Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya: match statistics
Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ethiopia Bunna played against Mekelakeya in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on May 9, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Ethiopia Bunna has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Mekelakeya has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Ethiopia Bunna scores 1.10 goals per game and allows 1.10. Mekelakeya scores 1.19 and allows 0.77. Games in this league average 1.78 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Ethiopia Bunna's games and 42% of Mekelakeya's. The Over 2.5 rates are 37% and 29%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 27% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mekelakeya has the higher season xG average, 1.29 to 1.20 per game. Ethiopia Bunna takes 7.1 shots per game, while Mekelakeya takes 8.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Ethiopia Bunna leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.47 goals per game after halftime. Mekelakeya leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.42 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ethiopia Bunna's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). For Mekelakeya, it is minutes 31-45+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.78 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 27% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back an away win for Mekelakeya: they sit 3rd in the table versus the hosts’ 7th position and over the last 5 matches have a record of 3 wins and 2 draws (0 losses), while Ethiopia Bunna have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss. Defensively Mekelakeya hold a clear edge — the visitors conceded only 2 goals in their last 5 matches versus 8 conceded by the hosts; on the season they have 24 goals conceded vs 33 for Ethiopia Bunna, and their away goals-against average is 1.0 compared to the hosts’ 1.4. In attack Mekelakeya also have the advantage: away they score 1.67 goals on average with an average xG of 1.30, 9.0 shots per match and a conversion rate of 19%, whereas the home side record 1.20 goals per game, xG 1.27, 8.13 shots and 15% conversion. Additionally Mekelakeya have a higher away win rate (53% vs the hosts’ 33% home win rate), fewer losses (13% vs 47%), and more clean sheets (40% vs 20%); over the last 5 fixtures they average 2.2 points vs Ethiopia Bunna’s 1.2. The only minor weakness for the visitors is slightly lower average shots on target (3.07 vs 3.13), which gives the hosts a small chance of holding a draw, but overall the data (e.g. away goal difference +10 vs -3 for the hosts) favor Mekelakeya.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
xG analysis shows offensive balance: Ethiopia Bunna has xG 1.28, Mekelakeya 1.30, and in the last 5 matches xG is 1.47 (home) and 1.34 (away) respectively, indicating both teams generate above 1.2 xG per game. Mekelakeya scores on average 1.67 goals this season and has a shot conversion rate of 19%, while Ethiopia Bunna concedes on average 1.6 goals in the last 5 matches, increasing the chance of an away goal. Additionally, in the last 5 fixtures the home side’s BTTS rate is 80% versus 40% for the visitors, so the home form favors Goal/Goal outcomes. However, season-long home stats for the hosts show 53% clean sheets at home and a seasonal BTTS of only 33%, and the league has BTTS 41% with 79% matches ending in clean sheets, which argues against BTTS. As a result I assign BTTS 55% vs 45% No Goal and recommend the 'BTTS - Yes' tip as the strongest signal based on xG and the last 5 rounds.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I expect total xG of 2.25 (home xG 1.15 vs away xG 1.10), which by itself favors Over 1.5. Mekelakeya scores on average 1.67 goals per season versus Ethiopia Bunna 0.67, while both teams have similar xG: 1.30 (away) and 1.28 (home), indicating genuine scoring potential. The away side has a much higher shooting efficiency at 19% versus the home side’s 8% and records Over 1.5 in 80% of matches this season (home 40%), increasing the likelihood of at least 2 goals. In the last 5 matches the home team scored 8 goals (1.6 avg) and conceded 8, and home matches have seen Over 2.5 in 60% of the last 5 appearances, so Over 2.5 is possible but less certain (~43%). Based on this, I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (≈70% probability), while Over 2.5 (≈43%) and Over 3.5 (≈22%) are riskier.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The dominant signal is an away lead at the break and an away victory: Mekelakeya led at half-time in 9 of 15 away matches (60%) and averaged 1.13 goals by half-time, while Ethiopia Bunna averaged only 0.33 goals by half-time and led at the break in just 2 of 15 fixtures (13%). The visitors also have a higher win rate (53% vs 20% for the hosts) and a markedly better finishing rate (19% vs 8%), with similar xG (1.30 vs 1.28), indicating greater efficiency from Mekelakeya. The first-half differential is confirmed by half-time goals 24 vs 8 and average goals by half 1.6 (away) versus 0.53 (home), which increases the likelihood of the visitors leading after 45 minutes and maintaining the win. The hosts, however, draw at half-time in 73% of cases, so half-time draw alternatives (X/2 18% and X/X 14%) are possible; ultimately I assign the highest probability to the 2/2 scenario (42%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ethiopia Bunna | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Mekelakeya is 83% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Ethiopia Bunna · 2.2 pts / game - Mekelakeya
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelakeya is 8% better for: goals scored per game.
1.1 goals / game - Ethiopia Bunna · 1.19 goals / game - Mekelakeya
Mekelakeya is 43% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.1 goals / game - Ethiopia Bunna · 0.77 goals / game - Mekelakeya
Ethiopia Bunna scores in 73% of games (22 of 30 meczów), while Mekelakeya keeps a clean sheet in 48% (15 of 31 meczów).
Mekelakeya scores in 68% of games (21 of 31 meczów), while Ethiopia Bunna keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ethiopia Bunna
Over / Under - Mekelakeya
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelakeya is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.37 pts / game - Ethiopia Bunna · 1.61 pts / game - Mekelakeya
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethiopia Bunna - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 37%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Mekelakeya - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ethiopia Bunna
Mekelakeya
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ethiopia Bunna | Liga | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.20 | 1.78 | ▲ 1.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 41% | • 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 37% | 27% | ▲ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 40% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 54% | • 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 73% | 59% | ▼ 52% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- MekelakeyaGoalBruk Markos
Head-to-head
Record from Ethiopia Bunna's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Mekelakeya. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopia Bunna 1:1 Mekelakeya. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya?
Ethiopia Bunna score 1.10 goals per game on average and Mekelakeya 1.19. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Ethiopia Bunna's matches and 42% of Mekelakeya's.
What form are Ethiopia Bunna and Mekelakeya in?
Over the last 5 games Ethiopia Bunna have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Mekelakeya 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.