Colwyn Bay vs Caernarfon Town: match statistics
Colwyn Bay vs Caernarfon Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Colwyn Bay play Caernarfon Town in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match date is 3 April 2026 at 15:30. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Colwyn Bay: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Caernarfon Town: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Colwyn Bay scores 1.24 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Caernarfon Town scores 1.75 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.87 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Colwyn Bay 45%, Caernarfon Town 63%. Over 2.5: Colwyn Bay 39%, Caernarfon Town 59%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Caernarfon Town has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.47. Colwyn Bay: 11.7 shots per match, Caernarfon Town: 12.4.
Match halves
Colwyn Bay: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.52. Caernarfon Town: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.16.
Goals by minute
Colwyn Bay: 31-45+ (11 goals). Caernarfon Town: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-0-1. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Colwyn Bay are in clearer form: in the last 5 matches the home side recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss (10 points, 2.0 points per game), while Caernarfon Town over the same period have 2 wins and 3 losses (6 points, 1.2 points per game). At home Colwyn average 1.73 goals with 4.87 shots on target and 12.13 shots per match with a conversion rate around 14%, whereas Caernarfon away average 1.60 goals with 4.13 shots on target and a conversion around 13%. In terms of chance quality Colwyn have 1.52 xG at home versus 1.46 xG for the visitors on the road; hosts concede 1.35 xG against while Caernarfon concede 1.61 xG against, although the visitors actually concede 1.27 goals away, less than their xG suggests. Hosts win 40% of home matches versus Caernarfon’s 33% away win rate and have a positive home goal difference (+4), which combined with better form and a slight xG edge favors Colwyn. Therefore I predict a home win; I assess probabilities as 55% for Colwyn, 25% for a draw and 20% for Caernarfon.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Colwyn Bay | Caernarfon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Caernarfon Town is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
1.24 goals / match - Colwyn Bay · 1.75 goals / match - Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.12 goals / match - Colwyn Bay · 1.47 goals / match - Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay scores in 64% of matches (21 of 33 matches), while Caernarfon Town keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
Caernarfon Town scores in 81% of matches (26 of 32 matches), while Colwyn Bay keeps a clean sheet in 30% (10 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Colwyn Bay
Over / Under — Caernarfon Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Colwyn Bay is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Colwyn Bay · 1.13 pts / match - Caernarfon Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Colwyn Bay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Caernarfon Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Colwyn Bay
Caernarfon Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Colwyn Bay | Liga | Caernarfon Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.36 | 2.87 | ▲ 3.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 50% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 53% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | • 30% | 29% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 52% | 75% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Colwyn Bay 2 - 0 - 1 Caernarfon Town. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Colwyn Bay vs Caernarfon Town?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Colwyn Bay 0:2 Caernarfon Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Colwyn Bay and Caernarfon Town?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Colwyn Bay won 2, Caernarfon Town won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Colwyn Bay vs Caernarfon Town?
Colwyn Bay score 1.24 goals per game on average and Caernarfon Town 1.75. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Colwyn Bay's matches and 63% of Caernarfon Town's.
What form are Colwyn Bay and Caernarfon Town in?
Over the last 5 games Colwyn Bay have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Caernarfon Town 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Colwyn Bay vs Caernarfon Town?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.