Away goals / game
+28%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defensive advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Cerro Porteño's perspective: 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss against Nacional Asunción. Games average 2.17 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Nacional Asunción
0 : 0
Cerro Porteño
Cerro Porteño
0 : 2
Nacional Asunción
Club Nacional
1 : 2
Club Cerro Porteño
Club Cerro Porteño
0 : 0
Club Nacional
Club Nacional
1 : 3
Club Cerro Porteño
Club Cerro Porteño
3 : 1
Club Nacional

FAQ

When do Cerro Porteño and Nacional Asunción play?

Cerro Porteño face Nacional Asunción on September 7, 2026 in Division Profesional at Estadio General Pablo Rojas. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Cerro Porteño and Nacional Asunción?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches Cerro Porteño won 3, Nacional Asunción won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.17 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Cerro Porteño vs Nacional Asunción?

Cerro Porteño score 1.41 goals per game on average and Nacional Asunción 1.50. The Division Profesional average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Cerro Porteño's matches and 60% of Nacional Asunción's.

What form are Cerro Porteño and Nacional Asunción in?

Over the last 5 games Cerro Porteño have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Nacional Asunción 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro Porteño vs Nacional Asunción?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.