Wales - Welsh Premier LeagueData current as of September 08, 2026

Colwyn Bay vs Connah's Quay: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Colwyn Bay vs Connah's Quay: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Colwyn Bay plays Connah's Quay in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game is scheduled for September 12, 2026.

Recent form

Colwyn Bay has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Connah's Quay has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Colwyn Bay scores 1.14 goals per game and allows 1.57. Connah's Quay scores 2.57 and allows 0.71. Games in this league average 3.14 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 29% of Colwyn Bay's games and 57% of Connah's Quay's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 71%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Connah's Quay has the higher season xG average, 1.89 to 1.43 per game. Colwyn Bay takes 13.6 shots per game, while Connah's Quay takes 17.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Colwyn Bay leads at halftime in 57% of its games and scores 0.29 goals per game after halftime. Connah's Quay leads at halftime in 86% and scores 1.14 after halftime.

When the teams score

Colwyn Bay's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Connah's Quay, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Welsh Premier League games average 3.14 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.84)
(3.10)
(2.38)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
1.14Goals scored / game2.57
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
1.57Goals allowed / game0.71
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
44%Average possession58%
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
3.29Shots on target / game6.29
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.57Shots per game17.14
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
3.29Shots on target6.29
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
8.4%Shot conversion15%
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
44%Possession58%
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
1.43xG for1.89
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
1.2xG against0.81
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay

Shooting quality

Colwyn Bay: BalancedConnah's Quay: Dominant
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
Accuracy (shots on target)24%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Connah's Quay is 117% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - Colwyn Bay · 2.6 pts / game - Connah's Quay

Colwyn Bay
LWLWL
Season result split
43% W14% R43% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-3
1.43 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Last 5 at home
3-0-0
WWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Connah's Quay
WWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
71% W14% R14% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-1
2.29 pts / game · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Last 5 away
3-0-0
WWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.95Opponent xG: 0.67BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Connah's Quay is 125% better for: goals scored per game.

1.14 goals / game - Colwyn Bay · 2.57 goals / game - Connah's Quay

Connah's Quay is 121% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.57 goals / game - Colwyn Bay · 0.71 goals / game - Connah's Quay

Colwyn Bay scoring profile: strong

Colwyn Bay scores in 71% of games (5 of 7 meczów), while Connah's Quay keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 meczów).

Connah's Quay scoring profile: very strong

Connah's Quay scores in 100% of games (7 of 7 meczów), while Colwyn Bay keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 meczów).

8Goals scored (season)18
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
11Goals conceded (season)5
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
2.71Average goals per game3.29
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
4Goals scored (last 5)14
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
9Goals conceded (last 5)2
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal100%
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
43%2 goals71%
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
0%3 goals43%
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
0%4 goals14%
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay

How often they concede at least...

57%1 goal57%
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
43%2 goals14%
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
29%3 goals0%
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
14%4 goals0%
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time14%
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
14%Scored in both halves57%
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS29%
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
20%BTTS - last 540%
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay

2nd half

57%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Connah's Quay is 58% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.71 pts / game - Colwyn Bay · 2.71 pts / game - Connah's Quay

Colwyn Bay - half-time state
57% leading0% draw43% trailing
Connah's Quay - half-time state
86% leading14% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.71Points per game (1st half)2.71
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
0.86Goals scored (1st half)1.43
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.14
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
1.57Average goals (1st half)1.57
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
57%Clean sheet before half-time86%
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
43%No goal before half-time14%
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay

After half-time (2nd half)

0.86Points per game (2nd half)1.71
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
0.29Goals scored (2nd half)1.14
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
0.86Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
1.14Average goals (2nd half)1.71
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
57%Clean sheet after half-time57%
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay
71%No goal after half-time29%
Colwyn BayConnah's Quay

Colwyn Bay - second-half results

14% W43% R43% P
12
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at halftime in 57% of games and wins 43%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Connah's Quay - second-half results

43% W43% R14% P
19
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding83%

Leads at halftime in 86% of games and wins 71%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Colwyn Bay - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.00
Goals scored / game0.40.4
Goals allowed / game1.00.8
Average goals per game1.41.2
1 goal100%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-3-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Connah's Quay - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.602.20
Goals scored / game1.21.6
Goals allowed / game0.00.4
Average goals per game1.22.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference+6+6
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Colwyn Bay
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
3
16-30
3
2
31-45
0
3
46-60
2
2
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Connah's Quay
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
3
0
16-30
4
1
31-45
3
2
46-60
1
1
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.99
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.9 : 2.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
43%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-8%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Colwyn Bay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.66
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
67%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
108%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.6
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Connah's Quay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.78
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.68
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
177%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
42%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

Colwyn BayLigaConnah's Quay
Average goals per game 2.713.14 3.29
Both teams scored 29%48% 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 43%57% 71%
Clean sheets 43%27% 43%
Goal before half-time 100%79% 86%
Goal after half-time 57%84% 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.14
Average goals per game
48%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.70
Home goals / game
1.45
Away goals / game
+17%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defensive advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Colwyn Bay's perspective: 0 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss against Connah's Quay. Games average 2.75 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

When do Colwyn Bay and Connah's Quay play?

Colwyn Bay face Connah's Quay on September 12, 2026 in Welsh Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Colwyn Bay and Connah's Quay?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Colwyn Bay won 0, Connah's Quay won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Colwyn Bay vs Connah's Quay?

Colwyn Bay score 1.14 goals per game on average and Connah's Quay 2.57. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Colwyn Bay's matches and 57% of Connah's Quay's.

What form are Colwyn Bay and Connah's Quay in?

Over the last 5 games Colwyn Bay have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Connah's Quay 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Colwyn Bay vs Connah's Quay?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Colwyn Bay vs Connah's Quay: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.