Derby County vs Birmingham City: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Derby County vs Birmingham City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Derby County plays Birmingham City in Championship (England). The game is scheduled for September 12, 2026. Venue: Pride Park Stadium.
Recent form
Derby County has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Birmingham City has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Derby County scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 2.00. Birmingham City scores 1.40 and allows 1.20. Games in this league average 2.87 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of Derby County's games and 80% of Birmingham City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 80% and 60%, compared with league averages of 67% for BTTS and 65% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Birmingham City has the higher season xG average, 1.37 to 1.18 per game. Derby County takes 10.0 shots per game, while Birmingham City takes 11.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Derby County leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.40 goals per game after halftime. Birmingham City leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.60 after halftime.
When the teams score
Derby County's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). For Birmingham City, it is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.87 goals. Both teams score in 67% of games, and 65% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Derby County | Birmingham City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Birmingham City is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Derby County · 1.4 pts / game - Birmingham City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Birmingham City is 40% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Derby County · 1.4 goals / game - Birmingham City
Birmingham City is 67% better for: goals allowed per game.
2 goals / game - Derby County · 1.2 goals / game - Birmingham City
Derby County scores in 60% of games (3 of 5 meczów), while Birmingham City keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 meczów).
Birmingham City scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 meczów), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Derby County
Over / Under - Birmingham City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Derby County - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 20%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Birmingham City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Derby County
Birmingham City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Derby County | Liga | Birmingham City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.00 | 2.87 | ▼ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 67% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 65% | ▼ 60% |
| Clean sheets | • 20% | 21% | • 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | • 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 75% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Derby County's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Birmingham City. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
When do Derby County and Birmingham City play?
Derby County face Birmingham City on September 12, 2026 in Championship at Pride Park Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Derby County and Birmingham City?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Derby County won 1, Birmingham City won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Derby County vs Birmingham City?
Derby County score 1.00 goals per game on average and Birmingham City 1.40. The Championship average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Derby County's matches and 80% of Birmingham City's.
What form are Derby County and Birmingham City in?
Over the last 5 games Derby County have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Birmingham City 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Derby County vs Birmingham City?
The statistical background for Derby County vs Birmingham City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


