Connah's Quay vs Barry Town United: match statistics
Connah's Quay vs Barry Town United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Connah's Quay played against Barry Town United in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game was played on March 29, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Connah's Quay has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Barry Town United has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Connah's Quay scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 1.17. Barry Town United scores 1.38 and allows 1.07. Games in this league average 2.90 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 66% of Connah's Quay's games and 45% of Barry Town United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 72% and 45%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Connah's Quay has the higher season xG average, 1.77 to 1.41 per game. Connah's Quay takes 13.1 shots per game, while Barry Town United takes 11.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Connah's Quay leads at halftime in 45% of its games and scores 1.14 goals per game after halftime. Barry Town United leads at halftime in 28% and scores 0.76 after halftime.
When the teams score
Connah's Quay's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). For Barry Town United, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Welsh Premier League games average 2.90 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Connah's Quay show a clear seasonal and home advantage: 2nd in the table, 2.29 home goals per match and 0% FTS, indicating high home offensive efficiency. Home shot and xG stats (avg 14.86 shots and xG 2.03 at home) outperform Barry Town’s away figures (9.57 shots, xG 1.28), increasing the likelihood of creating scoring opportunities. Visitors have good last-5 form and high PPG (2.4) but less stable away results (win 29%, FTS 29%, avg 1.21 goals). Home defense is also slightly better than Barry’s away defense, reducing visitors’ win chances. Given the home advantage, superior efficiency and volume of chances, a Connah's Quay win is more probable.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Stats indicate Connah's Quay’s home defensive edge — season conceded avg 0.67 and season CS% 53% — which strongly reduces BTTS probability. Barry Town has decent away offensive metrics (xG 1.28, season 1.21) and higher season BTTS (57%), but limited SOT (4.0) restricts chance creation. xG_against for hosts (1.15) suggests moderate opponent chances, yet actual home defensive figures show greater resilience than xG implies. Mixed form and last 5, but key home indicators (high CS%, low conceded avg) argue against BTTS. Recommendation: BTTS = NO.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Available data give total expected xG ~2.76 (1.54 home vs 1.22 away), strongly supporting at least two goals. Visitors have high season Over1.5 (79%) and high Over0.5, while hosts also generate over 1.5 xG and many shots, increasing offensive tempo. Visitor BTTS rate and shots on goal suggest both sides have realistic scoring chances. Over 2.5 is possible but less certain; Over 3.5 has lower probability based on season stats for higher thresholds.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis indicates a half-time draw and a home win at full-time. Connah's Quay has a significant seasonal advantage (PPG 1.73 vs 1.14, better goal difference and lower conceded averages) and stronger second halves (ppg_2hg_home 1.67, high 2nd-half win rate). Hosts also often draw at HT (drawingAtHTPercentage_home 67%, concededAVGHT_home 0.33), increasing HT draw probability. In the second half experience and attacking superiority should tilt the result to the hosts, so I recommend HT/FT X/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Connah's Quay | Barry Town United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Barry Town United is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Connah's Quay · 2.4 pts / game - Barry Town United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Connah's Quay is 45% better for: goals scored per game.
2 goals / game - Connah's Quay · 1.38 goals / game - Barry Town United
Barry Town United is 9% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.17 goals / game - Connah's Quay · 1.07 goals / game - Barry Town United
Connah's Quay scores in 86% of games (25 of 29 meczów), while Barry Town United keeps a clean sheet in 41% (12 of 29 meczów).
Barry Town United scores in 69% of games (20 of 29 meczów), while Connah's Quay keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Connah's Quay
Over / Under - Barry Town United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Connah's Quay is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.76 pts / game - Connah's Quay · 1.34 pts / game - Barry Town United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Connah's Quay - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Barry Town United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Connah's Quay
Barry Town United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Connah's Quay | Liga | Barry Town United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.17 | 2.90 | ▼ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 51% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 72% | 55% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | • 28% | 29% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 73% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 76% | ▼ 66% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Connah's Quay's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss against Barry Town United. Games average 1.67 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Connah's Quay vs Barry Town United?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Connah's Quay 1:1 Barry Town United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Connah's Quay and Barry Town United?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Connah's Quay won 1, Barry Town United won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Connah's Quay vs Barry Town United?
Connah's Quay score 2.00 goals per game on average and Barry Town United 1.38. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Connah's Quay's matches and 45% of Barry Town United's.
What form are Connah's Quay and Barry Town United in?
Over the last 5 games Connah's Quay have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Barry Town United 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Connah's Quay vs Barry Town United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Connah's Quay vs Barry Town United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.