Derby County vs Birmingham City: match statistics
Derby County vs Birmingham City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Derby County played against Birmingham City in Championship (England). The game was played on September 12, 2026. Venue: Pride Park Stadium. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Derby County has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Birmingham City has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Derby County scores 0.83 goals per game and allows 1.83. Birmingham City scores 1.33 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 2.87 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 33% of Derby County's games and 83% of Birmingham City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 67%, compared with league averages of 67% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Birmingham City has the higher season xG average, 1.39 to 1.31 per game. Derby County takes 10.5 shots per game, while Birmingham City takes 12.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Derby County leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.33 goals per game after halftime. Birmingham City leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Derby County's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). For Birmingham City, it is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.87 goals. Both teams score in 67% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Birmingham City sit higher in the table, in 11th place compared with Derby’s 21st, and remain unbeaten after 5 rounds, drawing as many as 4 matches. The hosts have scored just 5 goals during this period and lost 3 of their last 5 games, while they are still waiting for their first home win. The key difference lies in defensive performance: Derby concede an average of 2.5 goals at home, with an xG against of 2.21, whereas Birmingham allow opponents just 0.5 goals and 0.86 xG away from home. The visitors create slightly less, with an average xG of 1.15 compared with Derby’s 1.33, but they are more clinical in front of goal (11% to 9%) and have kept clean sheets in 50% of their away matches. Birmingham’s high number of draws increases the likelihood of a share of the points; however, the visitors’ significantly more stable defense gives them the edge in this prediction.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS signal is strengthened by Derby’s very poor defense: the hosts have failed to keep a clean sheet in any match, while over their last five fixtures they conceded an average of 2.0 goals with an xG against of 2.02. Birmingham scored an average of 1.6 goals during this period, generated 1.34 xG, and recorded BTTS in 100% of their last five matches. Derby score an average of 1.67 goals at home and register 3.67 shots on target per match, but they face a solid away defense that concedes just 0.5 goals per game over the season and keeps a clean sheet in 50% of matches. Despite Birmingham’s defensive advantage, their recent run includes an average of 2.4 goals conceded per match and 1.43 xG allowed to opponents. A league-wide BTTS rate of 67%, combined with the offensive and defensive trends of both teams, marginally favors a goal from each side.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Derby’s last five matches produced an average of 3.0 goals, with the team scoring 1.0 and conceding as many as 2.0 goals per game. Over the same period, Birmingham were involved in even more open matches, averaging 4.0 goals, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.4. The Over 2.5 goals line landed in 80% of the last five matches involving both teams, while Birmingham scored in each of those fixtures. Caution with higher lines is warranted because Birmingham concede an average of only 0.5 goals away from home and kept a clean sheet in 50% of such matches. However, the projected total of 2.80 goals clearly supports Over 1.5 goals as the safest selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Birmingham has stronger indications of taking the lead before half-time: in the season data, they have not lost any first halves, kept a 100% clean-sheet record in them, and conceded an average of 0.0 goals, while Derby conceded 1.33. In their last five matches, Derby went into the break trailing in 60% of games, while Birmingham scored an average of 1.0 goal before half-time, compared with 1.4 goals conceded by the hosts. The visitors are also harder to beat over the full match, having conceded just 0.5 goals per game this season compared with Derby's 1.67, while their average xGA is 0.86 versus 1.34 for the hosts. Although Derby take more shots, 13.0 compared with 9.5, Birmingham have the better points return, 2.0 to 1.0. Therefore, the most likely scenario remains a lead for the visitors at half-time and a full-time win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Derby County | Birmingham City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Birmingham City is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Derby County · 1.2 pts / game - Birmingham City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Birmingham City is 60% better for: goals scored per game.
0.83 goals / game - Derby County · 1.33 goals / game - Birmingham City
Birmingham City is 38% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.83 goals / game - Derby County · 1.33 goals / game - Birmingham City
Derby County scores in 50% of games (3 of 6 games), while Birmingham City keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 games).
Birmingham City scores in 83% of games (5 of 6 games), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Derby County
Over / Under - Birmingham City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Derby County - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 17%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Birmingham City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 17%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Derby County
Birmingham City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Derby County | Liga | Birmingham City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.67 | 2.87 | ▼ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 67% | ▲ 83% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 64% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 21% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 81% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Derby County's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Birmingham City. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Derby County vs Birmingham City?
The Championship match finished Derby County 1:2 Birmingham City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Derby County and Birmingham City?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Derby County won 1, Birmingham City won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Derby County vs Birmingham City?
Derby County score 0.83 goals per game on average and Birmingham City 1.33. The Championship average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Derby County's matches and 83% of Birmingham City's.
What form are Derby County and Birmingham City in?
Over the last 5 games Derby County have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Birmingham City 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Derby County vs Birmingham City?
The statistical background for Derby County vs Birmingham City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.