Derby County vs Birmingham City: match statistics
Derby County is showing significantly better form, averaging 1.8 points per game in their last five matches, while Birmingham City has only 0.8 points. The hosts have a positive home goal difference (+1) and have won 37% of their home games, whereas the visitors lose a staggering 58% of their away matches with a -14 goal difference. Birmingham has serious issues with efficiency on the road, failing to score in 42% of games and averaging just 0.79 goals scored. Derby scored 8 goals in the last 5 matches, while Birmingham managed only 3, with the visitors conceding 8 goals in that period. xG statistics also favor the hosts, who have a better expected goals ratio in home matches.
Derby County vs Birmingham City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Derby County played against Birmingham City in Championship (England). The game was played on March 21, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Derby County has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Birmingham City has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Derby County scores 1.45 goals per game and allows 1.26. Birmingham City scores 1.26 and allows 1.26. Games in this league average 2.59 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 66% of Derby County's games and 55% of Birmingham City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 47%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Birmingham City has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.20 per game. Derby County takes 10.4 shots per game, while Birmingham City takes 14.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Derby County leads at halftime in 37% of its games and scores 0.76 goals per game after halftime. Birmingham City leads at halftime in 32% and scores 0.66 after halftime.
When the teams score
Derby County's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (12 goals). For Birmingham City, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.59 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Derby County is showing significantly better form, averaging 1.8 points per game in their last five matches, while Birmingham City has only 0.8 points. The hosts have a positive home goal difference (+1) and have won 37% of their home games, whereas the visitors lose a staggering 58% of their away matches with a -14 goal difference. Birmingham has serious issues with efficiency on the road, failing to score in 42% of games and averaging just 0.79 goals scored. Derby scored 8 goals in the last 5 matches, while Birmingham managed only 3, with the visitors conceding 8 goals in that period. xG statistics also favor the hosts, who have a better expected goals ratio in home matches.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Derby County | Birmingham City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Derby County is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Derby County · 0.8 pts / game - Birmingham City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Derby County is 15% better for: goals scored per game.
1.45 goals / game - Derby County · 1.26 goals / game - Birmingham City
Derby County scores in 89% of games (34 of 38 meczów), while Birmingham City keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 meczów).
Birmingham City scores in 76% of games (29 of 38 meczów), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Derby County
Over / Under - Birmingham City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Derby County is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / game - Derby County · 1.21 pts / game - Birmingham City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Derby County - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 37% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Birmingham City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 37%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Derby County
Birmingham City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Derby County | Liga | Birmingham City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.71 | 2.59 | • 2.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 56% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 50% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 25% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 71% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | • 76% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Derby County's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Birmingham City. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Derby County vs Birmingham City?
The Championship match finished Derby County 1:0 Birmingham City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Derby County vs Birmingham City?
Derby County score 1.45 goals per game on average and Birmingham City 1.26. The Championship average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Derby County's matches and 55% of Birmingham City's.
What form are Derby County and Birmingham City in?
Over the last 5 games Derby County have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Birmingham City 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Derby County vs Birmingham City?
The statistical background for Derby County vs Birmingham City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.