Erokspor vs Sarıyer: match statistics

Sarıyer are showing a clearly stronger run of results: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches and averaged 2.4 points per game during that span, while Erokspor have recorded 2 wins and averaged 1.6 points per match. The visitors scored 9 goals over this period—more than twice Erokspor’s tally of 4—which points to greater attacking potential. Both teams conceded 3 goals in their last five matches, so Sarıyer’s advantage is primarily due to their more effective attack rather than a defensive disparity. Erokspor have drawn 2 of their last 5 matches, meaning a draw remains a realistic scenario; however, Sarıyer’s higher position in the table—5th compared with 8th—and their impressive momentum support an away win.

The “No” selection has the edge, as the BTTS rate across the last five matches is only 40% for Erokspor and 20% for Sarıyer, while the league average stands at just 22%. During this period, Erokspor averaged 0.8 goals per match, compared with 1.8 for Sarıyer, increasing the risk that the home side will fail to score. However, both teams conceded only 0.6 goals per game in their last five matches, meaning their defenses have regularly limited opponents’ chances. Erokspor’s xG stands at 1.29, while Sarıyer’s xG against is 1.07; meanwhile, Sarıyer records 1.36 compared with the hosts’ 1.12, indicating goal-scoring opportunities but not providing a strong signal for goals from both sides. The most likely scenario, therefore, remains BTTS - No, meaning that at least one team will finish the match without scoring. This does not automatically imply a 0:0 draw or that neither team will score.

The profile of the last five matches points to a controlled goal-scoring pattern: Erokspor averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, while Sarıyer scored 1.8 goals and conceded just 0.6. Only 20% of Erokspor’s recent matches and 40% of Sarıyer’s fixtures went Over 2.5 goals, limiting the prospect of a high-scoring game. The combined average xG from the last five matches stands at 1.29 for the home side and 1.36 for the visitors, but the opponents’ defensive xG figures of 1.07 and 1.12 respectively lower the projection to around 2.20 goals. The league-wide average of 2.33 goals, along with only 33% of matches going Over 2.5, also supports a scenario with no more than three goals. The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals, as even with Sarıyer’s good scoring form, both teams regularly limit the number of chances and goals conceded.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Sarıyer win, as the visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches, compared with just 2 for Erokspor. Sarıyer held the lead at the break in 60% of those matches and were never behind at half-time, while Erokspor went into the interval level in as many as 80% of cases. The hosts have recently averaged just 0.2 goals before the break and 0.8 goals per match overall, while conceding 0.6, whereas Sarıyer averaged 1.8 goals per game and did not concede before half-time. After the interval, the visitors average 1.2 goals, and a goal was scored in the second half in all of their last 5 matches, further strengthening the scenario of a match decided after a level first half.