Daejeon Citizen vs Ulsan: match statistics

Ulsan sit 2nd in the table, while Daejeon Citizen are only 10th, with the difference further reflected in the visitors’ away record: they win 55% of such matches and lose just 18%. Ulsan average 1.55 goals and 5.18 shots on target per away game, clearly outperforming Daejeon at home, who score only 0.82 goals with 3.55 shots on target. The hosts have failed to score in 45% of their home matches, compared with just 18% for the visitors, increasing Ulsan’s chances of capitalising on their superior finishing efficiency. Both teams have won 3 of their last 5 matches and averaged 1.8 points per game over that period, but Ulsan conceded 6 goals in those matches compared with Daejeon’s 10. Daejeon can create chances, as demonstrated by their home xG of 1.59, but a poor shot-conversion rate of 7% and 45% draws at home suggest that the visitors are closer to victory.

Daejeon has recorded BTTS in 75% of its league matches, while Ulsan has done so in 64%, both clearly above the league average of 53%. The hosts score an average of 1.67 goals and concede 1.75, whereas Ulsan averages 1.55 goals per match and concedes 1.09. Recent form further supports goals at both ends: Daejeon has scored 11 and conceded 10 goals in its last five matches, while Ulsan has scored 10 and allowed 6. The hosts’ xG of 1.84 and Ulsan’s xG of 1.62 indicate that both teams regularly create high-quality chances. The BTTS - Yes pick is further strengthened by the fact that only 17% of Daejeon’s matches and 18% of Ulsan’s matches end with that team failing to score.

Daejeon averages 1.67 goals, while Ulsan averages 1.55, with both teams creating plenty of chances: their average xG stands at 1.84 and 1.62, respectively. The hosts concede 1.75 goals per match, while Ulsan keeps a clean sheet in only 18% of games, which favors goals at both ends. In their last five matches, Daejeon averaged 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while Ulsan recorded 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. At least two goals were scored in 75% of Daejeon's matches and in all of Ulsan's games, making Over 1.5 goals the strongest pick. The 2.5 line also has positive indicators, but Ulsan's season-long rate of such matches is only 45%, so the edge over Over 1.5 is clearly smaller.

A draw at half-time is the most likely scenario, as Daejeon were level at the break in 33% of their matches, compared with 36% for Ulsan; across their last five games, both teams recorded this outcome in as many as 40% of cases. The hosts are slightly more active before half-time, averaging 0.75 goals compared with Ulsan’s 0.55, but they also concede 0.92 goals, while the visitors concede just 0.64. After the break, Ulsan’s advantage becomes clear: they score an average of 1.00 goal and concede only 0.45, while Daejeon average just 1.00 point in the second half compared with their opponents’ 1.82. Ulsan also have the better overall record, winning 55% of their matches and averaging 1.91 points, compared with Daejeon’s 42% win rate and 1.33 points. A draw at half-time followed by an away win best combines an even opening with Ulsan’s greater stability in the decisive part of the match.