Uruguay - Primera DivisiónEstadio Monumental Luis TróccoliData current as of September 03, 2026

Cerro vs Racing: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Cerro vs Racing: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Cerro plays Racing in Primera División (Uruguay). The game is scheduled for September 6, 2026. Venue: Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli.

Recent form

Cerro has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Racing has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Cerro scores 0.69 goals per game and allows 1.54. Racing scores 1.23 and allows 0.73. Games in this league average 2.35 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 42% of Cerro's games and 46% of Racing's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 27%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Racing has the higher season xG average, 1.56 to 1.22 per game. Cerro takes 10.4 shots per game, while Racing takes 12.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Cerro leads at halftime in 12% of its games and scores 0.27 goals per game after halftime. Racing leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.62 after halftime.

When the teams score

Cerro's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Racing, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Primera División games average 2.35 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(3.60)
(2.90)
(2.05)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.69Goals scored / game1.23
CerroRacing
1.54Goals allowed / game0.73
CerroRacing
42%Average possession49%
CerroRacing
3.19Shots on target / game3.92
CerroRacing

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.42Shots per game12.62
CerroRacing
3.19Shots on target3.92
CerroRacing
6.6%Shot conversion9.8%
CerroRacing
42%Possession49%
CerroRacing
1.22xG for1.56
CerroRacing
1.55xG against1.04
CerroRacing

Shooting quality

Cerro: BalancedRacing: Balanced
CerroRacing
Accuracy (shots on target)31%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Racing is 57% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Cerro · 2.2 pts / game - Racing

Cerro
LWWLD
Season result split
27% W19% R54% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-5-14
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-3-4
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LWLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 0.90Opponent xG: 1.93BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Racing
WDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
50% W38% R12% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-10-3
1.88 pts / game · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-5-2
Last 5 away
0-4-1
DDLDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 0.93BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Racing is 78% better for: goals scored per game.

0.69 goals / game - Cerro · 1.23 goals / game - Racing

Racing is 111% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.54 goals / game - Cerro · 0.73 goals / game - Racing

Cerro scoring profile: mixed

Cerro scores in 62% of games (16 of 26 meczów), while Racing keeps a clean sheet in 46% (12 of 26 meczów).

Racing scoring profile: very strong

Racing scores in 81% of games (21 of 26 meczów), while Cerro keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 meczów).

18Goals scored (season)32
CerroRacing
40Goals conceded (season)19
CerroRacing
2.23Average goals per game1.96
CerroRacing
5Goals scored (last 5)6
CerroRacing
8Goals conceded (last 5)2
CerroRacing

How often they score at least...

62%1 goal81%
CerroRacing
8%2 goals31%
CerroRacing
0%3 goals8%
CerroRacing
0%4 goals4%
CerroRacing

How often they concede at least...

81%1 goal54%
CerroRacing
35%2 goals12%
CerroRacing
27%3 goals4%
CerroRacing
12%4 goals4%
CerroRacing

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

31%BTTS at half-time23%
CerroRacing
0%BTTS in both halves4%
CerroRacing
8%Scored in both halves15%
CerroRacing

BTTS and goal count

23%Min. 3 goals and BTTS23%
CerroRacing
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
CerroRacing
60%BTTS - last 520%
CerroRacing

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

58%Min. 1 goal before half-time62%
CerroRacing
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time23%
CerroRacing
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
CerroRacing

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time58%
CerroRacing
31%Min. 2 goals after half-time31%
CerroRacing
4%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
CerroRacing

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Racing is 65% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.96 pts / game - Cerro · 1.58 pts / game - Racing

Cerro - half-time state
12% leading62% draw27% trailing
Racing - half-time state
35% leading54% draw12% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.96Points per game (1st half)1.58
CerroRacing
0.42Goals scored (1st half)0.62
CerroRacing
0.62Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
CerroRacing
1.04Average goals (1st half)1
CerroRacing
54%Clean sheet before half-time69%
CerroRacing
58%No goal before half-time46%
CerroRacing

After half-time (2nd half)

0.85Points per game (2nd half)1.42
CerroRacing
0.27Goals scored (2nd half)0.62
CerroRacing
0.92Goals conceded (2nd half)0.35
CerroRacing
1.19Average goals (2nd half)0.96
CerroRacing
38%Clean sheet after half-time73%
CerroRacing
73%No goal after half-time58%
CerroRacing

Cerro - second-half results

19% W27% R54% P
25
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
-17
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.96
PPG before half-time
Lead holding225%

Leads at halftime in 12% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Racing - second-half results

31% W50% R19% P
41
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.58
PPG before half-time
Lead holding143%

Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Cerro - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.00
Goals scored / game0.80.2
Goals allowed / game0.61.0
Average goals per game1.41.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+1-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4
Racing - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.80
Goals scored / game0.60.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.0
Average goals per game1.00.6
1 goal40%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%100%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Cerro
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
4
4
16-30
4
9
31-45
0
3
46-60
1
5
61-75
6
16
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.

Racing
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
6
3
16-30
6
4
31-45
2
1
46-60
6
3
61-75
8
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.09
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.7 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-28%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Cerro

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+12.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.53
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
53%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
148%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Racing

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.52
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
56%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

CerroLigaRacing
Average goals per game 2.232.35 1.96
Both teams scored 42%50% 46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 38%44% 27%
Clean sheets 19%29% 46%
Goal before half-time 58%66% 62%
Goal after half-time 81%72% 58%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.35
Average goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.31
Home goals / game
1.04
Away goals / game
+26%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defensive advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Cerro's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Racing. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 25% of them.

Cerro
1 : 0
Racing
Racing
1 : 0
Cerro
Club Atlético Cerro
1 : 2
Racing Club de Montevideo
Racing Club de Montevideo
0 : 1
Club Atlético Cerro

FAQ

When do Cerro and Racing play?

Cerro face Racing on September 6, 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Cerro and Racing?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Cerro won 2, Racing won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Cerro vs Racing?

Cerro score 0.69 goals per game on average and Racing 1.23. The Primera División average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Cerro's matches and 46% of Racing's.

What form are Cerro and Racing in?

Over the last 5 games Cerro have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Racing 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro vs Racing?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.