Uruguay - Primera DivisiónEstadio Jardines del HipódromoData current as of October 17, 2026

Danubio vs Peñarol: match statistics

Danubio crest
Danubio
0 : 4half-time 0:1
Peñarol crest
Peñarol

Danubio vs Peñarol: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Danubio played against Peñarol in Primera División (Uruguay). The game was played on September 5, 2026. Venue: Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo. Final score: 0:4.

Recent form

Danubio has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Peñarol has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Danubio scores 0.85 goals per game and allows 1.23. Peñarol scores 1.62 and allows 0.85. Games in this league average 2.35 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 46% of Danubio's games and 50% of Peñarol's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 46%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Peñarol has the higher season xG average, 1.70 to 1.27 per game. Danubio takes 9.9 shots per game, while Peñarol takes 14.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Danubio leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.38 goals per game after halftime. Peñarol leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.92 after halftime.

When the teams score

Danubio's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). For Peñarol, it is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Primera División games average 2.35 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Peñarol lead the league and have won 15 of their 26 matches this season, while Danubio have just 4 victories and as many as 12 draws. The visitors are also in better current form: they have recorded 3 wins in their last five matches and scored 8 goals, whereas Danubio have found the net only 3 times during that period. Away from home, Peñarol win 64% of their matches, concede just 0.55 goals per game, and keep a clean sheet in 64% of their outings. Danubio draw as many as 58% of their home matches and fail to score in 42% of them, which could significantly limit their chances against the visitors’ defense. The hosts do create chances of a similar quality, with an average xG of 1.45 compared with Peñarol’s 1.50, but the visitors’ advantage in finishing, defensive solidity, and current form points to an away win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The strongest signal comes from Peñarol’s defensive record: the visitors have kept a clean sheet in 64% of their matches and concede just 0.55 goals per game on average. Danubio have scored only 3 goals in their last five outings, averaging 0.6 per match, while BTTS landed in just 20% of those games. Peñarol are also in strong defensive form, having conceded 3 goals in their last five matches, an average of 0.6, despite Danubio generating xG of 1.34 during this period. The hosts may create chances, as shown by their season xG of 1.85, but their current finishing and the opposition’s highly solid defense clearly increase the likelihood that at least one team will fail to score. BTTS - Yes is not more likely either, as both teams scored in only 27% of Peñarol’s matches this season, compared with the league average of 50%.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest signal is the low goal line: Peñarol have kept a clean sheet in 64% of their matches this season and concede just 0.55 goals per game on average. In their last five appearances, Danubio have scored only 3 goals, or 0.6 per match, while conceding just 4, which limits the prospect of an open game. Peñarol’s matches have finished with under 3.5 goals in 91% of cases, while the corresponding figure for Danubio is 73%; additionally, only 9% of the visitors’ matches have gone over the 3.5-goal line. Although the teams’ average xG figures suggest some goalscoring chances, Danubio’s current xG stands at 1.34 against a solid away defense, which is why the projected total of 2.05 goals clearly supports Under 3.5.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Peñarol victory at full-time, as the visitors were level at the break in 55% of their matches, while Danubio led at half-time in only 47% of games. Peñarol’s away defense is highly stable: they concede an average of just 0.18 goals before the break, keep a clean sheet at half-time in 82% of their away appearances, and allow only 0.55 goals per match overall. Their current form is the decisive factor behind the eventual shift in the visitors’ favor: they have won 60% of their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding 0.6, whereas Danubio have scored only 0.6 goals and won 20% of their matches. Peñarol score an average of 0.91 goals after half-time, while the hosts have failed to score in the second half in each of their last five appearances, favouring a decisive away victory after an evenly balanced start.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
0 : 3
Second half

Game stats

50Possession (%)50
DanubioPeñarol
14Shots18
DanubioPeñarol
6Shots on target10
DanubioPeñarol
1.86xG2.28
DanubioPeñarol
7Corners3
DanubioPeñarol
78Dangerous attacks62
DanubioPeñarol
11Fouls14
DanubioPeñarol
0Cards0
DanubioPeñarol

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.85Goals scored / game1.62
DanubioPeñarol
1.23Goals allowed / game0.85
DanubioPeñarol
52%Average possession53%
DanubioPeñarol
3.46Shots on target / game5.19
DanubioPeñarol

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.88Shots per game14.46
DanubioPeñarol
3.46Shots on target5.19
DanubioPeñarol
8.6%Shot conversion11.2%
DanubioPeñarol
52%Possession53%
DanubioPeñarol
1.27xG for1.7
DanubioPeñarol
1.32xG against1.21
DanubioPeñarol

Shooting quality

Danubio: BalancedPeñarol: Attacking
DanubioPeñarol
Accuracy (shots on target)35%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Peñarol is 233% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / game - Danubio · 2 pts / game - Peñarol

Danubio
DLDDL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
15% W46% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-12-10
0.92 pts / game · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-7-3
Last 5 at home
0-3-2
LDDLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.11BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Peñarol
WWWDL
Season result split
58% W19% D23% L
Season (W-D-L)
15-5-6
1.92 pts / game · goal difference +20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
7-2-2
Last 5 away
3-2-0
WWWDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.67Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Peñarol is 91% better for: goals scored per game.

