England - ChampionshipPride Park StadiumData current as of September 08, 2026

Derby County vs Birmingham City: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Derby County vs Birmingham City: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Derby County plays Birmingham City in Championship (England). The game is scheduled for September 12, 2026. Venue: Pride Park Stadium.

Recent form

Derby County has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Birmingham City has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Derby County scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 2.00. Birmingham City scores 1.40 and allows 1.20. Games in this league average 2.87 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 40% of Derby County's games and 80% of Birmingham City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 80% and 60%, compared with league averages of 67% for BTTS and 65% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Birmingham City has the higher season xG average, 1.37 to 1.18 per game. Derby County takes 10.0 shots per game, while Birmingham City takes 11.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Derby County leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.40 goals per game after halftime. Birmingham City leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.60 after halftime.

When the teams score

Derby County's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). For Birmingham City, it is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Championship games average 2.87 goals. Both teams score in 67% of games, and 65% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(3.10)
(3.40)
(2.20)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Derby CountyBirmingham City
1Goals scored / game1.4
Derby CountyBirmingham City
2Goals allowed / game1.2
Derby CountyBirmingham City
44%Average possession50%
Derby CountyBirmingham City
3.2Shots on target / game3.4
Derby CountyBirmingham City

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10Shots per game11.6
Derby CountyBirmingham City
3.2Shots on target3.4
Derby CountyBirmingham City
10%Shot conversion12.1%
Derby CountyBirmingham City
44%Possession50%
Derby CountyBirmingham City
1.18xG for1.37
Derby CountyBirmingham City
2.02xG against1.14
Derby CountyBirmingham City

Shooting quality

Derby County: BalancedBirmingham City: Balanced
Derby CountyBirmingham City
Accuracy (shots on target)32%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Birmingham City is 75% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Derby County · 1.4 pts / game - Birmingham City

Derby County
LDLWL
Season result split
20% W20% R60% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 at home
0-1-1
DL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.18Opponent xG: 2.02BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Birmingham City
DDWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
20% W80% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-4-0
1.40 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-4-0
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 away
1-1-0
DW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Birmingham City is 40% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - Derby County · 1.4 goals / game - Birmingham City

Birmingham City is 67% better for: goals allowed per game.

2 goals / game - Derby County · 1.2 goals / game - Birmingham City

Derby County scoring profile: strong

Derby County scores in 60% of games (3 of 5 meczów), while Birmingham City keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 meczów).

Birmingham City scoring profile: very strong

Birmingham City scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 meczów), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 meczów).

5Goals scored (season)7
Derby CountyBirmingham City
10Goals conceded (season)6
Derby CountyBirmingham City
3Average goals per game2.6
Derby CountyBirmingham City
5Goals scored (last 5)7
Derby CountyBirmingham City
10Goals conceded (last 5)6
Derby CountyBirmingham City

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal80%
Derby CountyBirmingham City
40%2 goals60%
Derby CountyBirmingham City
0%3 goals0%
Derby CountyBirmingham City
0%4 goals0%
Derby CountyBirmingham City

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal80%
Derby CountyBirmingham City
80%2 goals40%
Derby CountyBirmingham City
40%3 goals0%
Derby CountyBirmingham City
0%4 goals0%
Derby CountyBirmingham City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

67%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time40%
Derby CountyBirmingham City
0%BTTS in both halves20%
Derby CountyBirmingham City
40%Scored in both halves40%
Derby CountyBirmingham City

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
Derby CountyBirmingham City
40%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Derby CountyBirmingham City
40%BTTS - last 580%
Derby CountyBirmingham City

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Derby CountyBirmingham City
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
Derby CountyBirmingham City
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
Derby CountyBirmingham City

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time60%
Derby CountyBirmingham City
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
Derby CountyBirmingham City
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Derby CountyBirmingham City

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Derby County - half-time state
40% leading0% draw60% trailing
Birmingham City - half-time state
20% leading60% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.2Points per game (1st half)1.2
Derby CountyBirmingham City
0.6Goals scored (1st half)0.8
Derby CountyBirmingham City
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.8
Derby CountyBirmingham City
1.6Average goals (1st half)1.6
Derby CountyBirmingham City
40%Clean sheet before half-time40%
Derby CountyBirmingham City
40%No goal before half-time40%
Derby CountyBirmingham City

After half-time (2nd half)

1.2Points per game (2nd half)1.4
Derby CountyBirmingham City
0.4Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
Derby CountyBirmingham City
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.4
Derby CountyBirmingham City
1.4Average goals (2nd half)1
Derby CountyBirmingham City
40%Clean sheet after half-time60%
Derby CountyBirmingham City
60%No goal after half-time40%
Derby CountyBirmingham City

Derby County - second-half results

40% W0% R60% P
6
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 20%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Birmingham City - second-half results

20% W80% R0% P
6
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.4

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Derby County - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.20
Goals scored / game0.60.4
Goals allowed / game1.01.0
Average goals per game1.61.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Birmingham City - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.40
Goals scored / game0.80.6
Goals allowed / game0.80.4
Average goals per game1.61.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Derby County
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
3
1
16-30
0
2
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
1
61-75
0
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Birmingham City
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
2
3
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.80
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-46%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Derby County

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.84
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
63%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
157%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Birmingham City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Derby CountyLigaBirmingham City
Average goals per game 3.002.87 2.60
Both teams scored 40%67% 80%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 80%65% 60%
Clean sheets 20%21% 20%
Goal before half-time 100%80% 80%
Goal after half-time 100%75% 60%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.87
Average goals per game
67%
Both teams scored
65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.60
Home goals / game
1.27
Away goals / game
+26%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defensive advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Derby County's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Birmingham City. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

FAQ

When do Derby County and Birmingham City play?

Derby County face Birmingham City on September 12, 2026 in Championship at Pride Park Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Derby County and Birmingham City?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Derby County won 1, Birmingham City won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Derby County vs Birmingham City?

Derby County score 1.00 goals per game on average and Birmingham City 1.40. The Championship average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Derby County's matches and 80% of Birmingham City's.

What form are Derby County and Birmingham City in?

Over the last 5 games Derby County have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Birmingham City 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Derby County vs Birmingham City?

The statistical background for Derby County vs Birmingham City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.