Dundee vs Kilmarnock: match statistics
Dundee vs Kilmarnock: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Dundee played against Kilmarnock in Premiership (Scotland). The game was played on October 28, 2026. Venue: Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Dundee has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Kilmarnock has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Dundee scores 1.40 goals per game and allows 1.20. Kilmarnock scores 1.00 and allows 2.30. Games in this league average 2.82 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 70% of Dundee's games and 50% of Kilmarnock's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 60%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Dundee has the higher season xG average, 1.38 to 1.22 per game. Dundee takes 12.8 shots per game, while Kilmarnock takes 10.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Dundee leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. Kilmarnock leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.60 after halftime.
When the teams score
Dundee's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Kilmarnock, it is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premiership games average 2.82 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 2 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Dundee have home advantage: they average 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Kilmarnock score 1.25 and concede 1.75 goals per away match. The hosts have picked up points in 4 of their 5 home games, whereas the visitors have lost half of their away fixtures. Both teams have identical records over their last five matches—2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat each—so current form does not give Dundee a clear edge. The quality of chances created is also almost identical: average xG stands at 1.33 for the hosts and 1.32 for the visitors. The pick for Dundee is based primarily on their stronger defensive record across the season: 10 goals conceded compared with Kilmarnock's 20, although the teams' similar xG leaves a genuine chance of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In their last 5 matches, both teams scored in 100% of Dundee's games and 80% of Kilmarnock's, a stronger signal than their season averages of 60% and 50%, respectively. Dundee concede an average of 2.6 goals at home and have yet to keep a clean sheet, making an away goal likely. Dundee, meanwhile, score an average of 1.0 goal at home, while Kilmarnock concede 1.75 goals away, so the hosts could also find the net. The risk to the BTTS - Yes pick is that Kilmarnock keep a clean sheet in 50% of their away matches, while Dundee fail to score in 40% of their home games. Despite this, the recent run and average xG of 1.22 for Dundee and 1.32 for Kilmarnock point to both teams scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Dundee concede an average of 2.6 goals per match, while opponents create chances worth 2.02 xG against them, which bodes well for Kilmarnock to score. On the other hand, the hosts generate 1.22 xG, while Kilmarnock’s opponents average 1.84 xG, giving Dundee a solid chance of finding the net as well. Over their last 5 matches, both teams averaged at least 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, although games with over 2.5 goals accounted for 80% of Dundee’s matches compared with 40% of Kilmarnock’s. Therefore, the projected total of 3.0 goals most strongly supports Over 1.5 goals: this line landed in 80% of Dundee’s matches, and backing it is less dependent on a third goal than betting on a higher line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Dundee’s defensive record is the strongest indicator before the break: the hosts concede an average of 1.6 goals in the first half and were trailing at half-time in 3 of 5 matches, while Kilmarnock concede an average of 1.0 in that period. Across full matches, Dundee concede 2.6 goals on average, compared with 1.75 for the visitors, while opponents’ xG stands at 2.02 and 1.84 respectively, supporting the case for Kilmarnock to maintain their advantage. The visitors also average 5.0 shots on target per match, compared with Dundee’s 3.6, and have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches, while the hosts have yet to do so. However, the 2/2 HT/FT pick carries only a moderate edge: Kilmarnock have led at the break in just 1 of 4 matches, and both teams have earned 1.6 points per match over their last five games, making a draw at half-time followed by an away win a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Dundee | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dundee is 40% better for: goals scored per game.
1.4 goals / game - Dundee · 1 goals / game - Kilmarnock
Dundee is 92% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.2 goals / game - Dundee · 2.3 goals / game - Kilmarnock
Dundee scores in 90% of games (9 of 10 games), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 games).
Kilmarnock scores in 60% of games (6 of 10 games), while Dundee keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dundee
Over / Under - Kilmarnock
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dundee is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / game - Dundee · 0.9 pts / game - Kilmarnock
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dundee - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Kilmarnock - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Dundee
Kilmarnock
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Dundee | Liga | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.60 | 2.82 | ▲ 3.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 58% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 24% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 80% | 85% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 77% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Dundee's perspective: 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss against Kilmarnock. Games average 2.75 goals, and both teams scored in 75% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
The Premiership match finished Dundee 3:1 Kilmarnock. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dundee and Kilmarnock?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Dundee won 1, Kilmarnock won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
Dundee score 1.40 goals per game on average and Kilmarnock 1.00. The Premiership average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Dundee's matches and 50% of Kilmarnock's.
What form are Dundee and Kilmarnock in?
Over the last 5 games Dundee have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Kilmarnock 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
The statistical background for Dundee vs Kilmarnock — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.