0.85 goals / game - Danubio · 1.62 goals / game - Peñarol

Peñarol is 45% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.23 goals / game - Danubio · 0.85 goals / game - Peñarol

Danubio scoring profile: mixed

Danubio scores in 54% of games (14 of 26 games), while Peñarol keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 games).

Peñarol scoring profile: very strong

Peñarol scores in 81% of games (21 of 26 games), while Danubio keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 games).

22Goals scored (season)42
DanubioPeñarol
32Goals conceded (season)22
DanubioPeñarol
2.08Average goals per game2.46
DanubioPeñarol
2Goals scored (last 5)10
DanubioPeñarol
4Goals conceded (last 5)3
DanubioPeñarol

How often they score at least...

54%1 goal81%
DanubioPeñarol
23%2 goals50%
DanubioPeñarol
4%3 goals23%
DanubioPeñarol
4%4 goals4%
DanubioPeñarol

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal65%
DanubioPeñarol
35%2 goals19%
DanubioPeñarol
12%3 goals0%
DanubioPeñarol
4%4 goals0%
DanubioPeñarol

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time12%
DanubioPeñarol
4%BTTS in both halves0%
DanubioPeñarol
12%Scored in both halves19%
DanubioPeñarol

BTTS and goal count

31%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
DanubioPeñarol
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
DanubioPeñarol
20%BTTS - last 540%
DanubioPeñarol

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

58%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
DanubioPeñarol
23%Min. 2 goals before half-time23%
DanubioPeñarol
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time15%
DanubioPeñarol

2nd half

69%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
DanubioPeñarol
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
DanubioPeñarol
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
DanubioPeñarol

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Peñarol is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.35 pts / game - Danubio · 1.46 pts / game - Peñarol

Danubio - half-time state
27% leading54% draw19% trailing
Peñarol - half-time state
38% leading31% draw31% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.35Points per game (1st half)1.46
DanubioPeñarol
0.46Goals scored (1st half)0.69
DanubioPeñarol
0.35Goals conceded (1st half)0.46
DanubioPeñarol
0.81Average goals (1st half)1.15
DanubioPeñarol
69%Clean sheet before half-time58%
DanubioPeñarol
62%No goal before half-time62%
DanubioPeñarol

After half-time (2nd half)

0.85Points per game (2nd half)1.88
DanubioPeñarol
0.38Goals scored (2nd half)0.92
DanubioPeñarol
0.88Goals conceded (2nd half)0.38
DanubioPeñarol
1.27Average goals (2nd half)1.31
DanubioPeñarol
38%Clean sheet after half-time65%
DanubioPeñarol
73%No goal after half-time38%
DanubioPeñarol

Danubio - second-half results

15% W38% D46% L
35
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
-13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding56%

Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 15%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Peñarol - second-half results

54% W27% D19% L
38
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.46
PPG before half-time
Lead holding153%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 58%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Danubio - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.200.60
Goals scored / game0.40.0
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game0.60.6
1 goal40%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal80%100%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Peñarol - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.602.20
Goals scored / game1.01.0
Goals allowed / game0.40.2
Average goals per game1.41.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+3+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Danubio
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
4
3
16-30
3
5
31-45
3
6
46-60
3
3
61-75
4
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.

Peñarol
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
6
2
16-30
7
7
31-45
7
4
46-60
4
2
61-75
13
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.27
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.8 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-26%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
44%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Danubio

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
65%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Peñarol

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
156%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
65%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

DanubioLigaPeñarol
Average goals per game▼ 2.082.35▲ 2.46
Both teams scored▼ 46%50%• 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 38%44%▲ 46%
Clean sheets▼ 27%29%▲ 35%
Goal before half-time▼ 58%66%▲ 69%
Goal after half-time▼ 69%72%▲ 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.35
Average goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.31
Home goals / game
1.04
Away goals / game
+26%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defensive advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Danubio's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses against Peñarol. Games average 1.67 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.

Peñarol
1 : 1
Danubio
CA Peñarol
2 : 0
Danubio Fútbol Club
Danubio Fútbol Club
0 : 1
CA Peñarol

FAQ

What was the result of Danubio vs Peñarol?

The Primera División match finished Danubio 0:4 Peñarol. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Danubio and Peñarol?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Danubio won 0, Peñarol won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Danubio vs Peñarol?

Danubio score 0.85 goals per game on average and Peñarol 1.62. The Primera División average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Danubio's matches and 50% of Peñarol's.

What form are Danubio and Peñarol in?

Over the last 5 games Danubio have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Peñarol 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Danubio vs Peñarol?

The statistical background for Danubio vs Peñarol — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.