Derry City vs Waterford: match statistics
Derry City vs Waterford: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Derry City play Waterford in Premier Division (Ireland). The match date is 3 July 2026 at 20:45. Venue: Brandywell Stadium. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
Derry City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Waterford: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Derry City scores 1.28 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. Waterford scores 1.38 and concedes 1.96. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Derry City 64%, Waterford 63%. Over 2.5: Derry City 52%, Waterford 50%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Derry City has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.38. Derry City: 13.4 shots per match, Waterford: 12.7.
Match halves
Derry City: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.84. Waterford: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Derry City: 76-90+ (11 goals). Waterford: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier Division: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
6 H2H matches: 3-1-2. Average goals 4.67, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Derry City are the clear favorites in this matchup, supported by a significant advantage in possession (60% vs 41%) and in shots on target per game (5.75 vs 3.55). Defensively the hosts are superior: Derry concede on average 1.00 goal per home game with a 33% clean sheet rate, whereas Waterford concede 2.73 goals on the road and have no clean sheets (CS% 0%). In attack both teams have similar season goal totals (30 Derry vs 28 Waterford), and in the last 5 matches the visitors scored 11 goals versus 9 for the hosts, but xG favors Derry (xG 1.83 vs 1.39) with a lower xG against (0.91 vs 2.18). Additionally, Derry average 15.25 shots per home match with a 10% conversion rate and have a lower share of games without scoring (FTS 25% vs 36% for Waterford), while Waterford suffer 73% losses away and have a negative goal difference of -16. In light of these figures I tip the home win; I estimate probabilities at approximately 65% for Derry, 20% for a draw and 15% for Waterford.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Derry City | Waterford | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Waterford is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Derry City · 2 pts / match - Waterford
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Waterford is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.28 goals / match - Derry City · 1.38 goals / match - Waterford
Derry City is 58% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.24 goals / match - Derry City · 1.96 goals / match - Waterford
Derry City scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Waterford keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 24 matches).
Waterford scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while Derry City keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Derry City
Over / Under — Waterford
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Derry City is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / match - Derry City · 1 pts / match - Waterford
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Derry City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 24%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Waterford - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Derry City
Waterford
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Division).
Teams vs league
| Derry City | Liga | Waterford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.52 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 60% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 52% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 24% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 75% | ▲ 92% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 79% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Derry City 3 - 1 - 2 Waterford. Average goals 4.67, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Derry City vs Waterford?
The Premier Division match finished Derry City 2:4 Waterford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Derry City and Waterford?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Derry City won 3, Waterford won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Derry City vs Waterford?
Derry City score 1.28 goals per game on average and Waterford 1.38. The Premier Division average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Derry City's matches and 63% of Waterford's.
What form are Derry City and Waterford in?
Over the last 5 games Derry City have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Waterford 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Derry City vs Waterford?
The statistical background for Derry City vs Waterford — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.