Uruguay - Primera DivisiónEstadio Monumental Luis TróccoliData current as of September 18, 2026

Cerro vs Peñarol: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Cerro vs Peñarol: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Cerro plays Peñarol in Primera División (Uruguay). The game is scheduled for September 19, 2026. Venue: Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli.

Recent form

Cerro has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Peñarol has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Cerro scores 0.79 goals per game and allows 1.46. Peñarol scores 1.75 and allows 0.82. Games in this league average 2.36 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 43% of Cerro's games and 50% of Peñarol's. The Over 2.5 rates are 39% and 50%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Peñarol has the higher season xG average, 1.72 to 1.23 per game. Cerro takes 10.3 shots per game, while Peñarol takes 14.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Cerro leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.29 goals per game after halftime. Peñarol leads at halftime in 43% and scores 1.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Cerro's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Peñarol, it is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Primera División games average 2.36 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 4 away wins. Those games averaged 2.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.79Goals scored / game1.75
CerroPeñarol
1.46Goals allowed / game0.82
CerroPeñarol
41%Average possession52%
CerroPeñarol
3.32Shots on target / game5.43
CerroPeñarol

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.29Shots per game14.5
CerroPeñarol
3.32Shots on target5.43
CerroPeñarol
7.6%Shot conversion12.1%
CerroPeñarol
41%Possession52%
CerroPeñarol
1.23xG for1.72
CerroPeñarol
1.59xG against1.23
CerroPeñarol

Shooting quality

Cerro: BalancedPeñarol: Attacking
CerroPeñarol
Accuracy (shots on target)32%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Cerro
WLDWW
Season result split
32% W18% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-5-14
1.14 pts / game · goal difference -19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-3-4
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.14Opponent xG: 1.99BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Peñarol
WDLWW
Season result split
61% W18% D21% L
Season (W-D-L)
17-5-6
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +26
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
8-2-2
Last 5 away
3-2-0
WWDDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.77Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Peñarol is 122% better for: goals scored per game.

0.79 goals / game - Cerro · 1.75 goals / game - Peñarol

Peñarol is 78% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.46 goals / game - Cerro · 0.82 goals / game - Peñarol

Cerro scoring profile: strong

Cerro scores in 64% of games (18 of 28 games), while Peñarol keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 games).

Peñarol scoring profile: very strong

Peñarol scores in 82% of games (23 of 28 games), while Cerro keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 games).

22Goals scored (season)49
CerroPeñarol
41Goals conceded (season)23
CerroPeñarol
2.25Average goals per game2.57
CerroPeñarol
7Goals scored (last 5)9
CerroPeñarol
7Goals conceded (last 5)3
CerroPeñarol

How often they score at least...

64%1 goal82%
CerroPeñarol
11%2 goals54%
CerroPeñarol
4%3 goals29%
CerroPeñarol
0%4 goals7%
CerroPeñarol

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal64%
CerroPeñarol
32%2 goals18%
CerroPeñarol
25%3 goals0%
CerroPeñarol
11%4 goals0%
CerroPeñarol

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time11%
CerroPeñarol
0%BTTS in both halves0%
CerroPeñarol
11%Scored in both halves25%
CerroPeñarol

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
CerroPeñarol
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
CerroPeñarol
60%BTTS - last 540%
CerroPeñarol

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

61%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
CerroPeñarol
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
CerroPeñarol
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
CerroPeñarol

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
CerroPeñarol
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
CerroPeñarol
4%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
CerroPeñarol

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Peñarol is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.11 pts / game - Cerro · 1.57 pts / game - Peñarol

Cerro - half-time state
18% leading57% draw25% trailing
Peñarol - half-time state
43% leading29% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.11Points per game (1st half)1.57
CerroPeñarol
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.75
CerroPeñarol
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)0.43
CerroPeñarol
1.07Average goals (1st half)1.18
CerroPeñarol
57%Clean sheet before half-time61%
CerroPeñarol
54%No goal before half-time57%
CerroPeñarol

After half-time (2nd half)

0.86Points per game (2nd half)1.89
CerroPeñarol
0.29Goals scored (2nd half)1
CerroPeñarol
0.89Goals conceded (2nd half)0.39
CerroPeñarol
1.18Average goals (2nd half)1.39
CerroPeñarol
39%Clean sheet after half-time64%
CerroPeñarol
71%No goal after half-time36%
CerroPeñarol

Cerro - second-half results

18% W32% D50% L
31
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
-17
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.11
PPG before half-time
Lead holding178%

Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Peñarol - second-half results

54% W29% D18% L
44
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
53
Second-half points
+17
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.57
PPG before half-time
Lead holding142%

Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 61%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Cerro - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.20
Goals scored / game1.00.4
Goals allowed / game0.41.0
Average goals per game1.41.4
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+3-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Peñarol - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.80
Goals scored / game0.61.2
Goals allowed / game0.20.4
Average goals per game0.81.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+2+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Cerro
ScoredConceded
6
3
0-15
4
4
16-30
4
9
31-45
0
3
46-60
1
6
61-75
7
16
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.

Peñarol
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
9
2
16-30
7
7
31-45
10
4
46-60
5
3
61-75
13
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.41
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.8 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+8%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Cerro

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+13.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
60%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
140%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.86
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Peñarol

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.44
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
168%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
63%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

CerroLigaPeñarol
Average goals per game 2.252.36 2.57
Both teams scored 43%50% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 39%44% 50%
Clean sheets 21%29% 36%
Goal before half-time 61%66% 71%
Goal after half-time 79%73% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.36
Average goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.31
Home goals / game
1.04
Away goals / game
+26%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defensive advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Cerro's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses against Peñarol. Games average 2.60 goals, and both teams scored in 40% of them.

Cerro
0 : 1
Peñarol
Peñarol
3 : 1
Cerro
Club Atlético Cerro
2 : 0
CA Peñarol
CA Peñarol
2 : 0
Club Atlético Cerro
CA Peñarol
3 : 1
Club Atlético Cerro

FAQ

When do Cerro and Peñarol play?

Cerro face Peñarol on September 19, 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Cerro and Peñarol?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Cerro won 1, Peñarol won 4 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Cerro vs Peñarol?

Cerro score 0.79 goals per game on average and Peñarol 1.75. The Primera División average is 2.36 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Cerro's matches and 50% of Peñarol's.

What form are Cerro and Peñarol in?

Over the last 5 games Cerro have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Peñarol 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro vs Peñarol?

The statistical background for Cerro vs Peñarol — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.